Florida vs. Vanderbilt Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 7

Florida vs. Vanderbilt Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 7

Updated Oct. 7, 2023 3:05 p.m. ET

The Vanderbilt Commodores (2-4) are 18-point underdogs in a road SEC matchup with the Florida Gators (3-2) on Saturday, October 7, 2023 at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium. The over/under is 51 in this matchup.

Last time out, the Gators fell to the Kentucky Wildcats, with 33-14 being the final score. Last time around, the Commodores fell to the Missouri Tigers, with 38-21 being the final score.

Florida vs. Vanderbilt Game Information & Odds

  • When: Saturday, October 7, 2023 at 4:00 PM ET
  • Location: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium in Gainesville, Florida
  • TV: SEC Network
  • Live boxscore on FOX Sports
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Florida vs Vanderbilt Betting Information updated as of October 7, 2023, 2:46 PM ET.
Favorite Spread (Odds) Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Moneyline Under Moneyline
Florida -18 (-110) -1051 +663 51 -111 -109

Florida vs. Vanderbilt Prediction

  • Pick ATS: Vanderbilt (+18)
  • Pick OU: Over (51)
  • Prediction: Florida 35, Vanderbilt 17

Learn more about the Florida Gators vs. the Vanderbilt Commodores game on FOX Sports!

Florida vs. Vanderbilt Betting Insights

  • Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the tilt is Gators 34, Commodores 16.
  • The Gators have a 91.3% chance to win this game based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Commodores have a 13.1% implied probability.
  • Florida has covered once in four chances against the spread this season.
  • Vanderbilt is winless against the spread this season (0-6-0).

Florida vs. Vanderbilt: Head-to-Head

  • Florida and Vanderbilt have been matched up evenly over their last two meetings, sharing the same 1-1 record.
  • The two teams have never hit the over on the total while sharing an even 1-1 record in their meetings against the spread.
  • In their last two head-to-head matchups, Florida has compiled 66 points versus Vanderbilt, while surrendering only 31 points.

Florida vs. Vanderbilt: 2023 Stats Comparison

Florida Vanderbilt
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 25.0 (91) 31.3 (17)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 17.4 (27) 33.3 (130)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 5 (27) 12 (126)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 1 (130) 9 (24)

Florida 2023 Key Players

Name Position Stats
Graham Mertz QB 1,195 YDS (79.0%) / 6 TD / 2 INT
-26 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / -5.2 RUSH YPG
Montrell Johnson RB 253 YDS / 3 TD / 50.6 YPG / 4.5 YPC
12 REC / 80 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 16.0 REC YPG
Trevor Etienne RB 358 YDS / 2 TD / 71.6 YPG / 6.0 YPC
11 REC / 84 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 16.8 REC YPG
Ricky Pearsall WR 29 REC / 424 YDS / 2 TD / 84.8 YPG
Scooby Williams LB 24 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK
Shemar James LB 30 TKL / 4.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK
Jordan Castell S 20 TKL / 2.0 TFL
Princely Umanmielen DE 11 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 2.0 SACK

Vanderbilt 2023 Key Players

Name Position Stats
AJ Swann QB 1,251 YDS (53.2%) / 11 TD / 7 INT
23 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / 3.8 RUSH YPG
Will Sheppard WR 32 REC / 443 YDS / 7 TD / 73.8 YPG
London Humphreys WR 12 REC / 299 YDS / 3 TD / 49.8 YPG
Jayden McGowan WR 24 REC / 302 YDS / 0 TD / 50.3 YPG
CJ Taylor LB 32 TKL / 6.0 TFL / 3.0 SACK
De'Rickey Wright S 17 TKL / 0.0 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD
Nate Clifton DE 14 TKL / 4.0 TFL / 2.0 SACK / 1 INT
Martel Hight CB 21 TKL / 0.0 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
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