Tennessee vs. Mississippi State Prediction, Odds, Picks - SEC Tournament

Updated Mar. 15, 2024 10:28 a.m. ET

Data Skrive

The top-seeded Tennessee Volunteers (24-7, 14-4 SEC) are taking on the No. 9 seed Mississippi State Bulldogs (20-12, 8-10 SEC) in the SEC tournament on Friday at Bridgestone Arena, at 1:00 PM ET airing on ESPN.

The Volunteers are a 10-point favorite against the Bulldogs when the Volunteers and the Bulldogs meet. The game's over/under is set at 142.5.

Continue reading to get all you need to know ahead of placing bets on the Tennessee-Mississippi State matchup.

Tennessee vs. Mississippi State Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, March 15, 2024 at 1:00 PM ET
Where: Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, Tennessee
How to Watch on TV: ESPN
Live boxscore on FOX Sports

Volunteers vs Bulldogs Betting Information
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline
Volunteers	-10	-110	-110	142.5	-110	-110	-550	+410

Tennessee vs. Mississippi State Prediction

Pick ATS: Mississippi State (+10)
Pick OU: Over (142.5)
Prediction: Tennessee 76, Mississippi State 70

Learn more about the Tennessee Volunteers vs. the Mississippi State Bulldogs game on FOX Sports!

Tennessee vs. Mississippi State Betting Insights

Betting Line Implied Predictions

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the encounter is Volunteers 76, Bulldogs 66.
The Volunteers have an 84.6% chance to collect the win in this contest per the moneyline's implied probability.
The Bulldogs hold a 19.6% implied probability to come out on top.

Key Spread Facts

Tennessee is 16-15-0 ATS this season.
Mississippi State has covered 15 times in 32 games with a spread this year.
Tennessee is 8-6 ATS this season when playing as at least 10-point favorites.
Mississippi State has not covered the spread this season (0-1 ATS) when playing as at least 10-point underdogs.

Key Total Facts

The Volunteers and their opponent have broken the 142.5-point mark 18 times this year.
So far this season, 15 Bulldogs games have featured over 142.5 points scored.
The over/under for this game is 142.5 points, 12.8 fewer than the scoring average of the two teams combined.

Key Moneyline Facts

Tennessee has been favored on the moneyline 22 times this season. They've finished 17-5 in those games.
This season, Mississippi State has won five out of the 11 games, or 45.5%, in which it has been the underdog.
Tennessee has a record of 9-1 when playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -550 or shorter (winning 90%).
Mississippi State has a record of 2-1 when it is set as the underdog by +410 or more by bookmakers this season.

Tennessee vs. Mississippi State: Recent Results

Volunteers vs Bulldogs Recent Games
Date	Favorite	Spread	Total	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Result
1/10/2024	Volunteers	-2	138	-135	+114	77-72 MSPST
1/17/2023	Volunteers	-4.5	123.5	-210	+180	70-59 TENN
1/3/2023	Volunteers	-10	122	-540	+390	87-53 TENN

Tennessee vs. Mississippi State: 2023-24 Stats Comparison

	Tennessee	Mississippi State
Points Scored Per Game (Rank)	80.2 (41)	75.1 (131)
Points Allowed (Rank)	67.7 (63)	69.3 (97)
Rebounds (Rank)	10.7 (40)	10.8 (35)
3pt Made (Rank)	8.7 (58)	7.4 (187)
Assists (Rank)	16.9 (18)	14.3 (103)
Turnovers (Rank)	9.9 (63)	12.3 (280)

Tennessee 2023-24 Key Players

Volunteers Leaders
Name	GP	PTS	REB	ASST	STL	BLK	3PM
Dalton Knecht	31	21.4	4.8	1.8	0.7	0.7	2.5
Jonas Aidoo	31	12.1	7.6	0.9	0.7	1.9	0.1
Zakai Zeigler	31	11.6	2.7	6.0	1.9	0.1	1.9
Josiah-Jordan James	31	8.7	6.4	1.9	1.3	0.6	1.2
Jordan Gainey	31	7.1	1.9	1.3	0.9	0.2	1.1

Mississippi State 2023-24 Key Players

Bulldogs Leaders
Name	GP	PTS	REB	ASST	STL	BLK	3PM
Josh Hubbard	32	17.0	2.2	1.8	0.6	0.1	3.2
Tolu Smith	20	15.9	8.5	1.4	0.7	0.4	0.0
Cameron Matthews	32	9.4	6.9	2.9	2.0	0.8	0.1
Shakeel Moore	30	8.2	2.2	1.8	0.9	0.2	0.9
Dashawn Davis	32	6.8	1.8	2.8	1.6	0.1	1.0