Cubs vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 11

Updated May. 11, 2024 4:00 p.m. ET

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The Pittsburgh Pirates and Bryan Reynolds hit the field at PNC Park against Nico Hoerner and the Chicago Cubs on Saturday. The Pirates are -104 moneyline underdogs in this matchup with the favored Cubs (-116). Chicago is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +151 odds). The over/under is 7 runs for this contest (with -110 odds to go over and -110 odds to go under).

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Cubs-Pirates game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Cubs vs. Pirates Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments from the Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Rays game on Friday, May 10.

Cubs vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, May 11, 2024 at 4:05 PM ET
• Where: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
• How to Watch on TV: MARQ

Cubs vs. Pirates Prediction

• Score Prediction: Cubs 5, Pirates 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7 runs
• Win Probabilities: Cubs 53%, Pirates 47%

Cubs vs. Pirates Betting Insights

• This season, the Cubs have won nine out of the 14 games, or 64.3%, in which they've been favored.
• This season Chicago has won nine of its 13 games, or 69.2%, when favored by at least -116 on the moneyline.
• The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 53.7% chance of a victory for the Cubs.
• The Pirates have been victorious in 10, or 50%, of the 20 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This season, Pittsburgh has come away with a win eight times in 16 chances when named as an underdog of at least -104 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 51% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

FINAL

CHC 9 · PIT 10

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Chicago Cubs

CHC

-1.5

-116

o7

Pittsburgh Pirates

PIT

+1.5

-104

u7

Cubs Recent Betting Performance

• The Cubs have a 3-2 record from the five games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings, the Cubs and their opponents combined to hit the over four times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Cubs have gone 2-8-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Cubs Recent Stats

Cubs Player Insights

• Christopher Morel is the Cubs best power option, launching eight long balls this season in addition to delivering 25 RBI, both team highs.
• Morel's home runs place him 20th in the majors, and he ranks 25th in RBI.
• Hoerner is batting .270 with 11 doubles, a triple, a home run and 13 walks.
• Hoerner ranks 249th in home runs in the majors, and 201st in RBI.
• Mike Tauchman paces the Cubs with a team-best batting average of .271.
• Cody Bellinger is hitting .268 with three doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 11 walks.

Cubs Team Props

Learn more about this Cubs vs. Pirates matchup on Fox Sports.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

• The Pirates are not favored for the first time in a while, as they have not been underdogs in their last 10 games.
• The Pirates and their opponents have combined to hit the over three times in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Pirates have two wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Pirates Recent Stats

Pirates Player Insights

• Reynolds has driven in the most runs for the Pirates with 17 runs batted in.
• Reynolds ranks 88th in home runs and 82nd in RBI among all batters in the majors.
• Connor Joe has a club-high .288 batting average.
• Joe is 126th among all hitters in MLB in home runs, and 99th in RBI.
• Ke'Bryan Hayes has seven doubles, a home run and 15 walks while batting .240.
• Oneil Cruz leads the Pirates with five long balls.

Pirates Team Props

Cubs vs. Pirates Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments from the Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Rays game on Friday, May 10.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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MLB - Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates - 05/11/2024