Kentucky vs. Troy Prediction, Odds, Picks - NCAA Tournament First Round

Updated Mar. 21, 2025 5:27 a.m. ET

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The No. 3 seed Kentucky Wildcats (22-11) and the No. 14 seed Troy Trojans (23-10) will meet on Friday at 7:10 p.m. ET in the first round of the NCAA Tournament. The contest airs on CBS.

NCAA BK

NCAA TOURNMENT - FIRST ROUND

Kentucky Wildcats UK

11:10 PM

CBS

3

Kentucky ^22-11

UK ^22-11

14

Troy ^23-10

TROY ^23-10

Troy Trojans TROY

UK -11.5 TOTAL 151.5

The Wildcats take the court as double-digit favorites against the Trojans. The Wildcats are favored by 11.5 points. The over/under for the matchup is 151.5.

Keep reading to get everything you need to know before wagering on the Kentucky-Troy clash.

Kentucky vs. Troy Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, March 21, 2025 at 7:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, Wisconsin
• How to watch on TV: CBS
• Live boxscore on FOX Sports

Kentucky vs. Troy Prediction

• Pick ATS: Troy (+11.5)
  
• Pick OU: Under (151.5)
  
• Prediction: Kentucky 81, Troy 70

Learn more about the Kentucky Wildcats vs. the Troy Trojans game on FOX Sports!

Kentucky vs. Troy Betting Insights

Betting Line Implied Predictions

• Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the matchup is Wildcats 82, Trojans 70.
• The Wildcats have an 88.3% chance to claim victory in this matchup per the moneyline's implied probability.
• The Trojans have a 16.0% implied probability to come out on top.

Key Spread Facts

• Kentucky has compiled a 16-15-1 ATS record so far this year.
• Troy has put together a 20-10-1 record against the spread this season.
• Kentucky has an ATS record of 5-3-1 when playing as at least 11.5-point favorites this season.
• Troy has covered the spread once this season (1-2 ATS) when playing as at least 11.5-point underdogs.

Key Total Facts

• The Wildcats and their opponent have broken the 151.5-point mark 20 times this season.
• So far this season, six Trojans games have featured over 151.5 points scored.
• The total for this matchup is 151.5 points, 7.7 fewer than the combined scoring average of the two teams.

Key Moneyline Facts

• Kentucky has won 14 of 20 games when favored on the moneyline this season (70%).
• Troy has won two of the seven games it has played as underdogs this season.
• Kentucky has won all eight games it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -752 or shorter.
• Troy has not won as an underdog of +525 or more on the moneyline this season in three games with those odds or longer.

Fri 11:10 PM

CBS

NCAA BK

SPREAD

TO WIN

TOTAL

14

Troy Trojans

TROY

+11.5

+537

O 151.5

3

Kentucky Wildcats

UK

-11.5

-763

U 151.5

Kentucky vs. Troy: 2024-25 Stats Comparison

Kentucky 2024-25 Key Players

Troy 2024-25 Key Players

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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CBK - Troy Trojans vs. Kentucky Wildcats - 03/21/2025

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