San Diego State vs. Utah State Prediction, Odds, Picks - MWC Tournament

San Diego State vs. Utah State Prediction, Odds, Picks - MWC Tournament

Updated Mar. 15, 2024 8:28 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The No. 5 seed San Diego State Aztecs (23-9, 11-7 MWC) take on the No. 1 seed Utah State Aggies (27-5, 14-4 MWC) in the MWC tournament Friday at Thomas & Mack Center, beginning at 9:30 PM ET. Both teams will try to take one step closer to earning an automatic place in the NCAA Tournament.

The Aztecs are a 5-point favorite against the Aggies when the Aztecs and the Aggies square off. The matchup features an over/under of 138.5.

Keep reading to get the details before betting on the San Diego State-Utah State matchup.

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San Diego State vs. Utah State Game Information & Odds

  • When: Friday, March 15, 2024 at 9:30 PM ET
  • Where: Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas, Nevada
  • How to Watch on TV: CBS Sports Network
  • Live boxscore on FOX Sports
Aztecs vs Aggies Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Aztecs -5 -110 -110 138.5 -110 -110 -225 +185

San Diego State vs. Utah State Prediction

  • Pick ATS: Utah State (+5)
  • Pick OU: Over (138.5)
  • Prediction: San Diego State 74, Utah State 73

Learn more about the San Diego State Aztecs vs. the Utah State Aggies game on FOX Sports!

San Diego State vs. Utah State Betting Insights

Betting Line Implied Predictions

  • Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the encounter is Aztecs 72, Aggies 67.
  • The Aztecs have a 69.2% chance to claim victory in this matchup per the moneyline's implied probability.
  • The Aggies hold a 35.1% implied probability to come out on top.

Key Spread Facts

  • San Diego State has won 12 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 18 times.
  • Utah State has put together a 14-14-2 record against the spread this year.
  • When playing as at least 5-point favorites this season, San Diego State has an ATS record of 10-9.
  • Utah State has been an underdog by 5 points or more this year four times and failed to cover in all four.

Key Total Facts

  • In 16 games this season, the Aztecs and their opponent have combined for more than 138.5 points.
  • There have been 23 Aggies games this season with more than 138.5 points scored.
  • These teams score 154.8 points per game combined, higher than the over/under for this matchup by 16.3.

Key Moneyline Facts

  • San Diego State has won 18 of 22 games when listed as the moneyline favorite this season (81.8%).
  • This season, Utah State has been the underdog five times and won one of those games.
  • In games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -225 or shorter, San Diego State has a record of 17-1 (94.4% win percentage).
  • Utah State has not won as an underdog of +185 or more on the moneyline this season in four games with those odds or longer.

San Diego State vs. Utah State: Recent Results

Aztecs vs Aggies Recent Games
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Result
2/20/2024 Aggies -3.5 146.5 -175 +145 68-63 UTAHST
2/3/2024 Aztecs -6 147 -270 +220 81-67 SDST
3/11/2023 Aztecs -2 138 -135 +115 62-57 SDST
2/8/2023 Aggies -3 146 -150 +130 63-61 SDST
1/25/2023 Aztecs -7 145.5 -300 +250 85-75 SDST

San Diego State vs. Utah State: 2023-24 Stats Comparison

San Diego State Utah State
Points Scored Per Game (Rank) 74.7 (146) 80.1 (41)
Points Allowed (Rank) 66.4 (32) 69.8 (110)
Rebounds (Rank) 9.8 (83) 8 (236)
3pt Made (Rank) 7 (227) 6.4 (279)
Assists (Rank) 13.1 (171) 16.6 (21)
Turnovers (Rank) 10.6 (112) 10.9 (142)

San Diego State 2023-24 Key Players

Aztecs Leaders
Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Jaedon LeDee 31 20.9 8.5 1.3 1.2 0.6 0.5
Reese Waters 32 10.2 3.7 1.3 0.6 0.2 1.4
Micah Parrish 32 9.5 4 1.9 1.1 0.4 1.3
Lamont Butler 32 9.1 2.7 2.9 1.5 0.2 0.8
Darrion Trammell 30 7.8 2.3 3.2 1.2 0.1 1

Utah State 2023-24 Key Players

Aggies Leaders
Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Great Osobor 32 17.9 9.3 2.9 1.3 1.5 0.1
Ian Martinez 31 13 3.6 1.7 0.9 0.8 1.5
Darius Brown II 32 12.6 4.4 6.5 1.5 0.2 1.9
Mason Falslev 31 11.6 4.4 2.5 1.3 0.2 0.7
Josh Uduje 32 8.8 2.7 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.8

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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