Guardians vs. Tigers Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 7

Guardians vs. Tigers Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 7

Updated May. 7, 2024 6:00 p.m. ET

The Cleveland Guardians and Josh Naylor ready for the second of a three-game series against Mark Canha and the Detroit Tigers on Tuesday at Progressive Field. The Guardians are favored in this one, at -139, while the underdog Tigers have +119 odds to win. Cleveland is a 1.5-run favorite (at +150 odds). The matchup's over/under is listed at 8.5 runs.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Guardians-Tigers game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Tigers vs. Guardians Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments from the Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians game on Monday, May 6.
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Guardians vs. Tigers Game Information & Odds

  • When: Tuesday, May 7, 2024 at 6:10 PM ET
  • Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
  • How to Watch on TV: BSGL
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Guardians -139 +119 8.5 -107 -113 -1.5 +150 -181

Guardians vs. Tigers Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Guardians 5, Tigers 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Guardians 56%, Tigers 44%

Guardians vs. Tigers Betting Insights

  • This season, the Guardians have been favored 20 times and won 14, or 70%, of those games.
  • This season Cleveland has won seven of its nine games, or 77.8%, when favored by at least -139 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Guardians, based on the moneyline, is 58.2%.
  • The Tigers have been victorious in nine, or 50%, of the 18 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Detroit has a mark of 2-2 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +119 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Tigers have a 45.7% chance of pulling out a win.
FINAL
DET 11 · CLE 7
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Detroit Tigers
DET
Cleveland Guardians
CLE

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

  • The Guardians went 3-1 across the four games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 outings, the Guardians and their opponents combined to hit the over two times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
  • The Guardians have gone 7-3-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 3.6
HR 11
ERA 3.75
K/9 8.8

Guardians Player Insights

  • Jose Ramirez has a team-high 28 runs batted in.
  • Of all batters in baseball, Ramirez ranks 21st in home runs and fourth in RBI.
  • Ramirez carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .125 with two home runs, three walks and four RBI.
  • Josh Naylor has hit eight home runs to lead his team.
  • Naylor ranks 10th in home runs in baseball, and 10th in RBI.
  • Naylor carries a three-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .235 with a home run, three walks and two RBI.
  • Andres Gimenez is hitting .269 with seven doubles, a triple, a home run and seven walks.
  • Gimenez has at least one base hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .200 with two doubles and an RBI.
  • Will Brennan is batting .245 with four doubles, four home runs and five walks.

Guardians Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Tyler Freeman 0.5 (-244) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+195)
Will Brennan 0.5 (-278) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+170)
Josh Naylor 1.5 (+190) 1.5 (-110) 0.5 (+330) 0.5 (+115)
Andrés Giménez 0.5 (-263) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+190)
Estevan Florial 0.5 (-196) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+215)

Learn more about this Guardians vs. Tigers matchup on Fox Sports.

Tigers Recent Betting Performance

  • The Tigers have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and won one of those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Tigers and their opponents are 4-5-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • The Tigers have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Tigers Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 3.3
HR 10
ERA 3.81
K/9 10.1

Tigers Player Insights

  • Riley Greene leads the Tigers with nine home runs and 17 runs batted in, while posting a team-best batting average of .266.
  • In all of MLB, Greene ranks fifth in home runs and 69th in RBI.
  • Mark Canha is batting .248 with eight doubles, five home runs and 17 walks.
  • Canha ranks 50th in homers and 76th in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
  • Kerry Carpenter is batting .260 with six doubles, two triples, three home runs and seven walks.
  • Matthew Vierling is batting .276 with three doubles, two triples, three home runs and three walks.

Tigers Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Spencer Torkelson 1.5 (+205) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+295) 0.5 (+135)
Riley Greene 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+155)
Mark Canha 0.5 (-263) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+155)
Matthew Vierling 1.5 (+160) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+150)
Jake Rogers 0.5 (-204) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+360) 0.5 (+145)

Tigers vs. Guardians Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments from the Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians game on Monday, May 6.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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