UCLA vs. Utah State Prediction, Odds, Picks - NCAA Tournament First Round

Updated Mar. 18, 2025 1:27 a.m. ET

Data Skrive

The No. 10 Utah State Aggies (26-7) will be trying to move on to the second round of the NCAA Tournament when they play the No. 7 UCLA Bruins (22-10) on Thursday. This 7-10 matchup tips off at 9:25 p.m. ET.

NCAA BK

NCAA TOURNAMENT - FIRST ROUND

Utah State Aggies USU

UCLA -5.5 TOTAL 144

The Bruins enter their game against the Aggies as a 5.5-point favorite. The game features a point total of 144.5.

Continue scrolling to get the details before placing bets on the UCLA-Utah State matchup.

UCLA vs. Utah State Game Information & Odds

When: Thursday, March 20, 2025 at 9:25 p.m. ET
Where: Rupp Arena in Lexington, Kentucky
How to watch on TV: TNT
Live boxscore on FOX Sports

Bruins vs Aggies Betting Information
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline
Bruins	-5.5	-108	-112	144.5	-105	-115	-230	+190

UCLA vs. Utah State Prediction

Pick ATS: Utah State (+5.5)
Pick OU: Over (144.5)
Prediction: UCLA 74, Utah State 71

Learn more about the UCLA Bruins vs. the Utah State Aggies game on FOX Sports!

UCLA vs. Utah State Betting Insights

Betting Line Implied Predictions

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the encounter is Bruins 75, Aggies 70.
The Bruins have a 69.7% chance to collect the win in this game per the moneyline's implied probability.
The Aggies hold a 34.5% implied probability to come out on top.

Key Spread Facts

UCLA has won 18 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover or pushing 14 times.
Utah State has covered 15 times in 31 games with a spread this season.
UCLA has covered the spread 10 times this season (10-3 ATS) when playing as at least 5.5-point favorites.
Utah State has won its only game this season when playing as at least 5.5-point underdogs.

Key Total Facts

A total of 10 times so far this season, the Bruins and their opponent have combined to score more than 144.5 points.
Aggies games have had over 144.5 points 22 times this year.
The Bruins and Aggies combine to average 155.7 points per contest, which is 11.2 more than the total for this game.

Key Moneyline Facts

UCLA has a 19-5 record in games when it was listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 79.2% of those games).
Utah State has won four of the seven games it has played as underdogs this season.
In games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -230 or shorter, UCLA has a record of 13-1 (92.9% win percentage).
Utah State has played as an underdog of +190 or more once this season and won that game.

UCLA vs. Utah State: 2024-25 Stats Comparison

	UCLA	Utah State
Points Scored Per Game (Rank)	74.8 (145)	80.9 (29)
Points Allowed (Rank)	65.7 (26)	70 (117)
Rebounds (Rank)	9.7 (113)	9.5 (129)
3pt Made (Rank)	7.3 (213)	9 (61)
Assists (Rank)	16.3 (30)	17.4 (8)
Turnovers (Rank)	10 (70)	10.4 (108)

UCLA 2024-25 Key Players

Bruins Leaders
Name	GP	PTS	REB	ASST	STL	BLK	3PM
Tyler Bilodeau	31	13.6	4.5	1.5	0.9	0.4	1.1
Eric Dailey Jr.	31	11.6	4.1	1.5	1.3	0.2	1.1
Sebastian Mack	32	10	2.2	1.8	0.9	0	0.7
Kobe Johnson	32	8.2	5.9	3	1.7	0.2	1.1
Skyy Clark	32	8	2.9	2.8	1.3	0.1	1.3

Utah State 2024-25 Key Players

Aggies Leaders
Name	GP	PTS	REB	ASST	STL	BLK	3PM
Ian Martinez	33	16.8	3.5	2.7	0.9	0.3	2.4
Mason Falslev	33	14.9	6.2	3.7	2.3	0.1	1.6
Dexter Akanno	33	8.3	3.3	1	0.7	0	1.5
Deyton Albury	33	7.7	2.4	1.7	0.9	0.1	0.4
Karson Templin	33	7.5	5	0.8	0.5	0.7	0.4