Phillies vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 17

Updated May. 17, 2024 6:00 p.m. ET

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The Philadelphia Phillies and Bryce Harper will take on Joey Meneses and the Washington Nationals at Citizens Bank Park on Friday, with the first pitch at 6:40 PM ET. The Nationals are +208 moneyline underdogs for this matchup against the favorite Phillies (-254). Philadelphia is a 1.5-run favorite (at -118 odds). The contest's total has been set at 7.5 runs.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Nationals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Phillies vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, May 17, 2024 at 6:40 PM ET
• Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• How to Watch on TV: NBCS-PH

Phillies vs. Nationals Prediction

• Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Nationals 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 58%, Nationals 42%

Phillies vs. Nationals Betting Insights

• The Phillies have won 25, or 69.4%, of the 36 games they've played as favorites this season.
• Philadelphia has played as favorites of -254 or more twice this season and won both games.
• The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 71.8% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
• The Nationals have come away with 17 wins in the 37 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Washington has been listed as an underdog of +208 or more on two occasions this season and split those games.
• The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 32.5% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

FINAL

WSH 2 · PHI 4

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Washington Nationals

WSH

+1.5

+208

o7.5

Philadelphia Phillies

PHI

-1.5

-254

u7.5

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies have a 6-3 record across the nine games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Phillies and their opponents combined to go over the run total seven times.
• The Phillies' ATS record is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Alec Bohm has been the Phillies top run producer this season, leading the team with 36 RBI while hitting .333 with four home runs.
• In all of the majors, Bohm is 107th in home runs and third in RBI.
• Bohm takes a hitting streak of three games into this game. In his last five games he is batting .273 with three doubles, a walk and four RBI.
• Harper's 10 home runs lead his team.
• Harper is eighth in homers and 10th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Harper heads into this game looking for his fifth game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is batting .273 with a double, a home run, three walks and three RBI.
• Bryson Stott is hitting .280 with five doubles, two triples, four home runs and 24 walks.
• Kyle Schwarber is hitting .223 with three doubles, nine home runs and 27 walks.
• Schwarber has recorded at least one hit in three games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .316 with two doubles, three walks and four RBI.

Phillies Team Props

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Nationals matchup on Fox Sports.

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

• In seven games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by sportsbooks, the Nationals had a record of 2-5.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Nationals and their opponents are 5-5-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Nationals are 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Nationals Recent Stats

Nationals Player Insights

• C.J. Abrams leads the Nationals with seven long balls.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Abrams' home run total is 37th and his RBI tally is 74th.
• Jesse Winker has eight doubles, four home runs and 20 walks while batting .228.
• Winker is currently 107th in homers and 93rd in RBI in the major leagues.
• Luis Garcia paces the Nationals' lineup with a .283 batting average.
• Jacob Young is batting .262 with six doubles and seven walks.

Nationals Team Props

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MLB - Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies - 05/17/2024