TCU vs. SMU Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 21, 2024

Updated Sep. 19, 2024 3:06 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Iron Skillet is on the line when the TCU Horned Frogs (2-1) and the SMU Mustangs (2-1) square off on Saturday, September 21, 2024 at Gerald J. Ford Stadium. The Horned Frogs are 3-point favorites. The over/under is 58.5 for this matchup.

The Horned Frogs lost versus the UCF Knights in their most recent game, 35-34. Against the BYU Cougars in their most recent contest, the Mustangs lost 18-15.

Keep up with college football all season on FOX Sports.

Josh Hoover links up with Eric McAlister for a 14-yard TD, giving TCU an early lead over UCF

Josh Hoover linked up with Eric McAlister for a 14-yard TD to give the TCU Horned Frogs an early lead over the UCF Knights.

TCU vs. SMU Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, September 21, 2024 at 5:00 p.m. ET
Location: Gerald J. Ford Stadium in University Park, Texas
TV: The CW
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

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TCU vs SMU Betting Information updated as of September 19, 2024, 2:46 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
TCU	-3 (-105)	-149	+123	58.5	-109	-111

TCU vs. SMU Prediction

Pick ATS: SMU (+3)
Pick OU: Under (58.5)
Prediction: TCU 28, SMU 26

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the TCU Horned Frogs vs. the SMU Mustangs game on FOX Sports!

TCU vs. SMU Betting Insights

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the tilt is Horned Frogs 31, Mustangs 28.
The Horned Frogs have a 59.8% chance to win this contest per the moneyline's implied probability. The Mustangs have a 44.8% implied probability.
TCU has put together a 0-3-0 record against the spread this season.
SMU has put together a 0-2-0 record against the spread this season.

TCU vs. SMU: Head-to-Head

TCU owns a 2-1 record against SMU in their last three matchups.
The Horned Frogs carry a 2-1 record ATS in those games, while the two teams have gone over the total on two occasions.
In their last three head-to-head matchups, TCU has scored 110 points against SMU, while giving up only 93 points.

TCU vs. SMU: 2024 Stats Comparison

	TCU	SMU
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	37.7 (21)	34.3 (34)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	20.7 (69)	16.3 (49)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	2 (29)	5 (96)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	2 (97)	6 (15)

TCU 2024 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Josh Hoover	QB	1,022 YDS (69.7%) / 8 TD / 0 INT 7 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / 2.3 RUSH YPG
Jack Bech	WR	17 REC / 350 YDS / 2 TD / 116.7 YPG
Cam Cook	RB	174 YDS / 4 TD / 58 YPG / 4 YPC
Savion Williams	WR	20 REC / 191 YDS / 3 TD / 63.7 YPG
Namdi Obiazor	LB	7 TKL / 2 TFL / 1.5 SACK / 1 INT
Jamel Johnson	DB	15 TKL / 0 TFL
Johnny Hodges	LB	12 TKL / 2 TFL
JaTravis Broughton	DB	9 TKL / 0 TFL

SMU 2024 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Brashard Smith	RB	250 YDS / 3 TD / 83.3 YPG / 7.4 YPC 6 REC / 47 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 15.7 REC YPG
Kevin Jennings	QB	342 YDS (56.9%) / 1 TD / 1 INT 96 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / 32 RUSH YPG
Preston Stone	QB	336 YDS (58.1%) / 3 TD / 1 INT
RJ Maryland	TE	10 REC / 175 YDS / 1 TD / 58.3 YPG
Kobe Wilson	LB	18 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Ahmaad Moses	DB	16 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Isaiah Smith	DL	9 TKL / 3 TFL / 2 SACK
Jared Harrison-Hunte	DL	9 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 SACK / 1 INT