Braves vs. Guardians Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 28

Braves vs. Guardians Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 28

Updated Apr. 28, 2024 1:00 p.m. ET

The Atlanta Braves will look to Travis d'Arnaud for continued offensive production when they take on Josh Naylor and the Cleveland Guardians on Sunday. The favored Braves have -159 moneyline odds against the underdog Guardians, who are listed at +135. Atlanta is favored on the run line (-1.5). The total for the contest has been set at 9 runs.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Braves-Guardians game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Guardians vs. Braves Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest plays in this matchup between the Cleveland Guardians and the Atlanta Braves.

Braves vs. Guardians Game Information & Odds

  • When: Sunday, April 28, 2024 at 1:35 PM ET
  • Where: Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia
  • How to Watch on TV: BSSO
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Braves -159 +135 9 -115 -105 -1.5 +123 -147

Braves vs. Guardians Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Braves 3, Guardians 2
  • Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Braves 54%, Guardians 46%

Braves vs. Guardians Betting Insights

  • This season, the Braves have been favored 25 times and won 18, or 72%, of those games.
  • Atlanta has a record of 11-6, a 64.7% win rate, when favored by -159 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Braves, based on the moneyline, is 61.4%.
  • The Guardians have been underdogs in 11 games this season and have come away with the win eight times (72.7%) in those contests.
  • This season, Cleveland has come away with a win three times in four chances when named as an underdog of at least +135 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Guardians have a 42.6% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
FINAL (10)
CLE 3 · ATL 4
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Cleveland Guardians
CLE
Atlanta Braves
ATL

Braves Recent Betting Performance

  • The Braves played as the moneyline favorite for each of their last 10 games, and they went 8-2 in those matchups.
  • In their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Braves and their opponents combined to go over the run total one time.
  • The Braves' ATS record is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Braves Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 8-2
Runs Per Game 4.8
HR 12
ERA 2.30
K/9 7.9

Braves Player Insights

  • Marcell Ozuna's nine long balls and 31 RBI both lead the Braves, in addition to his team-high .354 average.
  • Among all hitters in baseball, Ozuna is second in home runs and first in RBI.
  • Ozuna carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .438 with three doubles, four walks and four RBI.
  • Michael Harris II is hitting .324 with five doubles, a triple, three home runs and five walks.
  • Harris ranks 78th in home runs and 69th in RBI in the bigs.
  • Harris carries a five-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is batting .429 with two doubles and three RBI.
  • Ronald Acuna Jr. has five doubles, a home run and 18 walks while hitting .258.
  • Ozzie Albies is hitting .319 with seven doubles, two home runs and five walks.
  • Albies takes a 10-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last 10 outings he is batting .357 with six doubles, two walks and eight RBI.

Braves Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Marcell Ozuna 0.5 (-286) 1.5 (-105) 0.5 (+310) 0.5 (+120)
Orlando Arcia 0.5 (-263) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+185)
Ozzie Albies 1.5 (+200) 1.5 (-105) 0.5 (+340) 0.5 (+130)
Ronald Acuña Jr. 1.5 (+150) 1.5 (-125) 0.5 (+380) 0.5 (+155)
Matt Olson 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+255) 0.5 (+110)

Learn more about this Braves vs. Guardians matchup on Fox Sports.

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

  • In three games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by oddsmakers, the Guardians had a record of 1-2.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Guardians and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times.
  • Over their last 10 games, the Guardians are 6-4-0 against the spread.

Guardians Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 4.3
HR 8
ERA 3.40
K/9 10.6

Guardians Player Insights

  • Jose Ramirez has driven in the most runs for the Guardians with 24 runs batted in.
  • Among all batters in MLB, Ramirez's home run total is 34th and his RBI tally is fourth.
  • Ramirez brings a hitting streak of seven games into this game. During his last 10 games he is hitting .282 with two doubles, two home runs, two walks and 11 RBI.
  • Naylor's six home runs are a team-high total.
  • Naylor is 15th among all batters in the big leagues in homers, and 12th in RBI.
  • Steven Kwan leads the Guardians' lineup with a .345 batting average.
  • Tyler Freeman is batting .213 with four doubles, three home runs and eight walks.

Guardians Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Will Brennan 0.5 (-263) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+900) 0.5 (+180)
Steven Kwan 1.5 (+170) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+1200) 0.5 (+225)
Andrés Giménez 0.5 (-227) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+750) 0.5 (+205)
Josh Naylor 0.5 (-278) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+475) 0.5 (+130)
José Ramírez 0.5 (-278) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+145)

Guardians vs. Braves Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest plays in this matchup between the Cleveland Guardians and the Atlanta Braves.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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