Tennessee vs. Kentucky Prediction, Odds, Picks - NCAA Tournament Sweet 16

Updated Mar. 26, 2025 8:28 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

A spot in the Elite Eight of the NCAA Tournament will go to either the No. 2 Tennessee Volunteers (29-7, 12-6 SEC) or the No. 3 Kentucky Wildcats (24-11, 10-8 SEC) when the teams meet in the Sweet 16. This contest tips off at 7:39 p.m. ET on Friday.

NCAA BK

NCAA TOURNMENT - SWEET 16

Tennessee Volunteers TENN

TENN -4.5 TOTAL 144.5

The Volunteers hit the court as 4.5-point favorites against the Wildcats. The over/under for the matchup is 144.5.

Continue scrolling to get all the information before placing bets on the Tennessee-Kentucky game.

Tennessee vs. Kentucky Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, March 28, 2025 at 7:39 p.m. ET
Where: Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, Indiana
How to watch on TV: TBS
Live boxscore on FOX Sports

Volunteers vs Wildcats Betting Information
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline
Volunteers	-4.5	-105	-115	144.5	-108	-112	-198	+164

Tennessee vs. Kentucky Prediction

Pick ATS: Kentucky (+4.5)
Pick OU: Over (144.5)
Prediction: Tennessee 76, Kentucky 73

Learn more about the Tennessee Volunteers vs. the Kentucky Wildcats game on FOX Sports!

Tennessee vs. Kentucky Betting Insights

Betting Line Implied Predictions

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the encounter is Volunteers 74, Wildcats 70.
The Volunteers have a 66.4% chance to claim victory in this contest per the moneyline's implied probability.
The Wildcats sit with a 37.9% implied probability to come out on top.

Key Spread Facts

Tennessee has put together an 18-17-0 record against the spread this season.
Kentucky has covered 18 times in 34 chances against the spread this year.
When playing as at least 4.5-point favorites this season, Tennessee has an ATS record of 12-13.
Kentucky has been an underdog by 4.5 points or more 10 times this season, and covered the spread in six of those games.

Key Total Facts

The Volunteers games have had more than 144.5 points scored on 12 occasions this season.
There have been 27 Wildcats games this season with more than 144.5 points scored.
The Volunteers and Wildcats combine to average 159.6 points per contest, which is 15.1 more than the total for this game.

Key Moneyline Facts

Tennessee has been favored on the moneyline 27 times this season. They've finished 23-4 in those games.
This season, Kentucky has won seven out of the 12 games, or 58.3%, in which it has been the underdog.
Tennessee has gone 21-2 when playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -198 or shorter (winning 91.3%).
Kentucky has a record of 5-4, a 55.6% win rate, when it is set as the underdog by +164 or more by sportsbooks this season.

Tennessee vs. Kentucky: Recent Results

Volunteers vs Wildcats Recent Games
Date	Favorite	Spread	Total	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Result
2/11/2025	Volunteers	-2.5	147.5	-155	+130	75-64 UK
1/28/2025	Volunteers	-11	146.5	-575	+425	78-73 UK
3/9/2024	Volunteers	-8	167	-380	+300	85-81 UK
2/3/2024	Wildcats	-1.5	158.5	-130	+110	103-92 TENN

Tennessee vs. Kentucky: 2024-25 Stats Comparison

	Tennessee	Kentucky
Points Scored Per Game (Rank)	74.6 (151)	85 (6)
Points Allowed (Rank)	62.9 (8)	77.2 (315)
Rebounds (Rank)	9.7 (111)	8.5 (208)
3pt Made (Rank)	8.4 (101)	9.6 (36)
Assists (Rank)	15.5 (61)	17.1 (13)
Turnovers (Rank)	9.6 (40)	10.3 (98)

Tennessee 2024-25 Key Players

Volunteers Leaders
Name	GP	PTS	REB	ASST	STL	BLK	3PM
Chaz Lanier	36	18.1	3.8	1.1	0.9	0.1	3.3
Zakai Zeigler	35	13.7	3	7.4	2	0.3	1.7
Jordan Gainey	36	11.3	3.3	1.9	1.1	0.4	1.3
Igor Milicic Jr.	35	9.7	6.8	2	0.7	0.7	1.1
Felix Okpara	36	7.2	6.2	0.3	0.3	1.7	0

Kentucky 2024-25 Key Players

Wildcats Leaders
Name	GP	PTS	REB	ASST	STL	BLK	3PM
Otega Oweh	35	16.3	4.7	1.7	1.6	0.5	0.8
Jaxson Robinson	24	13	3.5	1.7	0.6	0.5	2.6
Koby Brea	35	11.8	3.2	1.3	0.5	0.3	2.6
Lamont Butler	26	11.1	2.7	4.3	1.6	0.2	0.9
Amari Williams	35	10.8	8.6	3.2	0.5	1.3	0