2023 East Carolina Pirates odds: Over/Under Win Total odds

Updated Sep. 1, 2023 3:46 a.m. ET

Data Skrive

Oddsmakers are predicting a sub-.500 season for the East Carolina Pirates, who are +107 to hit the over on 5.5 wins.

East Carolina Win Total Odds

Over/Under	Over Payout	Under Payout
5.5	+107 (Bet $100 to win $107)	-130 (Bet $130 to win $100)

For 2023 East Carolina has a regular season over/under of 5.5 wins and, given the current moneyline, a 48.3% chance of finishing above that number.
The Pirates ranked 92nd in total defense last year (405.3 yards allowed per game), but they excelled on the offensive side of the ball, ranking 23rd-best in FBS with 461.1 total yards per game.
The Pirates struggled on defense against the pass last season, ranking second-worst in FBS (292.8 passing yards allowed per game) this season. However, they ranked 16th-best on offense, totaling 290.5 passing yards per game.
Defensively, East Carolina was a top-25 unit in terms of rushing yards last season, ranking 19th-best by giving up only 112.5 rushing yards per game. It ranked 54th on offense (170.6 rushing yards per game).
The Pirates owned the 105th-ranked defense last year in terms of third-down efficiency (42.5% third-down conversion rate allowed), and they were better offensively, ranking 17th-best with a 46.4% third-down conversion rate.

Week	Opponent	Date	Favorite	Total
1	@ Michigan	September 2	Wolverines (-36.5)	51.5
2	Marshall	September 9	-	-
3	@ Appalachian State	September 16	-	-
4	Gardner-Webb	September 23	-	-
5	@ Rice	September 30	-	-
7	SMU	October 12	-	-
8	Charlotte	October 21	-	-
9	@ UTSA	October 28	-	-
10	Tulane	November 4	-	-
11	@ Florida Atlantic	November 11	-	-
12	@ Navy	November 18	-	-
13	Tulsa	November 25	-	-

East Carolina will have the 35th-ranked schedule in college football, based on its opponents' combined win total last year (75).
Using their AAC opponents' combined win total last year, the Pirates will have the 79th-ranked conference schedule in terms of difficulty.
In 2023, the East Carolina's schedule will see six games against teams which ended the season with winning records a year ago, including three games against teams that totaled nine or more wins and one game against squads that compiled fewer than four wins in 2022.

Last year Holton Ahlers recorded 3,708 yards (285.2 per game), a 67.2% completion percentage, 28 touchdowns, and only five interceptions. He also added 182 rushing yards on 72 carries with six rushing TDs (averaging 14.0 yards per game).
Keaton Mitchell churned out 1,452 rushing yards (111.7 per game) and 14 touchdowns last year. In the receiving game, he made 27 catches for 252 yards and one score.
Marlon Gunn Jr. put up 344 rushing yards on 68 carries last season.
In the previous year, Isaiah Winstead grabbed 88 passes (on 134 targets) for 1,085 yards (83.5 per game). He also found the end zone six times.
C.J. Johnson produced last season, catching 67 passes for 1,016 yards and 10 touchdowns. He averaged 78.2 receiving yards per game.
Ryan Jones hauled in 41 passes for 413 yards and four touchdowns, averaging 31.8 yards per game last year.
Jeremy Lewis did his thing last season with an incredible stat line of 4.5 sacks, 7.0 TFL and 45 tackles.
Last season Julius Wood averaged 75 tackles and two interceptions.
Jireh Wilson intercepted three passes last year while also totaling 37 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and three passes defended.