Oregon vs. Liberty Prediction, Odds, Picks - NCAA Tournament First Round
Updated
Mar. 21, 2025 5:27 a.m. ET
Data Skrive
The No. 5 seed Oregon Ducks (24-9) and the No. 12 seed Liberty Flames (28-6) will meet on Friday at 10:10 p.m. ET in the opening round of the NCAA Tournament. The contest airs on truTV.
The Ducks head into their matchup against the Flames as a 6.5-point favorite. The over/under for the game is 139.5.
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Keep reading to get all the information ahead of wagering on the Oregon-Liberty clash.
Oregon vs. Liberty Game Information & Odds
- When: Friday, March 21, 2025 at 10:10 p.m. ET
- Where: Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, Washington
- How to watch on TV: truTV
- Live boxscore on FOX Sports
Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ducks | -6.5 | -115 | -105 | 139.5 | -108 | -112 | -310 | +250 |
Oregon vs. Liberty Prediction
- Pick ATS: Liberty (+6.5)
- Pick OU: Over (139.5)
- Prediction: Oregon 73, Liberty 70
Learn more about the Oregon Ducks vs. the Liberty Flames game on FOX Sports!
Oregon vs. Liberty Betting Insights
Betting Line Implied Predictions
- Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the matchup is Ducks 73, Flames 66.
- The Ducks have a 75.6% chance to collect the win in this contest based on the moneyline's implied probability.
- The Flames sit with a 28.6% implied probability to come out on top.
Key Spread Facts
- Oregon has compiled a 15-17-0 record against the spread this season.
- Liberty is 20-11-0 ATS this season.
- Oregon has an ATS record of 6-7 when playing as at least 6.5-point favorites this season.
Key Total Facts
- A total of 22 times so far this season, the Ducks and their opponent have combined to score more than 139.5 points.
- So far this year, 18 Flames games have featured more than 139.5 points scored.
- These teams score 152.8 points per game combined, higher than the over/under for this matchup by 13.3.
Key Moneyline Facts
- Oregon has won 19 of 24 games when listed as the moneyline favorite this season (79.2%).
- Liberty has been the underdog in five games this season but picked up the win in all of them.
- Oregon has won all 10 games it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -310 or shorter.
- Liberty has not entered a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +250.
Oregon vs. Liberty: 2024-25 Stats Comparison
Oregon | Liberty | |
---|---|---|
Points Scored Per Game (Rank) | 76.2 (111) | 76.6 (103) |
Points Allowed (Rank) | 70.9 (145) | 62.9 (8) |
Rebounds (Rank) | 8.2 (237) | 5.6 (358) |
3pt Made (Rank) | 7.7 (173) | 10.6 (11) |
Assists (Rank) | 14.6 (100) | 16.8 (19) |
Turnovers (Rank) | 10.5 (117) | 9.4 (30) |
Oregon 2024-25 Key Players
Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nathan Bittle | 33 | 14.1 | 7.4 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 2.2 | 1 |
Jackson Shelstad | 33 | 13.2 | 2.9 | 2.7 | 1 | 0 | 1.8 |
TJ Bamba | 33 | 10.4 | 3.5 | 2.9 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 0.7 |
Keeshawn Barthelemy | 33 | 10.1 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 1.8 |
Brandon Angel | 33 | 8.5 | 3.9 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.7 |
Liberty 2024-25 Key Players
Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Taelon Peter | 34 | 13.9 | 4.1 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 2.2 |
Kaden Metheny | 33 | 13.5 | 2.9 | 2 | 0.8 | 0 | 3 |
Zach Cleveland | 31 | 10.9 | 6.3 | 5 | 0.7 | 1 | 0.1 |
Isaiah Ihnen | 11 | 10.4 | 4.3 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 1.3 |
Colin Porter | 34 | 9.3 | 2.1 | 4.3 | 1.6 | 0 | 1.6 |
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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