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Duke vs. North Carolina Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 28, 2024
The Duke Blue Devils (4-0) and the North Carolina Tar Heels (3-1) take the field to try to take home the Victory Bell on Saturday, September 28, 2024 at Brooks Field at Wallace Wade Stadium. The Blue Devils are only 1-point favorites. The total is 55.5 points for this game.
The Blue Devils won against the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders in their most recent game, 45-17. Last time around, the Tar Heels fell to the James Madison Dukes, with 70-50 being the final score.
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Duke vs. North Carolina Game Information & Odds
- When: Saturday, September 28, 2024 at 4:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Brooks Field at Wallace Wade Stadium in Wilmington, North Carolina
- TV: ESPN2
- Live Box Score on FOX Sports
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| Favorite | Spread (Odds) | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Moneyline | Under Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke | -1 (-110) | -116 | -105 | 55.5 | -112 | -110 |
Duke vs. North Carolina Prediction
- Pick ATS:
Duke (-1)
- Pick OU: Over (55.5)
- Prediction: Duke 33, North Carolina 29
Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.
Learn more about the Duke Blue Devils vs. the North Carolina Tar Heels game on FOX Sports!
Read More About This Game
Duke vs. North Carolina Betting Insights
- Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the tilt is Blue Devils 28, Tar Heels 27.
- The Blue Devils have a 53.7% chance to claim victory in this game per the moneyline's implied probability. The Tar Heels hold a 51.2% implied probability.
- Duke has covered twice in three chances against the spread this season.
- North Carolina has won one game against the spread this year.
Duke vs. North Carolina: Head-to-Head
- North Carolina owns a 3-0 record against Duke in their last three matchups.
- In those contests against North Carolina, the Blue Devils have covered two times while going over the point total on two occasions.
- Over their last three head-to-head contests, North Carolina has scored 123 points, while Duke has posted 87.
Duke vs. North Carolina: 2024 Stats Comparison
| Duke | North Carolina | |
|---|---|---|
| Off. Points per Game (Rank) | 30.8 (58) | 38 (15) |
| Def. Points per Game (Rank) | 15.3 (30) | 29.3 (104) |
| Turnovers Allowed (Rank) | 5 (70) | 7 (103) |
| Turnovers Forced (Rank) | 8 (15) | 4 (74) |
Duke 2024 Key Players
| Name | Position | Stats |
|---|---|---|
| Maalik Murphy | QB | 1,016 YDS (64.3%) / 11 TD / 4 INT |
| Jordan Moore | WR | 24 REC / 340 YDS / 3 TD / 85 YPG |
| Star Thomas | RB | 314 YDS / 2 TD / 78.5 YPG / 4.6 YPC 2 REC / 41 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 10.3 REC YPG |
| Eli Pancol | WR | 15 REC / 189 YDS / 4 TD / 47.3 YPG |
| Alex Howard | LB | 29 TKL / 4 TFL / 3 SACK |
| Cameron Bergeron | LB | 17 TKL / 5 TFL / 1.5 SACK |
| Wesley Williams | DL | 12 TKL / 3 TFL / 2.5 SACK |
| Terry Moore | DB | 12 TKL / 1 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD |
North Carolina 2024 Key Players
| Name | Position | Stats |
|---|---|---|
| Omarion Hampton | RB | 555 YDS / 6 TD / 138.8 YPG / 6.5 YPC 9 REC / 57 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 14.3 REC YPG |
| Jacolby Criswell | QB | 638 YDS (59.7%) / 4 TD / 2 INT |
| Davion Gause | RB | 152 YDS / 2 TD / 38 YPG / 6.1 YPC |
| Bryson Nesbit | TE | 12 REC / 175 YDS / 2 TD / 43.8 YPG |
| Jahvaree Ritzie | DL | 7 TKL / 5 TFL / 5 SACK |
| Amare Campbell | LB | 16 TKL / 2 TFL / 2 SACK |
| Antavious Lane | DB | 15 TKL / 0 TFL |
| Kaleb Cost | DB | 14 TKL / 1 TFL / 0.5 SACK / 1 INT |
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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