Rays vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 4

Rays vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 4

Updated May. 4, 2024 7:00 p.m. ET

Christian Scott will start for the New York Mets aiming to shut down Richard Palacios and the Tampa Bay Rays on Saturday at 7:15 PM ET. The Rays are the favorite in this one, at -110, while the underdog Mets have -110 odds to upset. New York (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. A 7.5-run total has been listed in this contest.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Rays-Mets game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Mets vs. Rays Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best plays and moments from the Tampa Bay Rays' 10-8 win over the New York Mets.

Rays vs. Mets Game Information & Odds

  • When: Saturday, May 4, 2024 at 7:15 PM ET
  • Where: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida
  • How to Watch on TV: FOX
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
PUSH -110 -110 7.5 -106 -114 -1.5 -189 +155

Rays vs. Mets Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Mets 5, Rays 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Rays 53%, Mets 47%

Rays vs. Mets Betting Insights

  • The Rays have won 11, or 44%, of the 25 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • Tampa Bay has entered 25 games this season favored by -110 or more and is 11-14 in those contests.
  • The Rays have a 52.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • The Mets have won in five, or 38.5%, of the 13 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • New York has a mark of 5-8 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by -110 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mets have a 52.4% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
FINAL
NYM 1 · TB 3
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
New York Mets
NYM
Tampa Bay Rays
TB

Rays Recent Betting Performance

  • The Rays played as the moneyline favorite for seven of their last 10 games, and finished 1-6 in those matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Rays and their opponents combined to go over the total six times.
  • The Rays are 3-7-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Rays Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 3.7
HR 9
ERA 5.75
K/9 8.7

Rays Player Insights

  • Isaac Paredes has gone yard seven times in the 2024 campaign while driving in 17 runs, both totals that lead the Rays.
  • Paredes' home runs put him 13th in MLB, and he is 55th in RBI.
  • Amed Rosario is hitting .309 to lead his team.
  • Rosario ranks 161st in home runs and 77th in RBI among all batters in the majors.
  • Jose Caballero has six doubles, a triple, two home runs and two walks while hitting .276.
  • Caballero has at least one base hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is batting .316 with a double, a walk and an RBI.
  • Yandy Diaz is batting .219 with five doubles, a home run and 10 walks.

Rays Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Yandy Díaz 1.5 (+175) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+475) 0.5 (+200)
Harold Ramirez 0.5 (-256) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+185)
Amed Rosario 0.5 (-278) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+850) 0.5 (+190)
Ben Rortvedt 0.5 (-145) 0.5 (-145) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+215)
Richard Palacios 0.5 (-179) 0.5 (-179) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+240)

Learn more about this Rays vs. Mets matchup on Fox Sports.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

  • The Mets have played as underdogs four times over their past 10 games and lost each of those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Mets and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times.
  • The Mets have a record of 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 3.9
HR 11
ERA 3.82
K/9 8.6

Mets Player Insights

  • Pete Alonso has launched a team-best eight home runs.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Alonso's home run total ranks fifth and his RBI tally is 64th.
  • Francisco Lindor is batting .208 with seven doubles, five home runs and 12 walks.
  • Among all major league hitters, Lindor ranks 42nd in home runs and 55th in RBI.
  • Brandon Nimmo has sent home a team-high 20 runs batted in.
  • Starling Marte is hitting .265 with four doubles, four home runs and six walks.

Mets Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Brandon Nimmo 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+200)
Starling Marte 1.5 (+195) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+225)
Jeff McNeil 0.5 (-227) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+750) 0.5 (+220)
Francisco Lindor 0.5 (-238) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+330) 0.5 (+145)
Pete Alonso 0.5 (-222) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+360) 0.5 (+160)

Mets vs. Rays Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best plays and moments from the Tampa Bay Rays' 10-8 win over the New York Mets.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

ADVERTISEMENT

Want great stories delivered right to your inbox? Create or log in to your FOX Sports account, follow leagues, teams and players to receive a personalized newsletter daily.

share