Arkansas State vs. Troy Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 26, 2024

Updated Oct. 26, 2024 3:05 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Arkansas State Red Wolves (4-3) are 7.5-point favorites when they host the Troy Trojans (1-6) in a Sun Belt matchup on Saturday, October 26, 2024 at Centennial Bank Stadium. The total for this matchup has been set at 50 points.

The Red Wolves beat the Southern Miss Golden Eagles, 44-28, in their most recent game. The Trojans lost to the South Alabama Jaguars, 25-9, in their last game.

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Arkansas State vs. Troy Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, October 26, 2024 at 7 p.m. ET
Location: Centennial Bank Stadium in Jonesboro, Arkansas
TV: ESPN+
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

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Arkansas State vs Troy Betting Information updated as of October 26, 2024, 2:49 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Arkansas State	-7.5 (-111)	-305	+241	50	-111	-113

Arkansas State vs. Troy Prediction

Pick ATS: Arkansas State (-7.5)
Pick OU: Under (50)
Prediction: Arkansas State 29, Troy 20

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. the Troy Trojans game on FOX Sports!

Arkansas State vs. Troy Betting Insights

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the tilt is Red Wolves 29, Trojans 21.
The Red Wolves have a 75.3% chance to claim victory in this meeting per the moneyline's implied probability. The Trojans have a 29.3% implied probability.
Arkansas State has won three games against the spread this season, while failing to cover three times.
Troy has a record of 2-5-0 against the spread this season.

Arkansas State vs. Troy: Head-to-Head

In their last two head-to-head matchups, Troy has defeated Arkansas State two times.
The last two times the Trojans have squared off with the Red Wolves, they have a 2-0 record against the spread. The scoring has gone over the point total on one occasion.
In their last two head-to-head matchups, Troy has compiled 85 points versus Arkansas State, while giving up only 22 points.

Arkansas State vs. Troy: 2024 Stats Comparison

	Arkansas State	Troy
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	22.6 (102)	19.0 (119)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	31.4 (109)	27.4 (88)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	11 (82)	7 (35)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	11 (42)	4 (129)

Arkansas State 2024 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Jaylen Raynor	QB	1,518 YDS (60.6%) / 7 TD / 6 INT 179 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / 25.6 RUSH YPG
Corey Rucker	WR	35 REC / 510 YDS / 3 TD / 72.9 YPG
Ja'Quez Cross	RB	334 YDS / 1 TD / 47.7 YPG / 6.1 YPC 22 REC / 160 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 22.9 REC YPG
Zak Wallace	RB	226 YDS / 2 TD / 32.3 YPG / 3.2 YPC
Marvin Ham II	LB	49 TKL / 4.0 TFL / 1.5 SACK
Jayden Jones	DL	23 TKL / 5.0 TFL / 4.0 SACK / 1 INT
Justin Parks	DB	41 TKL / 2.0 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Trevian Thomas	DB	37 TKL / 0.0 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD

Troy 2024 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Devonte Ross	WR	38 REC / 626 YDS / 8 TD / 89.4 YPG
Damien Taylor	RB	422 YDS / 2 TD / 60.3 YPG / 5.7 YPC 2 REC / 13 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 2.2 REC YPG
Will Crowder	QB	547 YDS (69.8%) / 5 TD / 0 INT 63 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / 12.6 RUSH YPG
Tucker Kilcrease	QB	373 YDS (55.1%) / 3 TD / 1 INT 118 RUSH YDS / 0 RUSH TD / 16.9 RUSH YPG
Jordan Stringer	LB	33 TKL / 4.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK / 1 INT
Justin Powe	DB	30 TKL / 0.0 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Brendan Jackson	LB	29 TKL / 4.0 TFL
Damaje Yancey	DB	19 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK