Kentucky vs. Florida Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 30

Updated Sep. 29, 2023 9:05 a.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Kentucky Wildcats (4-0) take the 25th-ranked scoring offense in college football into a matchup with the No. 22 Florida Gators (3-1), who have the No. 17 scoring defense, on Saturday, September 30, 2023. The Wildcats are just 1-point favorites. The point total is 44.5 for the game.

The Wildcats beat the Vanderbilt Commodores, 45-28, in their most recent game. Facing the Charlotte 49ers in their last game, the Gators won 22-7.

Kentucky vs. Florida Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, September 30, 2023 at 12:00 PM ET
Location: Kroger Field in Lexington, Kentucky
TV: ESPN
Live boxscore on FOX Sports

Kentucky vs Florida Betting Information updated as of September 29, 2023, 8:45 AM ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Kentucky	-1 (-107)	-116	-104	44.5	-111	-109

Kentucky vs. Florida Prediction

Pick ATS: Florida (+1)
Pick OU: Over (44.5)
Prediction: Florida 24, Kentucky 23

Learn more about the Kentucky Wildcats vs. the Florida Gators game on FOX Sports!

Kentucky vs. Florida Betting Insights

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Wildcats 23, Gators 22.
The Wildcats have a 53.7% chance to win this game per the moneyline's implied probability. The Gators hold a 51.0% implied probability.
Kentucky has compiled a 3-1-0 record against the spread this season.
Florida has won one game against the spread this year.

Kentucky vs. Florida: Head-to-Head

Over their last two meetings, Kentucky has put up two wins against Florida.
The last two times the Wildcats have matched up against the Gators, they have a 2-0 record against the spread. The scoring has yet to go over the point total.
Florida has been outpaced by 17 points in its last two tilts against Kentucky.

Kentucky vs. Florida: 2023 Stats Comparison

	Kentucky	Florida
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	38.0 (26)	27.8 (78)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	15.5 (20)	13.5 (16)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	7 (88)	4 (30)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	8 (18)	1 (126)

Kentucky 2023 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Re'Mahn Davis	RB	314 YDS / 5 TD / 78.5 YPG / 6.3 YPC 10 REC / 137 REC YDS / 2 REC TD / 34.3 REC YPG
Devin Leary	QB	1,060 YDS (58.9%) / 9 TD / 5 INT
Tayvion Robinson	WR	16 REC / 283 YDS / 3 TD / 70.8 YPG
Barion Brown	WR	15 REC / 214 YDS / 1 TD / 53.5 YPG
Trevin Wallace	LB	21 TKL / 4.0 TFL / 3.5 SACK
Maxwell Hairston	DB	19 TKL / 1.0 TFL / 3 INT / 3 PD
D'Eryk Jackson	LB	16 TKL / 0.0 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Alex Afari	DB	13 TKL / 1.0 TFL

Florida 2023 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Graham Mertz	QB	951 YDS (77.8%) / 4 TD / 1 INT -24 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / -6.0 RUSH YPG
Montrell Johnson	RB	211 YDS / 3 TD / 52.8 YPG / 4.6 YPC 6 REC / 58 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 14.5 REC YPG
Trevor Etienne	RB	329 YDS / 2 TD / 82.3 YPG / 6.7 YPC 7 REC / 46 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 11.5 REC YPG
Ricky Pearsall	WR	26 REC / 362 YDS / 1 TD / 90.5 YPG
Scooby Williams	LB	18 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK
Shemar James	LB	22 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK
Jordan Castell	S	17 TKL / 1.0 TFL
Princely Umanmielen	DE	7 TKL / 2.0 TFL / 2.0 SACK