Cubs vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 7

Cubs vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 7

Updated May. 7, 2024 7:00 p.m. ET

Jurickson Profar and the San Diego Padres match up with Christopher Morel and the Chicago Cubs on Tuesday at 7:40 PM ET at Wrigley Field. Oddsmakers list the Cubs as -167 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Padres +141 moneyline odds to win. Chicago is a 1.5-run favorite (at +124 odds). The game's total is set at 9 runs.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Cubs-Padres game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Padres vs. Cubs Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments from the San Diego Padres vs. the Chicago Cubs game on Monday, May 6.
ADVERTISEMENT

Cubs vs. Padres Game Information & Odds

  • When: Tuesday, May 7, 2024 at 7:40 PM ET
  • Where: Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois
  • How to Watch on TV: SDPA
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Cubs -167 +141 9 -117 -103 -1.5 +124 -147

Cubs vs. Padres Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Cubs 3, Padres 2
  • Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Cubs 57%, Padres 43%

Cubs vs. Padres Betting Insights

  • This season, the Cubs have won eight out of the 13 games, or 61.5%, in which they've been favored.
  • Chicago is undefeated in five games this season when favored by -167 or more on the moneyline.
  • The Cubs have a 62.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • The Padres have been underdogs in 15 games this season and have come away with the win seven times (46.7%) in those contests.
  • San Diego has a win-loss record of 2-3 when favored by +141 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Padres have a 41.5% chance of pulling out a win.
FINAL
SD 2 · CHC 3
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
San Diego Padres
SD
Chicago Cubs
CHC

Cubs Recent Betting Performance

  • The Cubs have a 2-3 record across the five games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
  • In their last 10 matchups, the Cubs and their opponents combined to hit the over four times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
  • The Cubs' record against the spread is 3-7-0 over their past 10 games.

Cubs Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 3.1
HR 10
ERA 4.09
K/9 8.2

Cubs Player Insights

  • Morel has a team-best eight home runs and 23 runs batted in.
  • Morel's home runs place him 10th in the majors, and he is 19th in RBI.
  • Morel takes a hitting streak of five games into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .313 with four home runs, six walks and nine RBI.
  • Nico Hoerner is batting .279 to lead his team.
  • Hoerner ranks 237th in home runs and 183rd in RBI on the season.
  • Hoerner has six games in a row with at least one hit. In his last 10 outings he is batting .244 with four doubles, a home run, three walks and three RBI.
  • Mike Tauchman is batting .278 with eight doubles, three home runs and 20 walks.
  • Tauchman has at least one base hit in two games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .211 with a double and four walks.
  • Michael Busch has six doubles, a triple, six home runs and 10 walks while hitting .254.

Cubs Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Dansby Swanson 0.5 (-196) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+360) 0.5 (+160)
Christopher Morel 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+245) 0.5 (+110)
Nico Hoerner 1.5 (+160) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+195)
Ian Happ 0.5 (-204) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+160)
Yan Gomes 0.5 (-179) 0.5 (-179) 0.5 (+475) 0.5 (+190)

Learn more about this Cubs vs. Padres matchup on Fox Sports.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

  • The Padres have played as underdogs in three of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Padres and their opponents have failed to hit the over three times.
  • The Padres have won five of their last 10 games against the spread.

Padres Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5.4
HR 12
ERA 4.85
K/9 8.6

Padres Player Insights

  • The Padres are led in runs batted in by Profar with a mark of 25, he also leads the team in hitting, posting an average of .341.
  • Among all hitters in MLB, Profar ranks 50th in home runs and 13th in RBI.
  • Profar carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .474 with a home run, a walk and six RBI.
  • Jake Cronenworth has made the most of his opportunities as he leads his team with 25 runs batted in.
  • Cronenworth is currently 32nd in homers and 13th in RBI in the major leagues.
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. has seven home runs, best in the lineup.
  • Ha-Seong Kim has four doubles, two triples, five home runs and 22 walks while hitting .209.

Padres Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Jurickson Profar 0.5 (-238) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+215)
Manny Machado 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+320) 0.5 (+135)
Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.5 (-263) 1.5 (-105) 0.5 (+265) 0.5 (+155)
Xander Bogaerts 0.5 (-222) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+195)
Jake Cronenworth 0.5 (-204) 1.5 (+150) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+210)

Padres vs. Cubs Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments from the San Diego Padres vs. the Chicago Cubs game on Monday, May 6.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

Want great stories delivered right to your inbox? Create or log in to your FOX Sports account, follow leagues, teams and players to receive a personalized newsletter daily.

share