Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 28

Updated Sep. 28, 2023 3:07 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (2-2) are touchdown favorites when they host the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (1-3) in conference action on Thursday, September 28, 2023 at Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium. The over/under is set at 60.5 for the contest.

The Hilltoppers lost to the Troy Trojans, 27-24, in their last game. Facing the Colorado State Rams in their last game, the Blue Raiders lost 31-23.

Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee Game Information & Odds

When: Thursday, September 28, 2023 at 7:30 PM ET
Location: Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium in Bowling Green, Kentucky
TV: CBS Sports Network
Live boxscore on FOX Sports

Western Kentucky vs Middle Tennessee Betting Information updated as of September 28, 2023, 2:45 PM ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Western Kentucky	-7 (-112)	-286	+227	60.5	-110	-110

Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee Prediction

Pick ATS: Middle Tennessee (+7)
Pick OU: Under (60.5)
Prediction: Western Kentucky 32, Middle Tennessee 26

Learn more about the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders game on FOX Sports!

Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee Betting Insights

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Hilltoppers 34, Blue Raiders 27.
The Hilltoppers have a 74.1% chance to claim victory in this game based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Blue Raiders hold a 30.6% implied probability.
Western Kentucky has a record of 2-1-0 against the spread this season.
Middle Tennessee has won one game against the spread this season.

Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee: Head-to-Head

Over their last two meetings, Western Kentucky has tallied two wins against Middle Tennessee.
The last two times the Hilltoppers have played the Blue Raiders, they have posted a 2-0 record against the spread. The scoring has gone over the total on one occasion.
In their last two head-to-head matchups, Western Kentucky has tallied 83 points versus Middle Tennessee, while surrendering only 38 points.

Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee: 2023 Stats Comparison

	Western Kentucky	Middle Tennessee
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	31.8 (57)	21.0 (110)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	34.0 (111)	31.0 (102)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	6 (69)	5 (50)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	11 (2)	4 (97)

Western Kentucky 2023 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Austin Reed	QB	1,064 YDS (62.9%) / 9 TD / 1 INT 47 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / 11.8 RUSH YPG
Easton Messer	WR	18 REC / 237 YDS / 2 TD / 59.3 YPG
Malachi Corley	WR	21 REC / 255 YDS / 2 TD / 63.8 YPG
Markese Stepp	RB	88 YDS / 1 TD / 22.0 YPG / 4.2 YPC
Kendrick Simpkins	DB	15 TKL / 4.0 TFL / 4.0 SACK
Jaques Evans	LB	19 TKL / 0.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK
Upton Stout	DB	18 TKL / 0.0 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Niko Cooper	LB	17 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK

Middle Tennessee 2023 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Nicholas Vattiato	QB	911 YDS (70.6%) / 7 TD / 2 INT 138 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / 34.5 RUSH YPG
Jaiden Credle	RB	188 YDS / 1 TD / 47.0 YPG / 6.5 YPC 6 REC / 56 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 14.0 REC YPG
Elijah Metcalf	WR	22 REC / 192 YDS / 1 TD / 48.0 YPG
Jekail Middlebrook	RB	85 YDS / 2 TD / 21.3 YPG / 4.7 YPC
Sam Brumfield	LB	7 TKL / 1.0 TFL / 2.0 SACK
Drew Francis	LB	3 TKL / 2.0 TFL / 2.0 SACK
Jakobe Thomas	S	7 TKL / 0.0 TFL
Quindarius Dunnigan	DE	5 TKL / 2.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK