Iowa State vs. Baylor Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 5, 2024

Iowa State vs. Baylor Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 5, 2024

Updated Oct. 3, 2024 9:04 a.m. ET

A pair of the nation's best passing defenses square off when the No. 16 Iowa State Cyclones (4-0) bring college football's second-ranked pass defense into a matchup with the Baylor Bears (2-3), who have the No. 21 passing defense, on Saturday, October 5, 2024. The Cyclones are massive, 11.5-point favorites. The contest has a point total set at 44.5.

Last time around, the Cyclones defeated the Houston Cougars, with 20-0 being the final score. The Bears lost against the BYU Cougars in their most recent game, 34-28.

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Iowa State vs. Baylor Game Information & Odds

More College Football Predictions

Iowa State vs Baylor Betting Information updated as of October 3, 2024, 5:47 a.m. ET.
Favorite Spread (Odds) Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Moneyline Under Moneyline
Iowa State -11.5 (-112) -510 +374 44.5 -112 -108

Iowa State vs. Baylor Prediction

  • Pick ATS: Iowa State (-11.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (44.5)
  • Prediction: Iowa State 31, Baylor 14

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the Iowa State Cyclones vs. the Baylor Bears game on FOX Sports!

Iowa State vs. Baylor Betting Insights

  • Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the matchup is Cyclones 28, Bears 16.
  • The Cyclones have an 83.6% chance to win this game based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Bears hold a 21.1% implied probability.
  • Iowa State has covered three times in three matchups with a spread this season.
  • Baylor has covered twice in four matchups with a spread this year.

Iowa State vs. Baylor: Head-to-Head

  • Baylor owns a 2-1 record against Iowa State in their last three matchups.
  • The last three times the Bears have squared off with the Cyclones, they have a 2-1 record against the spread. The scoring went over the total each time.
  • In their last three head-to-head matchups, Iowa State has compiled 83 points versus Baylor, while giving up only 80 points.

Iowa State vs. Baylor: 2024 Stats Comparison

Iowa State Baylor
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 28.3 (89) 29.4 (50)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 7.3 (3) 20.2 (59)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 3 (17) 8 (100)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 10 (8) 6 (60)

Iowa State 2024 Key Players

Name Position Stats
Rocco Becht QB 896 YDS (66.4%) / 7 TD / 2 INT
27 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / 6.8 RUSH YPG
Jayden Higgins WR 25 REC / 287 YDS / 4 TD / 71.8 YPG
Jaylin Noel WR 19 REC / 353 YDS / 2 TD / 88.3 YPG
Abu Sama III RB 225 YDS / 1 TD / 56.3 YPG / 5.6 YPC
Malik Verdon DB 23 TKL / 2 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
J.R. Singleton DL 10 TKL / 2 TFL / 3 SACK
Beau Freyler DB 20 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Jontez Williams DB 15 TKL / 2 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD

Baylor 2024 Key Players

Name Position Stats
Sawyer Robertson QB 787 YDS (60.2%) / 6 TD / 2 INT
116 RUSH YDS / 3 RUSH TD / 23.2 RUSH YPG
Josh Cameron WR 16 REC / 267 YDS / 3 TD / 53.4 YPG
Ashtyn Hawkins WR 11 REC / 192 YDS / 2 TD / 38.4 YPG
Bryson Washington RB 158 YDS / 1 TD / 31.6 YPG / 4.5 YPC
9 REC / 74 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 14.8 REC YPG
Keaton Thomas LB 26 TKL / 3 TFL / 2 SACK / 1 INT
Matt Jones LB 28 TKL / 3 TFL / 1 SACK
Treven Ma'ae DL 17 TKL / 1 TFL / 1.5 SACK
Devyn Bobby DB 19 TKL / 0 TFL

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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Iowa State Cyclones
Baylor Bears
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