Auburn vs. Mississippi State Prediction, Odds, Picks - SEC Tournament

Auburn vs. Mississippi State Prediction, Odds, Picks - SEC Tournament

Updated Mar. 16, 2024 10:27 a.m. ET
Data Skrive

The No. 4 seed Auburn Tigers (25-7, 13-5 SEC) head into the SEC tournament against the No. 9 seed Mississippi State Bulldogs (21-12, 8-10 SEC) on Saturday at Bridgestone Arena, beginning at 1:00 PM ET.

The Tigers are an 8-point favorite against the Bulldogs when the Tigers and the Bulldogs meet. The matchup's point total is set at 143.

Continue scrolling to get all the information before betting on the Auburn-Mississippi State clash.

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Auburn vs. Mississippi State Game Information & Odds

  • When: Saturday, March 16, 2024 at 1:00 PM ET
  • Where: Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, Tennessee
  • How to Watch on TV: ESPN
  • Live boxscore on FOX Sports
Tigers vs Bulldogs Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Tigers -8 -108 -112 143 -108 -112 -360 +285

Auburn vs. Mississippi State Prediction

  • Pick ATS: Auburn (-8)
  • Pick OU: Over (143)
  • Prediction: Auburn 78, Mississippi State 70

Learn more about the Auburn Tigers vs. the Mississippi State Bulldogs game on FOX Sports!

Auburn vs. Mississippi State Betting Insights

Betting Line Implied Predictions

  • Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Tigers 76, Bulldogs 68.
  • The Tigers have a 78.3% chance to collect the win in this contest based on the moneyline's implied probability.
  • The Bulldogs sit with a 26.0% implied probability to come out on top.

Key Spread Facts

  • Auburn has covered 20 times in 32 games with a spread this season.
  • Mississippi State has won 16 games against the spread this year, while failing to cover or pushing 17 times.
  • When playing as at least 8-point favorites this season, Auburn has an ATS record of 13-6.
  • Mississippi State has covered the spread once this year (1-2 ATS) when playing as at least 8-point underdogs.

Key Total Facts

  • Tigers games have finished with more than 143 points 19 times so far this year.
  • Bulldogs games have finished with over 143 points scored 15 times this year.
  • The Tigers and Bulldogs average 158.6 points per game combined, which is 15.6 more than the over/under for this matchup.

Key Moneyline Facts

  • Auburn has won 21 of 26 games when favored on the moneyline this season (80.8%).
  • Mississippi State has been underdogs in 12 games this season and won six (50%) of those contests.
  • When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -360 or shorter, Auburn has gone 14-1 (93.3% win percentage).
  • This season, Mississippi State has won three of its five games when it is the underdog by at least +285 on the moneyline.

Auburn vs. Mississippi State: Recent Results

Tigers vs Bulldogs Recent Games
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Result
3/2/2024 Tigers -10.5 146 -600 +440 78-63 AUBRN
1/27/2024 Tigers -3 144.5 -166 +140 64-58 MSPST
1/14/2023 Tigers -7.5 128.5 -305 +255 69-63 AUBRN

Auburn vs. Mississippi State: 2023-24 Stats Comparison

Auburn Mississippi State
Points Scored Per Game (Rank) 83.6 (13) 75 (133)
Points Allowed (Rank) 68.1 (73) 68.9 (87)
Rebounds (Rank) 10 (72) 10.6 (40)
3pt Made (Rank) 8.2 (104) 7.3 (195)
Assists (Rank) 18 (7) 14.2 (109)
Turnovers (Rank) 10 (69) 12.3 (280)

Auburn 2023-24 Key Players

Tigers Leaders
Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Johni Broome 32 16.3 8.5 2.1 0.9 2.2 0.8
Jaylin Williams 31 12.6 4.4 1.9 0.7 0.6 1
Chad Baker 32 10.2 3.8 2.3 1 0.5 1.1
Denver Jones 32 8.7 1.9 1.4 0.8 0.1 1.4
Aden Holloway 32 7.8 1.5 2.7 0.4 0 1.6

Mississippi State 2023-24 Key Players

Bulldogs Leaders
Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Josh Hubbard 33 17.1 2.2 1.7 0.6 0.1 3.2
Tolu Smith 21 15.5 8.3 1.3 0.7 0.4 0
Cameron Matthews 33 9.7 6.9 2.9 2 0.7 0.1
Shakeel Moore 31 8 2.2 1.9 0.9 0.2 0.9
Dashawn Davis 33 6.8 1.8 2.7 1.6 0.1 1

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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