Iowa State vs. Baylor Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 5, 2024

Iowa State vs. Baylor Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 5, 2024

Updated Oct. 5, 2024 3:05 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The No. 16 Iowa State Cyclones (4-0) are 11.5-point favorites at home at Jack Trice Stadium against the Baylor Bears (2-3) on Saturday, October 5, 2024. Both teams have tough pass defenses, with the Cyclones second against the pass in the nation, and the Bears 19th defending the passing attack. A total of 45.5 points has been set for this game.

Facing the Houston Cougars in their last game, the Cyclones won 20-0. Last time around, the Bears fell to the BYU Cougars, with 34-28 being the final score.

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Abu Sama rushes for an INCREDIBLE 77-yard TD, extending Iowa State's lead over Houston

Abu Sama rushed for an INCREDIBLE 77-yard TD to extend the Iowa State Cyclones' lead over the Houston Cougars.

Iowa State vs. Baylor Game Information & Odds

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Iowa State vs Baylor Betting Information updated as of October 5, 2024, 2:48 p.m. ET.
Favorite Spread (Odds) Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Moneyline Under Moneyline
Iowa State -11.5 (-111) -474 +354 45.5 -107 -118

Iowa State vs. Baylor Prediction

  • Pick ATS: Iowa State (-11.5)
  • Pick OU: Under (45.5)
  • Prediction: Iowa State 31, Baylor 13

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the Iowa State Cyclones vs. the Baylor Bears game on FOX Sports!

Read More About This Game

Iowa State vs. Baylor Betting Insights

  • Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the matchup is Cyclones 28, Bears 17.
  • The Cyclones have an 82.6% chance to win this game based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Bears hold a 22.0% implied probability.
  • Iowa State has compiled a perfect 3-0-0 record against the spread this season.
  • Baylor has a record of 2-2-0 against the spread this year.

Iowa State vs. Baylor: Head-to-Head

  • Baylor holds a 2-1 record against Iowa State in their last three matchups.
  • The last three times the Bears have matched up against the Cyclones, they have a 2-1 record against the spread. The scoring went over the point total each time.
  • Over their last three head-to-head matchups, Iowa State has racked up 83 points, while Baylor has accumulated 80.

Iowa State vs. Baylor: 2024 Stats Comparison

Iowa State Baylor
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 28.3 (91) 29.4 (53)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 7.3 (3) 20.2 (57)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 3 (15) 8 (96)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 10 (11) 6 (62)

Iowa State 2024 Key Players

Name Position Stats
Rocco Becht QB 896 YDS (66.4%) / 7 TD / 2 INT
27 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / 6.8 RUSH YPG
Jayden Higgins WR 25 REC / 287 YDS / 4 TD / 71.8 YPG
Jaylin Noel WR 19 REC / 353 YDS / 2 TD / 88.3 YPG
Abu Sama III RB 225 YDS / 1 TD / 56.3 YPG / 5.6 YPC
Malik Verdon DB 23 TKL / 2 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
J.R. Singleton DL 10 TKL / 2 TFL / 3 SACK
Beau Freyler DB 20 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Jontez Williams DB 15 TKL / 2 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD

Baylor 2024 Key Players

Name Position Stats
Sawyer Robertson QB 787 YDS (60.2%) / 6 TD / 2 INT
116 RUSH YDS / 3 RUSH TD / 23.2 RUSH YPG
Josh Cameron WR 16 REC / 267 YDS / 3 TD / 53.4 YPG
Ashtyn Hawkins WR 11 REC / 192 YDS / 2 TD / 38.4 YPG
Bryson Washington RB 158 YDS / 1 TD / 31.6 YPG / 4.5 YPC
9 REC / 74 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 14.8 REC YPG
Keaton Thomas LB 26 TKL / 3 TFL / 2 SACK / 1 INT
Matt Jones LB 28 TKL / 3 TFL / 1 SACK
Treven Ma'ae DL 17 TKL / 1 TFL / 1.5 SACK
Devyn Bobby DB 19 TKL / 0 TFL

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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