Duke vs. North Carolina Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 28, 2024

Updated Sep. 26, 2024 3:05 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Victory Bell is up for grabs when the Duke Blue Devils (4-0) and the North Carolina Tar Heels (3-1) clash on Saturday, September 28, 2024 at Brooks Field at Wallace Wade Stadium. The Blue Devils are just 2.5-point favorites. The point total is 56 for the contest.

The Blue Devils beat the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders, 45-17, in their last game. The Tar Heels lost versus the James Madison Dukes in their last game, 70-50.

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Duke vs. North Carolina Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, September 28, 2024 at 4:00 p.m. ET
Location: Brooks Field at Wallace Wade Stadium in Wilmington, North Carolina
TV: ESPN2
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

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Duke vs North Carolina Betting Information updated as of September 26, 2024, 2:47 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Duke	-2.5 (-114)	-145	+120	56	-110	-110

Duke vs. North Carolina Prediction

Pick ATS: Duke (-2.5)
Pick OU: Over (56)
Prediction: Duke 33, North Carolina 28

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the Duke Blue Devils vs. the North Carolina Tar Heels game on FOX Sports!

Duke vs. North Carolina Betting Insights

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Blue Devils 29, Tar Heels 27.
The Blue Devils have a 59.2% chance to claim victory in this game based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Tar Heels have a 45.5% implied probability.
Duke has a record of 2-1-0 against the spread this season.
North Carolina has a record of 1-3-0 against the spread this season.

Duke vs. North Carolina: Head-to-Head

Over their last three meetings, North Carolina has tallied three wins versus Duke.
The last three times the Blue Devils have played the Tar Heels, they have posted a 2-1 record against the spread. The scoring has gone over the total on two occasions.
In their last three head-to-head matchups, North Carolina has racked up 123 points versus Duke, while allowing only 87 points.

Duke vs. North Carolina: 2024 Stats Comparison

	Duke	North Carolina
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	30.8 (54)	38 (15)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	15.3 (33)	29.3 (105)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	5 (71)	7 (103)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	8 (14)	4 (73)

Duke 2024 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Maalik Murphy	QB	1,016 YDS (64.3%) / 11 TD / 4 INT
Jordan Moore	WR	24 REC / 340 YDS / 3 TD / 85 YPG
Star Thomas	RB	314 YDS / 2 TD / 78.5 YPG / 4.6 YPC 2 REC / 41 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 10.3 REC YPG
Eli Pancol	WR	15 REC / 189 YDS / 4 TD / 47.3 YPG
Alex Howard	LB	29 TKL / 4 TFL / 3 SACK
Cameron Bergeron	LB	17 TKL / 5 TFL / 1.5 SACK
Wesley Williams	DL	12 TKL / 3 TFL / 2.5 SACK
Terry Moore	DB	12 TKL / 1 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD

North Carolina 2024 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Omarion Hampton	RB	555 YDS / 6 TD / 138.8 YPG / 6.5 YPC 9 REC / 57 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 14.3 REC YPG
Jacolby Criswell	QB	638 YDS (59.7%) / 4 TD / 2 INT
Davion Gause	RB	152 YDS / 2 TD / 38 YPG / 6.1 YPC
Bryson Nesbit	TE	12 REC / 175 YDS / 2 TD / 43.8 YPG
Jahvaree Ritzie	DL	7 TKL / 5 TFL / 5 SACK
Amare Campbell	LB	16 TKL / 2 TFL / 2 SACK
Antavious Lane	DB	15 TKL / 0 TFL
Kaleb Cost	DB	14 TKL / 1 TFL / 0.5 SACK / 1 INT