Saint Mary's (CA) vs. Vanderbilt Prediction, Odds, Picks - NCAA Tournament First Round

Updated Mar. 21, 2025 3:27 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

An opening-round NCAA Tournament matchup will see the 10th-seeded Vanderbilt Commodores (20-12) hit the court against the No. 7 seed Saint Mary's Gaels (28-5) on Friday at Rocket Arena. The contest tips off at 3:30 p.m. ET, on truTV.

NCAA BK

NCAA TOURNMENT - FIRST ROUND

Saint Mary's Gaels SMC

Vanderbilt Commodores VAN

FINAL

VAN +4.5 UNDER 136.5

The Gaels head into their matchup against the Commodores as a 4.5-point favorite. The game's over/under is set at 136.5.

Keep scrolling to get all the information ahead of wagering on the Saint Mary's (CA)-Vanderbilt matchup.

Saint Mary's (CA) vs. Vanderbilt Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, March 21, 2025 at 3:30 p.m. ET
Where: Rocket Arena in Cleveland, Ohio
How to watch on TV: truTV
Live boxscore on FOX Sports

Gaels vs Commodores Betting Information
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline
Gaels	-4.5	-110	-110	136.5	-105	-115	-192	+160

Saint Mary's (CA) vs. Vanderbilt Prediction

Pick ATS: Saint Mary's (CA) (-4.5)
Pick OU: Over (136.5)
Prediction: Saint Mary's (CA) 75, Vanderbilt 70

Learn more about the Saint Mary's Gaels vs. the Vanderbilt Commodores game on FOX Sports!

Saint Mary's (CA) vs. Vanderbilt Betting Insights

Betting Line Implied Predictions

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the matchup is Gaels 70, Commodores 66.
The Gaels have a 65.8% chance to win this contest per the moneyline's implied probability.
The Commodores sit with a 38.5% implied probability to come out on top.

Key Spread Facts

Saint Mary's (CA) has won 14 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 18 times.
Vanderbilt has compiled an 18-14-0 ATS record so far this year.
Saint Mary's (CA) has been favored by 4.5 points or more 25 times this season, and covered the spread in 10 of those matchups.
Vanderbilt is 3-6 ATS this year when playing as at least 4.5-point underdogs.

Key Total Facts

A total of 16 times so far this season, the Gaels and their opponent have combined for more than 136.5 points.
There have been 30 Commodores games this season with more than 136.5 points scored.
These teams score 153.1 points per game combined, higher than the over/under for this matchup by 16.6.

Key Moneyline Facts

Saint Mary's (CA) has been favored on the moneyline 28 times this season. They've finished 24-4 in those games.
Vanderbilt has been underdogs in 14 games this season and won five (35.7%) of those contests.
Saint Mary's (CA) has a record of 23-3 when it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -192 or shorter (winning 88.5%).
Vanderbilt has a record of 2-7, a 22.2% win rate, when it is set as the underdog by +160 or more by bookmakers this season.

Vanderbilt Commodores

VAN

Saint Mary's Gaels

SMC

Saint Mary's (CA) vs. Vanderbilt: 2024-25 Stats Comparison

	Saint Mary's (CA)	Vanderbilt
Points Scored Per Game (Rank)	73.5 (190)	79.6 (47)
Points Allowed (Rank)	60.7 (5)	74.8 (263)
Rebounds (Rank)	12.3 (6)	9.8 (97)
3pt Made (Rank)	6.5 (306)	8.1 (135)
Assists (Rank)	15.5 (61)	13.9 (151)
Turnovers (Rank)	9.2 (15)	9.8 (46)

Saint Mary's (CA) 2024-25 Key Players

Gaels Leaders
Name	GP	PTS	REB	ASST	STL	BLK	3PM
Augustas Marciulionis	33	14.2	3	6.1	1.4	0.1	1.5
Paulius Murauskas	33	12.5	8	1.4	0.7	0.4	1
Mitchell Saxen	33	10.6	7.9	1.8	1.3	1.3	0
Luke Barrett	33	9.9	6.7	1.4	0.7	0.4	1.1
Mikey Lewis	33	8.5	1.7	0.6	0.7	0.2	1.7

Vanderbilt 2024-25 Key Players

Commodores Leaders
Name	GP	PTS	REB	ASST	STL	BLK	3PM
Jason Edwards	32	17.1	1.9	1.2	0.9	0	2
Tyler Nickel	32	10.5	2.4	0.9	0.5	0.5	2.4
Devin	32	10.3	7.9	1	0.8	1.1	0.8
A.J Hoggard	31	9.8	2.7	4.7	1.2	0.3	0.8
Jaylen Carey	32	8.2	5.8	0.8	0.6	0.7	0.3