Illinois vs. Morehead State Prediction, Odds, Picks - NCAA Tournament First Round

Updated Mar. 21, 2024 3:27 p.m. ET

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An opening-round NCAA Tournament matchup will see the No. 3-seed Illinois Fighting Illini (26-8) take the court against the No. 14 seed Morehead State Eagles (26-8) on Thursday at CHI Health Center Omaha. The contest tips off at 3:10 PM ET, on truTV.

The Fighting Illini hit the court as double-digit favorites against the Eagles. The Fighting Illini are favored by 10.5 points. The game's over/under is set at 146.5.

Keep reading to get the download before betting on the Illinois-Morehead State contest.

Illinois vs. Morehead State Game Information & Odds

• When: Thursday, March 21, 2024 at 3:10 PM ET
• Where: CHI Health Center Omaha in Omaha, Nebraska
• How to Watch on TV: truTV
• Live boxscore on FOX Sports

Illinois vs. Morehead State Prediction

• Pick ATS: Illinois (-10.5)
  
• Pick OU: Over (146.5)
  
• Prediction: Illinois 81, Morehead State 67

Learn more about the Illinois Fighting Illini vs. the Morehead State Eagles game on FOX Sports!

Illinois vs. Morehead State Betting Insights

Betting Line Implied Predictions

• Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the encounter is Fighting Illini 78, Eagles 68.
• The Fighting Illini have an 86.7% chance to collect the win in this contest per the moneyline's implied probability.
• The Eagles hold a 17.5% implied probability to win.

Key Spread Facts

• Illinois has won 18 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover or pushing 15 times.
• Morehead State has won 19 games against the spread this year, while failing to cover 11 times.
• Illinois is 5-6 ATS this season when playing as at least 10.5-point favorites.
• Morehead State has covered the spread once when an underdog by 10.5 points or more this season (in four opportunities).

Key Total Facts

• Fighting Illini games have finished with more than 146.5 points 24 times so far this season.
• Eagles games have gone over 146.5 points on 10 occasions this year.
• The over/under for this game is 146.5 points, 13.4 fewer than the scoring average of the two teams combined.

Key Moneyline Facts

• Illinois has won 19 of 24 games when favored on the moneyline this season (79.2%).
• Morehead State has been underdogs in five games this season and won three (60%) of those contests.
• Illinois has won all seven games it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -650 or shorter.
• Morehead State has a record of 1-3 when it is set as the underdog by +470 or more by oddsmakers this season.

Illinois vs. Morehead State: 2023-24 Stats Comparison

Illinois 2023-24 Key Players

Morehead State 2023-24 Key Players

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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CBK - Morehead State Eagles vs. Illinois Fighting Illini - 03/21/2024

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