Marlins vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 29

Marlins vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 29

Updated Apr. 29, 2024 6:00 p.m. ET

C.J. Abrams and the Washington Nationals square off against Luis Arraez and the Miami Marlins on Monday at 6:40 PM ET at LoanDepot park. The favored Marlins have -143 moneyline odds against the underdog Nationals, who are listed at +121. Miami (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The over/under is 8 runs for the matchup.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Marlins-Nationals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Nationals vs. Marlins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments from the Washington Nationals' 12-9 win over the Miami Marlins.

Marlins vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

  • When: Monday, April 29, 2024 at 6:40 PM ET
  • Where: LoanDepot park in Miami, Florida
  • How to Watch on TV: MASN2
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Marlins -143 +121 8 -115 -105 -1.5 +142 -169

Marlins vs. Nationals Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Nationals 6, Marlins 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Marlins 51%, Nationals 49%

Marlins vs. Nationals Betting Insights

  • This season, the Marlins have been listed as the favorite in nine games and failed to win any of those contests.
  • Miami has not won as favorites of -143 or more on the moneyline this season in four such games.
  • The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 58.8% chance of a victory for the Marlins.
  • The Nationals have been underdogs in 25 games this season and have come away with the win 12 times (48%) in those contests.
  • Washington has a mark of 9-11 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +121 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 45.2% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
FINAL
WSH 7 · MIA 2
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Washington Nationals
WSH
Miami Marlins
MIA

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

  • The Marlins did not win a game as the moneyline favorite over the last 10 games in three tries.
  • In their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Marlins and their opponents combined to go over the total four times.
  • The Marlins are 3-7-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Marlins Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 2-8
Runs Per Game 3.2
HR 7
ERA 5.34
K/9 8.7

Marlins Player Insights

  • Arraez's .305 average leads the Marlins this year. His resume also includes zero homers and driven in three RBI.
  • Arraez ranks 312th in home runs and 317th in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
  • Arraez carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .450 with a walk.
  • Jazz Chisholm has put up 15 runs batted in to lead his team.
  • Chisholm ranks 83rd in home runs and 57th in RBI in the majors.
  • Chisholm has two games in a row with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .188 with a home run, four walks and four RBI.
  • Bryan De La Cruz has launched a team-best five home runs.
  • De La Cruz will look to build on his two-game hitting in this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .200 with two doubles and three walks.
  • Josh Bell is batting .176 with three doubles, three home runs and 12 walks.

Marlins Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Jesús Sánchez 1.5 (+165) 1.5 (-110) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+145)
Tim Anderson 0.5 (-286) 1.5 (+150) 0.5 (+1100) 0.5 (+220)
Luis Arraez 1.5 (+125) 1.5 (-120) 0.5 (+1000) 0.5 (+200)
Bryan De La Cruz 1.5 (+205) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+140)
Jazz Chisholm 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+330) 0.5 (+130)

Learn more about this Marlins vs. Nationals matchup on Fox Sports.

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

  • The Nationals have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 10 games and won six of those contests.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the Nationals and their opponents are 3-6-1 in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Nationals are 7-3-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Nationals Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.6
HR 10
ERA 3.66
K/9 6.5

Nationals Player Insights

  • Abrams paces the Nationals with six home runs and 15 runs batted in, while posting a team-best batting average of .296.
  • Among all hitters in MLB, Abrams is 18th in home runs and 57th in RBI.
  • Abrams brings a hitting streak of four games into this game. In his last five games he is batting .211 with a double, a triple, two walks and three RBI.
  • Jesse Winker has six doubles, three home runs and 14 walks while batting .286.
  • Winker is 83rd overall in home runs and 79th in RBI this year.
  • Jacob Young has four doubles and a walk while batting .333.
  • Luis Garcia is hitting .293 with seven doubles, a home run and five walks.

Nationals Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Nick Senzel 0.5 (-263) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+850) 0.5 (+200)
Ildemaro Vargas 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+900) 0.5 (+215)
Joey Meneses 0.5 (-244) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+195)
Jesse Winker 0.5 (-141) 0.5 (-141) 0.5 (+900) 0.5 (+265)
LaVictor Antwain Lipscomb 0.5 (-208) 0.5 (-208) 0.5 (+950) 0.5 (+235)

Nationals vs. Marlins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments from the Washington Nationals' 12-9 win over the Miami Marlins.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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