2023 North Carolina Tar Heels odds: Over/Under Win Total odds

Updated Sep. 1, 2023 3:41 a.m. ET

Data Skrive

With an over/under of 8.5 wins, bookmakers peg the North Carolina Tar Heels to win 0.5 fewer games than they did last season (nine wins). They are +117 to hit the over.

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North Carolina Win Total Odds

Over/Under	Over Payout	Under Payout
8.5	+117 (Bet $100 to win $117)	-149 (Bet $149 to win $100)

Tar Heels Betting Insights & 2022 Stats

North Carolina's implied probability is 46.1% to finish above 8.5 wins (its regular season over/under) according to the moneyline.
The Tar Heels had the 19th-best offense last season in terms of total yards (463.7 yards per game), but they ranked 16th-worst on defense (436.5 yards allowed per game).
While the Tar Heels ranked 16th-worst in FBS in passing defense with 271.3 passing yards allowed per game last season, it was a different story on offense, as they ranked 11th-best in FBS (309.3 passing yards per game).
North Carolina totaled 154.4 rushing yards per game offensively last season (67th in FBS), and it gave up 165.2 rushing yards per game (85th) on defense.
The Tar Heels owned the 100th-ranked defense last year in terms of third-down efficiency (42.3% third-down percentage allowed), and they were more effective on offense, ranking 16th-best with a 46.8% third-down conversion rate.

North Carolina's 2023 Schedule

Week	Opponent	Date	Favorite	Total
1	@ South Carolina	September 2	Tar Heels (-2.5)	64.5
2	Appalachian State	September 9	-	-
3	Minnesota	September 16	-	-
4	@ Pittsburgh	September 23	-	-
6	Syracuse	October 7	-	-
7	Miami (FL)	October 14	-	-
8	Virginia	October 21	-	-
9	@ Georgia Tech	October 28	-	-
10	Campbell	November 4	-	-
11	Duke	November 11	-	-
12	@ Clemson	November 18	-	-
13	@ NC State	November 25	-	-

North Carolina's Strength of Schedule

North Carolina will face the 29th-ranked schedule this season (based on its opponents' combined win total from last year).
Using their ACC opponents' combined win total last season, the Tar Heels get the 57th-ranked conference schedule in terms of difficulty.
In 2023, the North Carolina's schedule will include eight games against teams which ended the season with winning records a year ago, including one game against teams that had nine or more wins and one game against squads that picked up three or fewer wins in 2022.

Tar Heels' Top Performers (2022)

Last year Drake Maye put up a monster stat line with 4,321 passing yards (308.6 per game), a 66.2% completion percentage (342-for-517), 38 touchdowns, and only seven interceptions. He also added 698 rushing yards on 184 carries with seven rushing TDs (averaging 49.9 yards per game).
Elijah Green put up 558 yards on 131 carries (39.9 yards per game), with eight rushing touchdowns last season.
In the previous season, Josh Downs grabbed 94 passes (on 119 targets) for 1,029 yards (73.5 per game). He also found the end zone 11 times.
Antoine Green also impressed receiving last year. He collected 43 receptions for 798 yards and seven touchdowns. He was targeted 68 times.
Bryson Nesbit reeled in 35 passes on 47 targets for 507 yards and four touchdowns, compiling 36.2 receiving yards per game.
Kaimon Rucker did his thing last season with a huge stat line of 3.5 sacks, 2.0 TFL and 26 tackles.
Last season Cedric Gray racked up 105 tackles, 9.0 TFL, one sack, and two interceptions.
Storm Duck collected three interceptions while adding 28 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and five passes defended last year.