Suns vs. Timberwolves Game 4 prediction, how to watch, TV channel, odds - April 28

Updated Apr. 28, 2024 9:22 p.m. ET

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The Phoenix Suns will take on the Minnesota Timberwolves in a decisive Game 4 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs. Sunday's matchup between the Suns and the Timberwolves features a tight line of Phoenix -1. The matchup has an over/under of 212.5.

Here is everything you need to know to know about the Suns-Timberwolves game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Suns vs. Timberwolves Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Sunday, April 28, 2024 at 9:30 PM ET
• Where: Footprint Center in Phoenix, Arizona
• TV: TNT, AZFamily, and BSN

Suns vs. Timberwolves Prediction

ATS Pick: Timberwolves (+ 1)
O/U Pick: Over (212.5)
Score Prediction: Timberwolves 113 - Suns 111

Suns vs. Timberwolves Betting Insights

• Suns games have finished over 212.5 points scored, their current matchup's over/under, 68 times (out of 82) this season.
• A total of 58 Timberwolves games this season (out of 82) have had more than 212.5 total points scored.
• The Suns and Timberwolves average 16.7 more points between them than the over/under of 212.5 for this game.
• Opponents of the two teams average a combined 7.2 more points per game, 219.7, than this game's total of 212.5 points.
• Phoenix has been chosen as the favorite in 59 games this year and has walked away with the win 39 times (66.1%) in those games.
• Minnesota has been chosen as underdogs in 20 games this year and has walked away with the win 10 times (50%) in those games.
• Phoenix and Minnesota have split the last six games they've played.
• Both the Suns and the Timberwolves are 3-3 against the spread in those contests.
• The Timberwolves have been favored in three of their past four contests, and failed to beat the spread in all four.

FINAL

MIN 122 · PHX 116

NBA

SPREAD

TO WIN

TOTAL

Minnesota Timberwolves

MIN

+1.5

-105

o213

Phoenix Suns

PHX

-1.5

-117

u213

Suns Recent Trends

• The Suns are 4-6 against the spread and 5-5 overall over their last 10 contests.
• Phoenix and its opponents have combined to score an average of 200.0 points in its last 10 games, 12.5 less than the 212.5 over/under in this matchup.
• Against the spread, the Suns are 35-44-2 this year.
• So far this season, Phoenix has been installed as favorites by a 1-point margin or more 59 times and are 25-32-2 ATS in those matchups.
• The Suns have eclipsed the over/under in 45.1% of their opportunities this year (37 times over 82 games with a set point total).
• The 116.2 points per game the Suns average are 9.7 more points than the Timberwolves allow (106.5).
• Phoenix is 32-33-2 against the spread and 47-20 overall when scoring more than 106.5 points.
• The Suns make 49.3% of their shots from the field this season, which is 4.3 percentage points higher than the Timberwolves have allowed to their opponents (45%).
• The Suns have covered the spread in a lower percentage of their home games than road games. They have covered 16 times in 41 games at home, and they've covered 19 times in 41 games when playing on the road.
• Phoenix has hit the over on the over/under in 18 of 41 home games (43.9%). It has done better on the road, topping the total in 19 of 41 matchups (46.3%).
• The Suns have won a higher percentage of their matchups as a moneyline favorite at home, going 24-11 (.686). When playing on the road as a moneyline favorite, they sport a record of 15-9 (.625).

Suns Recent Stats

Suns Leaders

• Kevin Durant averages 27.1 points, 5 assists and 6.6 rebounds per contest.
• Devin Booker puts up 27.1 points, 6.9 assists and 4.5 boards per game.
• Jusuf Nurkic posts 10.9 points, 11 boards and 4 assists per contest, shooting 51% from the field.
• Grayson Allen puts up 13.5 points, 3.9 rebounds and 3 assists per contest, shooting 49.9% from the floor and 46.1% from downtown (first in NBA) with 2.7 made 3-pointers per contest.
• Bradley Beal posts 18.2 points, 4.4 boards and 5 assists per game. At the other end he averages 1 steal and 0.5 blocks.

Suns Player Props

Timberwolves Recent Trends

• The Timberwolves are 5-5 against the spread and 7-3 overall in their past 10 contests.
• Minnesota and its opponents have combined to score an average of 197.4 combined points over its last 10 games, 15.1 less than the 212.5 over/under in this matchup.
• The Timberwolves are 40-40-2 against the spread this year.
• This year, Minnesota has an ATS record of 12-8 in its 20 games as an underdog of 1 point or more.
• Timberwolves games this year have gone over the total in 41 of 82 opportunities (50%).
• The Timberwolves score an average of 113 points per game, only 0.2 fewer points than the 113.2 the Suns give up.
• Minnesota has put together a 26-12 ATS record and a 33-5 overall record in games it scores more than 113.2 points.
• The Timberwolves have shot at a 48.5% clip from the field this season, 2.1 percentage points above the 46.4% shooting opponents of the Suns have averaged.
• In 2023-24 against the spread, the Timberwolves have a lower winning percentage at home (.439, 18-22-1 record) than away (.537, 22-18-1).
• Minnesota's games have finished above the over/under less often at home (18 times out of 41) than away (23 of 41) this season.
• The Timberwolves' winning percentage at home when moneyline favorites is .730 (27-10), and away it is .792 (19-5).

Timberwolves Recent Stats

Timberwolves Leaders

• Anthony Edwards is averaging 25.9 points, 5.4 rebounds and 5.1 assists per contest. He's also draining 46.1% of his shots from the field and 35.7% from 3-point range, with 2.4 triples per game.
• Rudy Gobert is averaging 14 points, 12.9 rebounds and 1.3 assists per game. He's sinking 66.1% of his shots from the floor (second in NBA).
• The Timberwolves are getting 21.8 points, 8.3 rebounds and 3 assists per game from Karl-Anthony Towns this season.
• The Timberwolves are receiving 13.5 points, 5.2 rebounds and 1.3 assists per game from Naz Reid this season.
• Mike Conley gets the Timberwolves 11.4 points, 2.9 rebounds and 5.9 assists per game while putting up 1.2 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.

Timberwolves Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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NBA - Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Phoenix Suns - 04/29/2024