Air Force vs. Navy Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 21

Air Force vs. Navy Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 21

Updated Oct. 21, 2023 9:05 a.m. ET
Data Skrive

A pair of the nation's best running games meet when the No. 22 Air Force Falcons (6-0) take college football's first-ranked rushing offense into a matchup with the Navy Midshipmen (3-3), who have the No. 5 rushing offense, on Saturday, October 21, 2023. The Falcons are double-digit, 10-point favorites. The over/under is set at 33.5.

In their last game, the Falcons won versus the Wyoming Cowboys, 34-27. The Midshipmen beat the Charlotte 49ers, 14-0, in their last contest.

Air Force vs. Navy Game Information & Odds

  • When: Saturday, October 21, 2023 at 12:00 PM ET
  • Location: Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium in Annapolis, Maryland
  • TV: CBS
  • Live boxscore on FOX Sports
ADVERTISEMENT
Air Force vs Navy Betting Information updated as of October 21, 2023, 8:45 AM ET.
Favorite Spread (Odds) Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Moneyline Under Moneyline
Air Force -10 (-109) -384 +298 33.5 -110 -110

Air Force vs. Navy Prediction

  • Pick ATS: Air Force (-10)
  • Pick OU: Over (33.5)
  • Prediction: Air Force 35, Navy 15

Learn more about the Air Force Falcons vs. the Navy Midshipmen game on FOX Sports!

Air Force vs. Navy Betting Insights

  • Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the tilt is Falcons 22, Midshipmen 12.
  • The Falcons have a 79.3% chance to win this contest based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Midshipmen hold a 25.1% implied probability.
  • Air Force is 3-1-0 ATS this season.
  • Navy has covered twice in five matchups with a spread this season.

Air Force vs. Navy: Head-to-Head

  • In their last two head-to-head meetings, Air Force has won against Navy two times.
  • The Falcons and the Midshipmen have matched up evenly over their last two head-to-head meetings, sporting an even 1-1 record against the spread. In those two head-to-head matchups, the two squads have never gone over the point total.
  • Over their last two head-to-head contests, Air Force has put up 36 points, while Navy has accumulated 13.

Air Force vs. Navy: 2023 Stats Comparison

Air Force Navy
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 37.0 (34) 20.3 (122)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 14.7 (7) 23.0 (36)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 4 (8) 3 (2)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 6 (109) 12 (20)

Air Force 2023 Key Players

Name Position Stats
Zachary Larrier QB 468 YDS (71.4%) / 4 TD / 0 INT
473 RUSH YDS / 4 RUSH TD / 78.8 RUSH YPG
Emmanuel Michel FB 468 YDS (71.4%) / 4 TD / 0 INT
473 RUSH YDS / 4 RUSH TD / 78.8 RUSH YPG
John Lee Eldridge III RB 340 YDS / 4 TD / 56.7 YPG / 9.7 YPC
2 REC / 31 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 5.2 REC YPG
Owen Burk RB 304 YDS / 3 TD / 50.7 YPG / 6.3 YPC
Alec Mock LB 34 TKL / 2.0 TFL / 2.0 SACK
Bo Richter LB 13 TKL / 7.0 TFL / 4.0 SACK
Trey Taylor FS 28 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 0.5 SACK / 2 INT
PJ Ramsey OLB 10 TKL / 5.0 TFL / 4.5 SACK

Navy 2023 Key Players

Name Position Stats
Alex Tecza FB 10 TKL / 5.0 TFL / 4.5 SACK
Tai Lavatai QB 426 YDS (51.9%) / 3 TD / 0 INT
163 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / 27.2 RUSH YPG
Eli Heidenreich RB 99 YDS / 1 TD / 16.5 YPG / 9.0 YPC
4 REC / 156 REC YDS / 2 REC TD / 26.0 REC YPG
Dabe Fofana FB 99 YDS / 1 TD / 16.5 YPG / 9.0 YPC
4 REC / 156 REC YDS / 2 REC TD / 26.0 REC YPG
Will Harbour LB 46 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 3.0 SACK
Xavier McDonald LB 25 TKL / 1.0 TFL / 3.0 SACK
Rayuan Lane FS 29 TKL / 1.0 TFL / 0.5 SACK / 3 INT
Colin Ramos LB 44 TKL / 1.0 TFL
share