North Carolina vs. Alabama Prediction, Odds, Picks - NCAA Tournament Sweet 16

North Carolina vs. Alabama Prediction, Odds, Picks - NCAA Tournament Sweet 16

Updated Mar. 28, 2024 8:27 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The No. 4-seed Alabama Crimson Tide (23-11) are ready for a Sweet 16 matchup against the No. 1 North Carolina Tar Heels (29-7) on Thursday at 9:39 PM ET as the NCAA Tournament continues at Crypto.com Arena airing on CBS.

The Tar Heels enter their matchup against the Crimson Tide as a 4.5-point favorite. The matchup features a point total of 174.

Keep scrolling to get the download ahead of placing bets on the North Carolina-Alabama game.

ADVERTISEMENT

North Carolina vs. Alabama Game Information & Odds

  • When: Thursday, March 28, 2024 at 9:39 PM ET
  • Where: Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles, California
  • How to Watch on TV: CBS
  • Live boxscore on FOX Sports
Tar Heels vs Crimson Tide Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Tar Heels -4.5 -108 -112 174 -112 -108 -205 +170

North Carolina vs. Alabama Prediction

  • Pick ATS: Alabama (+4.5)
  • Pick OU: Under (174)
  • Prediction: North Carolina 82, Alabama 80

Learn more about the North Carolina Tar Heels vs. the Alabama Crimson Tide game on FOX Sports!

North Carolina vs. Alabama Betting Insights

Betting Line Implied Predictions

  • Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the encounter is Tar Heels 89, Crimson Tide 85.
  • The Tar Heels have a 67.2% chance to claim victory in this matchup based on the moneyline's implied probability.
  • The Crimson Tide sit with a 37.0% implied probability to come out on top.

Key Spread Facts

  • North Carolina has put together a 20-14-0 ATS record so far this year.
  • Alabama is 19-13-0 ATS this season.
  • North Carolina has been favored by 4.5 points or more 23 times this season, and covered the spread in 12 of those games.
  • Alabama has covered the spread once when an underdog by 4.5 points or more this season (in four opportunities).

Key Total Facts

  • Three times so far this year, the Tar Heels and their opponent have combined for more than 174 points.
  • Crimson Tide games have had over 174 points 14 times this season.
  • The two teams combine to average 1.5 points per game fewer than the total for this matchup (174).

Key Moneyline Facts

  • North Carolina has won 83.3% of its games this season when favored on the moneyline (25-5).
  • Alabama has entered the game as underdogs seven times this season and won once.
  • When it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -205 or shorter, North Carolina has gone 18-4 (81.8% win percentage).
  • Alabama has not won as an underdog of +170 or more on the moneyline this season in four games with those odds or longer.

North Carolina vs. Alabama: Recent Results

Tar Heels vs Crimson Tide Recent Games
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Result
11/27/2022 Crimson Tide -1.5 154.5 -125 +105 103-101 ALA

North Carolina vs. Alabama: 2023-24 Stats Comparison

North Carolina Alabama
Points Scored Per Game (Rank) 81.8 (20) 90.7 (1)
Points Allowed (Rank) 70 (112) 80.9 (355)
Rebounds (Rank) 10.4 (48) 10.9 (32)
3pt Made (Rank) 8 (119) 11 (3)
Assists (Rank) 14.4 (100) 15.9 (34)
Turnovers (Rank) 9.7 (49) 11.8 (248)

North Carolina 2023-24 Key Players

Tar Heels Leaders
Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
RJ Davis 36 21.3 3.6 3.4 1.2 0.2 3.1
Armando Bacot 36 14.4 10.2 1.6 0.6 1.4 0.1
Ingram Harrison 36 12.2 8.8 2.1 1.4 0.4 1.8
Cormac Ryan 35 11.3 2.7 1.2 0.7 0.4 2
Elliot Cadeau 36 7.3 2.2 4.1 0.8 0.1 0.2

Alabama 2023-24 Key Players

Crimson Tide Leaders
Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Mark Sears 34 21.5 4.3 4.1 1.7 0.1 2.4
Aaron Estrada 34 13.2 5.4 4.6 1.7 0.1 1.3
Grant Nelson 34 11.4 5.4 1.6 0.6 1.6 0.8
Rylan Griffen 33 11 3.4 1.8 0.5 0.2 1.9
Latrell Wrightsell Jr. 30 9 3 1.4 1.1 0 2.2

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

share