National Football League

Mahomes Mountain: Where do Caleb Williams, rookies land on Nick Wright's QB tiers?

Updated May. 3, 2024 10:46 a.m. ET

The 2024 NFL Draft is over, which means it's time for a special offseason edition of "Mahomes Mountain." Nick Wright once again ranked NFL quarterbacks in a pyramid-based tier system (one QB in Tier 1, two in Tier 2, etc.) named after the signal-caller he has long regarded as the best in the league — three-time Super Bowl MVP Patrick Mahomes.

Wright has also long been a fan of Caleb Williams, even ranking him among NFL quarterbacks last season when Williams was still playing at USC. Now that he is officially in the NFL, Williams is the only rookie QB who ranks higher than Tier 7.

Wright ranked all 32 projected NFL starting quarterbacks for next season — though not everyone made it to the mountain. Some are starting at "Base Camp." He also left the second tier empty because "nobody deserves to be within spitting distance of the namesake of the mountain."

Here's Wright's full list, with odds from FanDuel Sportsbook.

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Base Camp (off the mountain)

Russell Wilson, Pittsburgh Steelers
Drake Maye, New England Patriots (OROY odds: +1500)
Will Levis, Tennessee Titans
Bryce Young, Carolina Panthers
Gardner Minshew, Las Vegas Raiders
Bo Nix, Denver Broncos (OROY odds: +2100)

Tier 7:

Geno Smith, Seattle Seahawks
Anthony Richardson, Indianapolis Colts
Jayden Daniels, Washington Commanders (OROY odds: +900)
J.J. McCarthy, Minnesota Vikings (OROY odds: +1000)
Deshaun Watson, Cleveland Browns
Derek Carr, New Orleans Saints
Daniel Jones, New York Giants

Tier 6:

Kirk Cousins, Atlanta Falcons
Brock Purdy, San Francisco 49ers (MVP odds: +1800)
Aaron Rodgers, New York Jets (MVP odds: +2500)
Baker Mayfield, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Kyler Murray, Arizona Cardinals
Tua Tagovailoa, Miami Dolphins (MVP odds: +2500)

Tier 5:

Jordan Love, Green Bay Packers (MVP odds: +1400)
Trevor Lawrence, Jacksonville Jaguars (MVP odds: +2000)
Dak Prescott, Dallas Cowboys (MVP odds: +1600)
Jared Goff, Detroit Lions
Jalen Hurts, Philadelphia Eagles (MVP odds: +1800)

Tier 4:

Matthew Stafford, Los Angeles Rams (MVP odds: +2000)
Lamar Jackson, Baltimore Ravens (MVP odds: +1100)
Caleb Williams, Chicago Bears (OROY odds: +210)
Justin Herbert, Los Angeles Chargers (MVP odds: +1400)

What are the expectations for the Bears and Caleb Williams?

What are the expectations for the Bears and Caleb Williams?

Tier 3:

Joe Burrow, Cincinnati Bengals (MVP odds: +1000)
C.J. Stroud, Houston Texans (MVP odds: +1000)
Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills (MVP odds: +800)

Tier 2: VACANT

Tier 1:

Patrick Mahomes, Kansas City Chiefs (MVP odds: +650)

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