Red Sox vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 11

Updated May. 11, 2024 4:00 p.m. ET

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Jake Irvin gets the nod on the mound for the Washington Nationals in the second of a three-game series against the Boston Red Sox and Connor Wong on Saturday at 4:10 PM ET. Oddsmakers list the Red Sox as -165 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Nationals +135 moneyline odds to win. Boston is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +170 odds). The over/under for the matchup has been listed at 5 runs.

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Red Sox-Nationals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Nationals vs. Red Sox Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest plays in this matchup between the Washington Nationals and the Boston Red Sox.

Red Sox vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, May 11, 2024 at 4:10 PM ET
• Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
• How to Watch on TV: MASN

Red Sox vs. Nationals Prediction

• Score Prediction: Red Sox 3, Nationals 2
• Total Prediction: Over 5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Red Sox 60%, Nationals 40%

Red Sox vs. Nationals Betting Insights

• The Red Sox have won nine, or 60%, of the 15 games they've played as favorites this season.
• Boston has played as favorites of -165 or more twice this season and split those games.
• The Red Sox have a 62.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Nationals have won in 17, or 50%, of the 34 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• This season, Washington has been victorious 11 times in 23 chances when named as an underdog of at least +135 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 42.6% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

FINAL

WSH 2 · BOS 4

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Washington Nationals

WSH

+1.5

+135

o5

Boston Red Sox

BOS

-1.5

-165

u5

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• The Red Sox went 2-2 over the four games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups, the Red Sox and their opponents combined to go over the total one time (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Red Sox have put together a 3-7-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• Jarren Duran has eight doubles, six triples, a home run and 15 walks while batting .264.
• In all of the majors, Duran ranks 249th in home runs and 99th in RBI.
• Duran has collected a hit in four straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .286 with two doubles, two triples and a walk.
• Tyler O'Neill has shown his power as he paces his team with nine home runs.
• O'Neill ranks eighth in home runs and 128th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Wilyer Abreu is hitting .283 with nine doubles, a triple, two home runs and 16 walks.
• Rafael Devers is batting .280 to lead his team.

Red Sox Team Props

Learn more about this Red Sox vs. Nationals matchup on Fox Sports.

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

• In nine games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Nationals have a record of 5-4.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Nationals and their opponents have failed to hit the over five times.
• Over their last 10 games, the Nationals are 7-3-0 against the spread.

Nationals Recent Stats

Nationals Player Insights

• C.J. Abrams has put up a team-leading seven home runs and has driven in 20 runs.
• Abrams' home run total places him 31st in MLB, and he ranks 50th in RBI.
• Luis Garcia's 20 RBI and .318 batting average both lead his team.
• Garcia ranks 126th in homers and 50th in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
• Jesse Winker has eight doubles, four home runs and 18 walks while batting .244.
• Jacob Young is hitting .287 with six doubles and seven walks.

Nationals Team Props

Nationals vs. Red Sox Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest plays in this matchup between the Washington Nationals and the Boston Red Sox.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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MLB - Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Sox - 05/11/2024