Cubs vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 19

Updated May. 19, 2024 2:00 p.m. ET

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Nico Hoerner and the Chicago Cubs will look to get the better of Mitch Keller, the Pittsburgh Pirates' starting pitcher, on Sunday at 2:20 PM ET. The Cubs are listed as -127 moneyline favorites in this matchup against the Pirates (+108). Chicago is favored on the run line (-1.5). The total is 7.5 runs for this game (with -106 odds on the over and -114 odds to go under).

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Cubs-Pirates game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Pirates vs. Cubs Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest plays in this matchup between the Pittsburgh Pirates and the Chicago Cubs.

Cubs vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, May 19, 2024 at 2:20 PM ET
• Where: Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois
• How to Watch on TV: MARQ

Cubs vs. Pirates Prediction

• Score Prediction: Cubs 5, Pirates 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Cubs 56%, Pirates 44%

Cubs vs. Pirates Betting Insights

• This season, the Cubs have won 11 out of the 18 games, or 61.1%, in which they've been favored.
• Chicago has a record of 9-1, a 90% win rate, when favored by -127 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• The Cubs have a 55.9% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Pirates have won in 13, or 48.1%, of the 27 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• This season, Pittsburgh has come away with a win eight times in 16 chances when named as an underdog of at least +108 or longer on the moneyline.
• The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 48.1% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

FINAL

PIT 3 · CHC 2

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Pittsburgh Pirates

PIT

+1.5

+108

o7.5

Chicago Cubs

CHC

-1.5

-127

u7.5

Cubs Recent Betting Performance

• The Cubs were the moneyline favorite in four of their last 10 games, and they finished 2-2 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 outings, the Cubs and their opponents combined to hit the over four times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Cubs' ATS record is 2-8-0 over their past 10 games.

Cubs Recent Stats

Cubs Player Insights

• Christopher Morel is the Cubs best power option, hitting nine round-trippers this season in addition to collecting 32 RBI, both team highs.
• In all of MLB, Morel ranks 21st in home runs and 12th in RBI.
• Morel carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .167 with a double, a walk and five RBI.
• Nico Hoerner is batting .269 to pace his team.
• Hoerner is 210th in home runs and 195th in RBI on the year.
• Cody Bellinger has six doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 15 walks while hitting .264.
• Mike Tauchman is batting .257 with nine doubles, four home runs and 25 walks.

Cubs Team Props

Learn more about this Cubs vs. Pirates matchup on Fox Sports.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

• The Pirates have played as underdogs in seven of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Pirates and their opponents are 6-2-2 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Pirates have a record of 7-3-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Pirates Recent Stats

Pirates Player Insights

• Connor Joe has recorded a team-leading batting average of .288 and paces the Pirates in runs batted in with a mark of 22.
• In all of MLB, Joe ranks 59th in home runs and 62nd in RBI.
• Bryan Reynolds has 12 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 24 walks while batting .254.
• Reynolds is 77th in homers and 81st in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
• Oneil Cruz has seven home runs, tops in the clubhouse.
• Andrew McCutchen is batting .208 with three doubles, six home runs and 19 walks.

Pirates Team Props

Christopher Morel's walk-off line drive seals Cubs' victory over Pirates

Christopher Morel hit a line drive up the middle to seal the Chicago Cubs' 1-0 walk-off victory over the Pittsburgh Pirates.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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MLB - Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs - 05/19/2024