Illinois vs. Michigan State Prediction, Odds, Picks - November 16, 2024

Updated Nov. 16, 2024 9:15 a.m. ET

Data Skrive

Big Ten rivals meet when the Illinois Fighting Illini (6-3) host the Michigan State Spartans (4-5) on Saturday, November 16, 2024 at Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL). Illinois is favored by 2.5 points. The over/under is 47.5 for the contest.

Facing the Minnesota Golden Gophers in their last game, the Fighting Illini lost 25-17. The Spartans lost against the Indiana Hoosiers in their most recent game, 47-10.

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Illinois vs. Michigan State Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, November 16, 2024 at 2:30 p.m. ET
Location: Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL) in Champaign, Illinois
TV: Fox Sports 1
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

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Illinois vs Michigan State Betting Information updated as of November 16, 2024, 8:46 a.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Illinois	-2.5 (-113)	-140	+117	47.5	-110	-110

Illinois vs. Michigan State Prediction

Pick ATS: Illinois (-2.5)
Pick OU: Under (47.5)
Prediction: Illinois 26, Michigan State 20

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the Illinois Fighting Illini vs. the Michigan State Spartans game on FOX Sports!

Illinois vs. Michigan State Betting Insights

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Fighting Illini 25, Spartans 22.
The Fighting Illini have a 58.3% chance to win this game per the moneyline's implied probability. The Spartans hold a 46.1% implied probability.
Illinois has won four games against the spread this season, while failing to cover or pushing four times.
Michigan State has won four games against the spread this year, failing to cover five times.

Illinois vs. Michigan State: 2024 Stats Comparison

	Illinois	Michigan State
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	25.9 (92)	19.8 (122)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	21.1 (29)	24.1 (52)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	10 (33)	18 (116)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	14 (48)	9 (113)

Illinois 2024 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Luke Altmyer	QB	1,893 YDS (62.8%) / 16 TD / 3 INT 148 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / 16.4 RUSH YPG
Pat Bryant	WR	39 REC / 582 YDS / 7 TD / 64.7 YPG
Josh McCray	RB	330 YDS / 4 TD / 36.7 YPG / 4.6 YPC 11 REC / 105 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 13.1 REC YPG
Zakhari Franklin	WR	41 REC / 515 YDS / 2 TD / 57.2 YPG
Gabe Jacas	LB	44 TKL / 6 TFL / 6.5 SACK
Dylan Rosiek	LB	58 TKL / 2 TFL / 1.5 SACK
Matthew Bailey	DB	51 TKL / 0 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Miles Scott	DB	40 TKL / 0 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD

Michigan State 2024 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Aidan Chiles	QB	1,850 YDS (61.3%) / 8 TD / 12 INT 179 RUSH YDS / 3 RUSH TD / 19.9 RUSH YPG
Nick Marsh	WR	33 REC / 553 YDS / 3 TD / 61.4 YPG
Nathan Carter	RB	418 YDS / 3 TD / 46.4 YPG / 4.4 YPC 8 REC / 89 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 11.1 REC YPG
Kay'Ron Adams	RB	469 YDS / 2 TD / 52.1 YPG / 4.8 YPC
Jordan Turner	LB	50 TKL / 6 TFL / 3 SACK / 1 INT
Cal Haladay	LB	43 TKL / 3 TFL / 1 SACK
Malik Spencer	DB	42 TKL / 0 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Nikai Martinez	DB	39 TKL / 1 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD