Pirates vs. Cubs Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 17

Updated May. 17, 2024 2:00 p.m. ET

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Kyle Hendricks will take the mound for the Chicago Cubs looking to shut down Oneil Cruz and the Pittsburgh Pirates on Friday at 2:20 PM ET. The Pirates are the favorite in this one, at -119, while the underdog Cubs have -101 odds to win. Pittsburgh (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The over/under for the contest is set at 7.5 runs.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Pirates-Cubs game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Pirates vs. Cubs Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Pittsburgh Pirates and the Chicago Cubs.

Pirates vs. Cubs Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, May 17, 2024 at 2:20 PM ET
• Where: Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois
• How to Watch on TV: MLB Network

Pirates vs. Cubs Prediction

• Score Prediction: Cubs 7, Pirates 6
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Pirates 55%, Cubs 45%

Pirates vs. Cubs Betting Insights

• This season, the Pirates have won six out of the 17 games, or 35.3%, in which they've been favored.
• This season Pittsburgh has won six of its 16 games, or 37.5%, when favored by at least -119 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Pirates, based on the moneyline, is 54.3%.
• The Cubs have been chosen as underdogs in 27 games this year and have walked away with the win 14 times (51.9%) in those games.
• This season, Chicago has come away with a win 11 times in 23 chances when named as an underdog of at least -101 or longer on the moneyline.
• The Cubs have an implied victory probability of 50.2% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

FINAL

PIT 9 · CHC 3

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Pittsburgh Pirates

PIT

-1.5

-119

o7.5

Chicago Cubs

CHC

+1.5

-101

u7.5

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

• The Pirates have a 1-3 record over the four games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Pirates and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total six times.
• The Pirates' ATS record is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Pirates Recent Stats

Pirates Player Insights

• Connor Joe paces the Pirates with 22 runs batted in while racking up a team-best batting average of .285.
• Among all hitters in baseball, Joe's home run total places him 55th, and his RBI tally ranks him 53rd.
• Bryan Reynolds is hitting .250 with 12 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 24 walks.
• Reynolds ranks 73rd in home runs and 74th in RBI among all batters in baseball.
• Reynolds carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .318 with three doubles, a home run and three RBI.
• Cruz has launched a team-high seven homers.
• Edward Olivares is batting .237 with three doubles, five home runs and seven walks.
• Olivares is riding a three-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .333 with a double, a home run, a walk and two RBI.

Pirates Team Props

Learn more about this Pirates vs. Cubs matchup on Fox Sports.

Cubs Recent Betting Performance

• In five games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by bookmakers, the Cubs had a record of 2-3.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Cubs and their opponents are 4-5-1 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Cubs are 2-8-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Cubs Recent Stats

Cubs Player Insights

• Nico Hoerner leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .269.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Hoerner's home run total is 208th and his RBI tally ranks 188th.
• Christopher Morel has hit nine home runs with 29 RBI, leading the team in both categories.
• Morel is 16th in homers and 14th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Mike Tauchman has nine doubles, four home runs and 25 walks while hitting .263.
• Cody Bellinger is batting .262 with five doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 14 walks.

Cubs Team Props

Pirates vs. Cubs Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Pittsburgh Pirates and the Chicago Cubs.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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MLB - Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs - 05/17/2024