2023 LSU Tigers odds: Over/Under Win Total odds

Updated Sep. 1, 2023 3:41 a.m. ET

Data Skrive

The LSU Tigers won 10 games last year, and their over/under for 2023 (9.5 wins) indicates some slight regression could be in the offing.

LSU Win Total Odds

Over/Under	Over Payout	Under Payout
9.5	-124 (Bet $124 to win $100)	-103 (Bet $103 to win $100)

LSU's implied probability is 55.4% to finish above 9.5 wins (its regular season over/under) according to the moneyline.
The Tigers averaged 453.1 yards per game on offense last season (28th in FBS), and they ranked 42nd defensively with 354.6 yards allowed per game.
The Tigers compiled 269.3 passing yards per game on offense last season (29th in FBS), and they ranked 33rd on the other side of the ball with 206 passing yards allowed per game.
LSU ranked 40th in run offense (183.8 rushing yards per game) and 63rd in run defense (148.6 rushing yards allowed per game) last year.
The Tigers had the 73rd-ranked defense last year in terms of third-down efficiency (39% third-down conversion rate allowed), and they were better on the other side of the ball, ranking 10th-best with a 48.6% third-down percentage.

Week	Opponent	Date	Favorite	Total
1	@ Florida State	September 3	Tigers (-2.5)	56.5
2	Grambling	September 9	-	-
3	@ Mississippi State	September 16	-	-
4	Arkansas	September 23	-	-
5	@ Ole Miss	September 30	-	-
6	@ Missouri	October 7	-	-
7	Auburn	October 14	-	-
8	Army	October 21	-	-
10	@ Alabama	November 4	-	-
11	Florida	November 11	-	-
12	Georgia State	November 18	-	-
13	Texas A&M	November 25	-	-

According to the team's opponents' combined win total last season (73), LSU will face the 54th-ranked schedule in college football.
Taking into account their SEC opponents' combined win total last season (54), the Tigers get the 57th-ranked conference schedule in college football.
LSU has a schedule that features eight games in 2023 against teams with winning records in 2022 (two of those teams won nine or more games and zero of them picked up three or fewer wins).

Last season Jayden Daniels put up 2,913 passing yards (208.1 per game), a 68.6% completion percentage (266-for-388), 17 touchdowns, and only three interceptions. He also added 885 rushing yards on 186 carries with 11 rushing TDs (averaging 63.2 yards per game).
Josh Williams ran for 536 yards on 98 carries (38.3 yards per game), with six rushing touchdowns last year.
Malik Nabers hauled in 72 catches for 1,017 yards (72.6 per game) while being targeted 99 times. He also scored three touchdowns.
Kayshon Boutte amassed 538 yards on 48 grabs with two touchdowns. He was targeted 73 times, and averaged 38.4 receiving yards per game.
Mason Taylor reeled in 38 passes for 414 yards and three touchdowns, putting up 29.6 yards per game last season.
Last season Harold Perkins stacked up 8.5 sacks, 9.0 TFL, 49 tackles, and one interception.
Micah Baskerville was a wrecking ball on the field, collecting 82 tackles, 4.0 TFL, one sack, and one interception last year.
Last season Jarrick Bernard-Converse had a huge stat line of two interceptions, 41 tackles and two passes defended.