Texas Tech vs. Arkansas Prediction, Odds, Picks - NCAA Tournament Sweet 16

Updated Mar. 27, 2025 8:27 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

A Sweet 16 NCAA Tournament matchup features the No. 3 Texas Tech Red Raiders (27-8) and No. 10 Arkansas Razorbacks (22-13) to determine which of the teams is heading to the West regional final when it tips off on Thursday at Chase Center, beginning at 10:09 p.m. ET, airing on TBS.

NCAA BK

NCAA TOURNMENT - SWEET 16

Texas Tech Red Raiders TTU

Arkansas Razorbacks ARK

FINAL / OT

ARK +5.5 OVER 148.5

The Red Raiders are a 5.5-point favorite against the Razorbacks when the Red Raiders and the Razorbacks square off. The over/under for the game is 148.5.

Keep scrolling to get all the information before placing bets on the Texas Tech-Arkansas clash.

Texas Tech vs. Arkansas Game Information & Odds

When: Thursday, March 27, 2025 at 10:09 p.m. ET
Where: Chase Center in San Francisco, California
How to watch on TV: TBS
Live boxscore on FOX Sports

Red Raiders vs Razorbacks Betting Information
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline
Red Raiders	-5.5	-110	-110	148.5	-105	-115	-250	+205

Texas Tech vs. Arkansas Prediction

Pick ATS: Texas Tech (-5.5)
Pick OU: Under (148.5)
Prediction: Texas Tech 78, Arkansas 70

Learn more about the Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. the Arkansas Razorbacks game on FOX Sports!

Texas Tech vs. Arkansas Betting Insights

Betting Line Implied Predictions

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the encounter is Red Raiders 77, Razorbacks 72.
The Red Raiders have a 71.4% chance to claim victory in this matchup per the moneyline's implied probability.
The Razorbacks sit with a 32.8% implied probability to come out on top.

Key Spread Facts

Texas Tech has put together a 17-16-1 ATS record so far this year.
Arkansas is 16-17-2 ATS this season.
Texas Tech has an ATS record of 11-11-1 when playing as at least 5.5-point favorites this season.
Arkansas has covered the spread six times this season (6-3 ATS) when playing as at least 5.5-point underdogs.

Key Total Facts

The Red Raiders games have had more than 148.5 points scored on 18 occasions this year.
Razorbacks games have finished with over 148.5 points scored 15 times this season.
The total for this matchup is 148.5 points, 8.9 fewer than the combined scoring average of the two teams.

Key Moneyline Facts

Texas Tech is 20-6 in games when it was favored on the moneyline (winning 76.9%).
Arkansas has won eight, or 44.4%, of the 18 games it has played as underdogs this season.
When it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -250 or shorter, Texas Tech has gone 17-3 (85% win percentage).
Arkansas has a record of 4-3 when it is set as the underdog by +205 or more by bookmakers this season.

Texas Tech Red Raiders

TTU

Texas Tech vs. Arkansas: 2024-25 Stats Comparison

	Texas Tech	Arkansas
Points Scored Per Game (Rank)	80.8 (28)	76.6 (100)
Points Allowed (Rank)	67.6 (53)	71 (147)
Rebounds (Rank)	9.8 (95)	7.8 (267)
3pt Made (Rank)	10.1 (22)	6.9 (267)
Assists (Rank)	16.3 (28)	14.3 (119)
Turnovers (Rank)	9.2 (16)	11.3 (200)

Texas Tech 2024-25 Key Players

Red Raiders Leaders
Name	GP	PTS	REB	ASST	STL	BLK	3PM
JT Toppin	31	18.2	9.3	1.2	0.8	1.4	0.5
Darrion Williams	32	14.7	5.4	3.7	1.2	0.4	1.3
Chance McMillian	30	14.2	4.1	1.9	0.7	0.1	2.3
Christian Anderson	33	10.5	2.9	2.2	1.2	0.1	2.1
Elijah Hawkins	33	9.4	3.5	6.2	1.6	0.2	1.6

Arkansas 2024-25 Key Players

Razorbacks Leaders
Name	GP	PTS	REB	ASST	STL	BLK	3PM
Adou Thiero	26	15.7	6	1.9	1.7	0.7	0.4
Boogie Fland	20	14.1	3.4	5.4	1.6	0	1.8
Johnell Davis	33	11.4	3.3	1.6	1.5	0.2	1.6
D.J. Wagner	35	11.1	2.7	3.6	1	0.1	1.1
Zvonimir Ivisic	34	8.8	4.4	0.8	0.6	1.9	1.4