North Carolina vs. Florida State Prediction, Odds, Picks - ACC Tournament

Updated Mar. 14, 2024 10:28 a.m. ET

Data Skrive

The No. 1 seed North Carolina Tar Heels (25-6, 17-3 ACC) and the No. 9 seed Florida State Seminoles (17-15, 10-10 ACC) play in the ACC tournament Thursday at Capital One Arena, tipping off at 12:00 PM ET.

The Tar Heels take the court as double-digit favorites against the Seminoles. The Tar Heels are favored by 10.5 points. The matchup features a point total of 154.5.

Keep reading to get all the information before wagering on the North Carolina-Florida State clash.

North Carolina vs. Florida State Game Information & Odds

When: Thursday, March 14, 2024 at 12:00 PM ET
Where: Capital One Arena in Washington D.C.
How to Watch on TV: ESPN
Live boxscore on FOX Sports

Tar Heels vs Seminoles Betting Information
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline
Tar Heels	-10.5	-112	-108	154.5	-105	-115	-650	+470

North Carolina vs. Florida State Prediction

Pick ATS: Florida State (+10.5)
Pick OU: Under (154.5)
Prediction: North Carolina 80, Florida State 72

Learn more about the North Carolina Tar Heels vs. the Florida State Seminoles game on FOX Sports!

North Carolina vs. Florida State Betting Insights

Betting Line Implied Predictions

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the encounter is Tar Heels 82, Seminoles 72.
The Tar Heels have an 86.7% chance to win this game per the moneyline's implied probability.
The Seminoles hold a 17.5% implied probability to win.

Key Spread Facts

North Carolina has won 18 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 13 times.
Florida State has won 16 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover or pushing 16 times.
When playing as at least 10.5-point favorites this season, North Carolina has an ATS record of 6-6.
Florida State has won its only game this season when playing as at least 10.5-point underdogs.

Key Total Facts

The Tar Heels and their opponent have broken the 154.5-point mark 16 times this season.
Seminoles games have had over 154.5 points 17 times this year.
These two teams score a combined average of 158.4 points per game, higher than the total for this matchup by 3.9 points.

Key Moneyline Facts

North Carolina has won 19 of 23 games when favored on the moneyline this season (82.6%).
Florida State has entered the game as underdogs 15 times this season and won six, or 40%, of those games.
North Carolina has won all nine games it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -650 or shorter.
Florida State has played as an underdog of +470 or more once this season and lost that game.

North Carolina vs. Florida State: Recent Results

Tar Heels vs Seminoles Recent Games
Date	Favorite	Spread	Total	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Result
1/27/2024	Tar Heels	-6	154.5	-265	+215	75-68 NCAR
12/2/2023	Tar Heels	-12	157.5	-1000	+650	78-70 NCAR
2/27/2023	Tar Heels	-7.5	155	-350	+290	77-66 NCAR

North Carolina vs. Florida State: 2023-24 Stats Comparison

	North Carolina	Florida State
Points Scored Per Game (Rank)	81.6 (22)	76.8 (88)
Points Allowed (Rank)	70.1 (119)	75.8 (287)
Rebounds (Rank)	10.4 (47)	8.8 (159)
3pt Made (Rank)	8.0 (121)	6.1 (307)
Assists (Rank)	14.2 (109)	12.4 (239)
Turnovers (Rank)	9.9 (62)	11.6 (217)

North Carolina 2023-24 Key Players

Tar Heels Leaders
Name	GP	PTS	REB	ASST	STL	BLK	3PM
RJ Davis	31	21.1	3.7	3.5	1.2	0.2	3.1
Armando Bacot	31	13.9	10.1	1.6	0.5	1.5	0.1
Ingram Harrison	31	12.5	9.3	2.2	1.5	0.5	1.7
Cormac Ryan	30	11.5	2.9	1.3	0.7	0.4	2.0
Elliot Cadeau	31	7.7	2.0	3.9	0.8	0.1	0.3

Florida State 2023-24 Key Players

Seminoles Leaders
Name	GP	PTS	REB	ASST	STL	BLK	3PM
Jamir Watkins	32	15.7	6.1	2.7	1.9	0.8	1.0
Darin Green Jr.	31	11.5	3.0	1.0	1.5	0.1	2.5
Amir "Primo" Spears	23	10.3	1.7	2.2	1.2	0.0	0.7
Cameron Corhen	28	9.3	3.9	0.6	0.8	0.4	0.0
Baba	32	7.7	4.9	1.4	0.9	1.1	0.7