2023 New Mexico Lobos odds: Over/Under Win Total odds

Updated Sep. 1, 2023 3:49 a.m. ET

Data Skrive

The New Mexico Lobos are -115 to hit the over on 3.5 wins in 2023 (and -109 to go under).

New Mexico Win Total Odds

Over/Under	Over Payout	Under Payout
3.5	-115 (Bet $115 to win $100)	-109 (Bet $109 to win $100)

New Mexico's implied probability is 53.5% to finish above 3.5 wins (its regular season over/under) according to the moneyline.
The Lobos were a bottom-25 offense last season, ranking first-worst with 226.8 yards per contest. On the defensive side of the ball, they ranked 41st in FBS (352.6 yards allowed per game).
While the Lobos ranked fourth-worst in FBS in passing offense with 105.5 passing yards per game last season, it was a different situation defensively, as they ranked 22nd-best (194.4 passing yards per game allowed).
New Mexico ranked 103rd in run offense (121.3 rushing yards per game) and 77th in run defense (158.2 rushing yards allowed per game) last season.
The Lobos were a bottom-25 offense on third down last season, ranking first-worst with a 22.2% third-down conversion rate. Defensively, they ranked 28th in FBS (34.1% third-down percentage allowed).

Week	Opponent	Date	Favorite	Total
1	@ Texas A&M	September 2	Aggies (-38.5)	49
2	Tennessee Tech	September 9	-	-
3	New Mexico State	September 16	-	-
4	@ UMass	September 23	-	-
5	@ Wyoming	September 30	-	-
7	San Jose State	October 14	-	-
8	Hawaii	October 21	-	-
9	@ Nevada	October 28	-	-
10	UNLV	November 4	-	-
11	@ Boise State	November 11	-	-
12	@ Fresno State	November 18	-	-
13	Utah State	November 24	-	-

Based on the combined win total of opponents last season (59), New Mexico will face the seventh-easiest schedule in college football.
In terms of difficulty, based on their MWC opponents' combined win total last season, the Lobos will be playing the 91st-ranked conference schedule this year.
New Mexico will suit up for six games this season against teams that finished above .500 in 2022. That schedule includes one team that tallied nine or more victories and three squads with fewer than four wins last year.

Last season Miles Kendrick put together 870 yards (72.5 per game), a 59% completion percentage, three touchdowns, and only seven interceptions. He also added 128 rushing yards on 76 carries with three rushing TDs (averaging 10.7 yards per game).
Last year Nathaniel Jones took 118 carries for 544 yards (45.3 per game) and scored two touchdowns.
Christian Washington ran for 310 yards on 73 carries (25.8 yards per game) last year.
Geordon Porter picked up 22 receptions for 312 yards and two touchdowns last season. He was targeted 36 times, and averaged 26.0 yards per game.
Luke Wysong also impressed receiving last season. He collected 35 receptions for 293 yards and one touchdown. He was targeted 62 times.
Andrew Erickson reeled in 13 passes on 29 targets for 117 yards, compiling 9.8 receiving yards per game.
Cody Moon's stat line last season spoke for itself with 4.5 sacks, 6.0 TFL and 72 tackles.
A.J. Haulcy intercepted two passes last year while also totaling 56 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and two passes defended.