Fresno State vs. New Mexico Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 21, 2024

Updated Sep. 19, 2024 3:06 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Fresno State Bulldogs (2-1) visit the New Mexico Lobos (0-3) on Saturday, September 21, 2024 in a matchup between MWC opponents at University Stadium (NM). New Mexico is a two-touchdown underdog. The contest has an over/under of 58.5.

Against the New Mexico State Aggies in their last contest, the Bulldogs won 48-0. Facing the Auburn Tigers in their most recent contest, the Lobos lost 45-19.

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Fresno State vs. New Mexico Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, September 21, 2024 at 8:30 p.m. ET
Location: University Stadium (NM) in Albuquerque, New Mexico
TV: truTV
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

More College Football Predictions

Fresno State vs New Mexico Betting Information updated as of September 19, 2024, 2:47 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Fresno State	-14 (-111)	-606	+432	58.5	-110	-110

Fresno State vs. New Mexico Prediction

Pick ATS: New Mexico (+14)
Pick OU: Over (58.5)
Prediction: Fresno State 32, New Mexico 31

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the Fresno State Bulldogs vs. the New Mexico Lobos game on FOX Sports!

Fresno State vs. New Mexico Betting Insights

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the matchup is Bulldogs 36, Lobos 22.
The Bulldogs have an 85.8% chance to collect the win in this contest based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Lobos hold an 18.8% implied probability.
Fresno State has covered twice in two chances against the spread this season.
New Mexico has covered twice in three games with a spread this year.

Fresno State vs. New Mexico: Head-to-Head

Fresno State owns a 2-1 record against New Mexico in their last three matchups.
The last three times the Bulldogs have gone up against the Lobos, they have put up a 2-1 record against the spread. The scoring has gone over the total on one occasion.
In their last three head-to-head matchups, Fresno State has racked up 92 points against New Mexico, while allowing only 41 points.

Fresno State vs. New Mexico: 2024 Stats Comparison

	Fresno State	New Mexico
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	34.7 (33)	29.7 (62)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	20 (64)	47 (132)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	5 (96)	5 (96)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	7 (10)	6 (15)

Fresno State 2024 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Mac Dalena	WR	15 REC / 384 YDS / 3 TD / 128.0 YPG
Mikey Keene	QB	814 YDS (62.4%) / 5 TD / 4 INT
Malik Sherrod	RB	191 YDS / 3 TD / 63.7 YPG / 3.7 YPC
Jalen Moss	WR	13 REC / 222 YDS / 0 TD / 74.0 YPG
Cameron Lockridge	DB	12 TKL / 2.0 TFL / 3 INT / 3 PD
Camryn Bracha	DB	14 TKL / 1.0 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Korey Foreman	DL	4 TKL / 1.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK
Tuasivi Nomura	LB	11 TKL / 0.0 TFL

New Mexico 2024 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Devon Dampier	QB	723 YDS (57.1%) / 5 TD / 4 INT 181 RUSH YDS / 3 RUSH TD / 60.3 RUSH YPG
Luke Wysong	WR	20 REC / 281 YDS / 1 TD / 93.7 YPG
Eli Sanders	RB	189 YDS / 0 TD / 63.0 YPG / 4.7 YPC 3 REC / 44 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 14.7 REC YPG
Caleb Medford	WR	4 REC / 61 YDS / 2 TD / 20.3 YPG
Christian Ellis	DB	17 TKL / 1.0 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Noah Avinger	DB	24 TKL / 0.0 TFL
Jayden Wilson	LB	11 TKL / 0.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK
Gabriel Lopez	LB	5 TKL / 1.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK