2023 UMass Minutemen odds: Over/Under Win Total odds

Updated Sep. 1, 2023 3:42 a.m. ET

Data Skrive

The lowest over/under in the FBS Independent belongs to the UMass Minutemen, who have an over/under of 2.5 wins.

UMass Win Total Odds

Over/Under	Over Payout	Under Payout
2.5	-205 (Bet $205 to win $100)	+164 (Bet $100 to win $164)

According to the moneyline, UMass' implied probability is 67.2% to go over its regular season over/under of 2.5 wins.
The Minutemen ranked third-worst in total offense (265.8 yards per game) last season, but they played slightly better on defense, ranking 55th with 370.1 yards allowed per game.
The Minutemen struggled in the passing game last season, ranking sixth-worst in FBS (116.9 passing yards per game). However, they ranked ninth-best on the other side of the ball, giving up only 175.3 passing yards per game.
With 194.8 rushing yards allowed per game on defense, which ranked 18th-worst in FBS, UMass had to lean on its 68th-ranked running game (148.8 rushing yards per contest) to keep it competitive last season.
While the Minutemen ranked sixth-worst in FBS in third-down conversion rate at 28.9% last season, it was a different situation on the other side of the ball, as they ranked 12th-best (30.9% third-down conversion rate allowed).

Week	Opponent	Date	Favorite	Total
0	@ New Mexico State	August 26	Aggies (-7)	45
1	@ Auburn	September 2	Tigers (-35)	51.5
2	Miami (OH)	September 9	-	-
3	@ Eastern Michigan	September 16	-	-
4	New Mexico	September 23	-	-
5	Arkansas State	September 30	-	-
6	Toledo	October 7	-	-
7	@ Penn State	October 14	-	-
9	@ Army	October 28	-	-
10	Merrimack	November 4	-	-
12	@ Liberty	November 18	-	-
13	UConn	November 25	-	-

In terms of toughness, using its opponents' combined win total last season, UMass will be facing the 93rd-ranked schedule this season.
According to their FBS Independent opponents' combined win total last season (12), the Minutemen have the benefit of the least difficult conference schedule in college football.
UMass' schedule has eight games against teams that finished over .500 in 2022, which includes one versus a team with nine or more victories and two against squads that picked up fewer than four wins.

Brady Olson's previous season stat line: 791 passing yards (65.9 per game), 77-for-153 (50.3%), two touchdowns and eight picks.
Ellis Merriweather churned out 575 rushing yards (47.9 per game) and three touchdowns last year.
Gino Campiotti ran for 390 yards on 102 carries (32.5 yards per game), with three rushing touchdowns last year.
In the previous year, George Johnson grabbed 28 passes (on 58 targets) for 402 yards (33.5 per game). He also found the end zone one time.
Cam Sullivan-Brown amassed 373 yards on 27 grabs with two touchdowns. He was targeted 48 times, and averaged 31.1 receiving yards per game.
Isaac Ross grabbed 21 passes for 195 yards and one touchdown, putting up 16.3 yards per game last year.
Marcus Cushnie did his thing last season with a huge stat line of 5.5 sacks, 10.0 TFL and 28 tackles.
Jalen Mackie was a wrecking ball on the field, collecting 51 tackles, 8.0 TFL, 3.5 sacks, and one interception last year.
Jordan Mahoney intercepted three passes last year while also totaling 14 tackles and three passes defended.