Marlins vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 28

Marlins vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 28

Updated Apr. 28, 2024 1:00 p.m. ET

Ryan Weathers and Patrick Corbin are the projected starters when the Miami Marlins and Washington Nationals play on Sunday at LoanDepot park. The Nationals are listed as +119 moneyline underdogs for this matchup with the favored Marlins (-141). Miami is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The total for the matchup has been set at 8.5 runs.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Marlins-Nationals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Nationals vs. Marlins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments from the Washington Nationals' 11-4 win over the Miami Marlins.

Marlins vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

  • When: Sunday, April 28, 2024 at 1:40 PM ET
  • Where: LoanDepot park in Miami, Florida
  • How to Watch on TV: BSFL
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Marlins -141 +119 8.5 -104 -116 -1.5 +146 -175

Marlins vs. Nationals Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Nationals 5, Marlins 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Marlins 51%, Nationals 49%

Marlins vs. Nationals Betting Insights

  • This season, the Marlins have been listed as the favorite in eight games and failed to win any of those contests.
  • Miami has not won as favorites of -141 or more on the moneyline this season in four such games.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Marlins, based on the moneyline, is 58.5%.
  • The Nationals have been chosen as underdogs in 24 games this year and have walked away with the win 11 times (45.8%) in those games.
  • This season, Washington has come away with a win 10 times in 21 chances when named as an underdog of at least +119 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Nationals have a 45.7% chance of pulling out a win.
FINAL
WSH 12 · MIA 9
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Washington Nationals
WSH
Miami Marlins
MIA

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

  • The Marlins have been named the moneyline favorite by oddsmakers only twice over the last 10 games, and lost both matchups.
  • Over their last 10 outings, the Marlins and their opponents combined to hit the over three times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
  • The Marlins have a 3-7-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Marlins Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 2-8
Runs Per Game 2.4
HR 7
ERA 4.40
K/9 8.8

Marlins Player Insights

  • Luis Arraez is the Marlins best hitter so far this season, hitting at a team-leading .301 rate along with zero homers and three RBI.
  • Among all hitters in baseball, Arraez ranks 306th in homers and 316th in RBI.
  • Bryan De La Cruz's five home runs lead his team.
  • De La Cruz is 34th in homers and 59th in RBI in the bigs.
  • Josh Bell has three doubles, three home runs and 11 walks while batting .183.
  • Jazz Chisholm is batting .232 with five doubles, two home runs and 13 walks.

Marlins Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Tim Anderson 1.5 (+180) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+750) 0.5 (+145)
Luis Arraez 1.5 (+135) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+1200) 0.5 (+190)
Bryan De La Cruz 1.5 (+170) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+475) 0.5 (+165)
Josh Bell 0.5 (-278) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+160)
Avisaíl García 0.5 (-256) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+150)

Learn more about this Marlins vs. Nationals matchup on Fox Sports.

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

  • In 10 games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by oddsmakers, the Nationals had a record of 5-5.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Nationals and their opponents have failed to hit the over eight times.
  • Over their last 10 games, the Nationals are 6-4-0 against the spread.

Nationals Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 3.6
HR 9
ERA 3.70
K/9 6.6

Nationals Player Insights

  • C.J. Abrams paces the Nationals in home runs (six), runs batted in (13) and has put up a team-high batting average of .301.
  • Among all hitters in MLB, Abrams' home run total is 15th and his RBI tally ranks 69th.
  • Abrams has collected a hit in three straight games. In his last five games he is batting .316 with a triple, two walks and an RBI.
  • Jesse Winker has driven in the most runs for the Nationals with 13 runs batted in.
  • Winker ranks 78th among all hitters in the majors in home runs, and 69th in RBI.
  • Luis Garcia has seven doubles, a home run and five walks while batting .293.
  • Jacob Young is hitting .309 with three doubles and a walk.

Nationals Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
C.J. Abrams 0.5 (-213) 1.5 (+145) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+200)
Joey Meneses 0.5 (-270) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+150)
Ildemaro Vargas 0.5 (-238) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+750) 0.5 (+190)
Luis Garcia 0.5 (-227) 1.5 (+160) 0.5 (+1000) 0.5 (+220)
Keibert Ruiz 0.5 (-256) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+800) 0.5 (+185)

Nationals vs. Marlins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments from the Washington Nationals' 11-4 win over the Miami Marlins.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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