Guardians vs. Twins Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 17

Updated May. 17, 2024 7:00 p.m. ET

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Josh Naylor and the Cleveland Guardians will play Ryan Jeffers and the Minnesota Twins on Friday at Progressive Field, at 7:10 PM ET. The Guardians are favored in this one, at -122, while the underdog Twins have +102 odds to upset. Cleveland is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The total is 8.5 runs for this matchup.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Guardians-Twins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Guardians vs. Twins Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, May 17, 2024 at 7:10 PM ET
• Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
• How to Watch on TV: Apple TV+

Guardians vs. Twins Prediction

• Score Prediction: Guardians 4, Twins 3
• Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Guardians 55%, Twins 45%

Guardians vs. Twins Betting Insights

• This season, the Guardians have been favored 26 times and won 17, or 65.4%, of those games.
• Cleveland is 14-6 this season when entering a game favored by -122 or more on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Guardians, based on the moneyline, is 55%.
• The Twins have been victorious in six, or 37.5%, of the 16 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This season, Minnesota has come away with a win three times in nine chances when named as an underdog of at least +102 or longer on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Twins have a 49.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

FINAL

MIN 2 · CLE 3

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Minnesota Twins

MIN

+1.5

+102

o8.5

Cleveland Guardians

CLE

-1.5

-122

u8.5

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

• The Guardians have a 4-3 record from the seven games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 outings, the Guardians and their opponents combined to go over the run total four times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Guardians' record against the spread is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

Guardians Player Insights

• Jose Ramirez leads the Guardians with 37 runs batted in.
• Among all batters in the majors, Ramirez's home run total ranks him 16th, and his RBI tally puts him second.
• Ramirez takes a hitting streak of three games into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .278 with four walks and four RBI.
• Naylor has hit 12 home runs to pace his team.
• Naylor ranks second in homers and eighth in RBI among all batters in baseball.
• Andres Gimenez has eight doubles, a triple, two home runs and nine walks while hitting .261.
• Gimenez has at least one base hit in four straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .350 with a double, a home run, a walk and four RBI.
• Tyler Freeman has six doubles, four home runs and 12 walks while batting .195.
• Freeman is riding a three-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .222 with a double, a home run, three walks and an RBI.

Guardians Team Props

Learn more about this Guardians vs. Twins matchup on Fox Sports.

Twins Recent Betting Performance

• In four games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Twins have a record of 2-2.
• The Twins and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Twins are 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Twins Recent Stats

Twins Player Insights

• Jeffers leads the Twins in home runs (10), runs batted in (30) and has posted a team-high batting average of .283.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Jeffers' home run total is eighth and his RBI tally ranks 13th.
• Carlos Santana is batting .208 with five doubles, seven home runs and 11 walks.
• Santana ranks 37th in home runs and 63rd in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
• Willi Castro is batting .265 with 10 doubles, three triples, three home runs and 11 walks.
• Max Kepler is batting .304 with nine doubles, three home runs and eight walks.

Twins Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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MLB - Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians - 05/17/2024