Kentucky vs. Florida Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 30

Kentucky vs. Florida Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 30

Updated Sep. 29, 2023 9:05 a.m. ET

The Kentucky Wildcats (4-0) take the 25th-ranked scoring offense in college football into a matchup with the No. 22 Florida Gators (3-1), who have the No. 17 scoring defense, on Saturday, September 30, 2023. The Wildcats are just 1-point favorites. The point total is 44.5 for the game.

The Wildcats beat the Vanderbilt Commodores, 45-28, in their most recent game. Facing the Charlotte 49ers in their last game, the Gators won 22-7.

Kentucky vs. Florida Game Information & Odds

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Kentucky vs Florida Betting Information updated as of September 29, 2023, 8:45 AM ET.
Favorite Spread (Odds) Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Moneyline Under Moneyline
Kentucky -1 (-107) -116 -104 44.5 -111 -109

Kentucky vs. Florida Prediction

  • Pick ATS: Florida (+1)
  • Pick OU: Over (44.5)
  • Prediction: Florida 24, Kentucky 23

Learn more about the Kentucky Wildcats vs. the Florida Gators game on FOX Sports!

Kentucky vs. Florida Betting Insights

  • Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Wildcats 23, Gators 22.
  • The Wildcats have a 53.7% chance to win this game per the moneyline's implied probability. The Gators hold a 51.0% implied probability.
  • Kentucky has compiled a 3-1-0 record against the spread this season.
  • Florida has won one game against the spread this year.

Kentucky vs. Florida: Head-to-Head

  • Over their last two meetings, Kentucky has put up two wins against Florida.
  • The last two times the Wildcats have matched up against the Gators, they have a 2-0 record against the spread. The scoring has yet to go over the point total.
  • Florida has been outpaced by 17 points in its last two tilts against Kentucky.

Kentucky vs. Florida: 2023 Stats Comparison

Kentucky Florida
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 38.0 (26) 27.8 (78)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 15.5 (20) 13.5 (16)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 7 (88) 4 (30)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 8 (18) 1 (126)

Kentucky 2023 Key Players

Name Position Stats
Re'Mahn Davis RB 314 YDS / 5 TD / 78.5 YPG / 6.3 YPC
10 REC / 137 REC YDS / 2 REC TD / 34.3 REC YPG
Devin Leary QB 1,060 YDS (58.9%) / 9 TD / 5 INT
Tayvion Robinson WR 16 REC / 283 YDS / 3 TD / 70.8 YPG
Barion Brown WR 15 REC / 214 YDS / 1 TD / 53.5 YPG
Trevin Wallace LB 21 TKL / 4.0 TFL / 3.5 SACK
Maxwell Hairston DB 19 TKL / 1.0 TFL / 3 INT / 3 PD
D'Eryk Jackson LB 16 TKL / 0.0 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Alex Afari DB 13 TKL / 1.0 TFL

Florida 2023 Key Players

Name Position Stats
Graham Mertz QB 951 YDS (77.8%) / 4 TD / 1 INT
-24 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / -6.0 RUSH YPG
Montrell Johnson RB 211 YDS / 3 TD / 52.8 YPG / 4.6 YPC
6 REC / 58 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 14.5 REC YPG
Trevor Etienne RB 329 YDS / 2 TD / 82.3 YPG / 6.7 YPC
7 REC / 46 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 11.5 REC YPG
Ricky Pearsall WR 26 REC / 362 YDS / 1 TD / 90.5 YPG
Scooby Williams LB 18 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK
Shemar James LB 22 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK
Jordan Castell S 17 TKL / 1.0 TFL
Princely Umanmielen DE 7 TKL / 2.0 TFL / 2.0 SACK
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