Kentucky vs. Mississippi State Prediction, Odds, Picks - November 4

Updated Nov. 4, 2023 3:07 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Kentucky Wildcats (5-3) are 5-point favorites when they visit the Mississippi State Bulldogs (4-4) in conference action on Saturday, November 4, 2023 at Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field. The game has a point total of 45.

Last time out, the Wildcats fell to the Tennessee Volunteers, with 33-27 being the final score. Facing the Auburn Tigers in their last contest, the Bulldogs lost 27-13.

Kentucky vs. Mississippi State Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, November 4, 2023 at 7:30 PM ET
Location: Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field in Starkville, Mississippi
TV: SEC Network
Live boxscore on FOX Sports

Kentucky vs Mississippi State Betting Information updated as of November 4, 2023, 2:46 PM ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Kentucky	-5 (-109)	-208	+171	45	-109	-111

Kentucky vs. Mississippi State Prediction

Pick ATS: Mississippi State (+5)
Pick OU: Over (45)
Prediction: Kentucky 28, Mississippi State 26

Learn more about the Kentucky Wildcats vs. the Mississippi State Bulldogs game on FOX Sports!

Kentucky vs. Mississippi State Betting Insights

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Wildcats 25, Bulldogs 20.
The Wildcats have a 67.5% chance to win this game per the moneyline's implied probability. The Bulldogs have a 36.9% implied probability.
Kentucky has won four games against the spread this season, while failing to cover four times.
Mississippi State has covered just twice in eight chances against the spread this year.

Kentucky vs. Mississippi State: Head-to-Head

In their past two matchups, Mississippi State holds a split 1-1 record against Kentucky.
The two teams have gone over the total on one occasion while sharing a split 1-1 record in their meetings against the spread.
Over their last two head-to-head matchups, Mississippi State has put up 48 points, while Kentucky has tallied 44.

Kentucky vs. Mississippi State: 2023 Stats Comparison

	Kentucky	Mississippi State
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	30.8 (54)	25.1 (91)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	24.8 (56)	25.9 (64)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	10 (45)	9 (32)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	11 (72)	10 (81)

Kentucky 2023 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Re'Mahn Davis	RB	823 YDS / 9 TD / 102.9 YPG / 6.5 YPC 18 REC / 221 REC YDS / 5 REC TD / 27.6 REC YPG
Devin Leary	QB	1,749 YDS (56.8%) / 16 TD / 7 INT -21 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / -2.6 RUSH YPG
Dane Key	WR	24 REC / 395 YDS / 3 TD / 49.4 YPG
Barion Brown	WR	28 REC / 334 YDS / 2 TD / 41.8 YPG
Maxwell Hairston	DB	39 TKL / 1.0 TFL / 5 INT / 5 PD
D'Eryk Jackson	LB	51 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK / 1 INT
Trevin Wallace	LB	34 TKL / 4.0 TFL / 3.5 SACK / 1 INT
Deone Walker	DL	27 TKL / 7.0 TFL / 4.5 SACK

Mississippi State 2023 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Jo'Quavious Marks	RB	500 YDS / 4 TD / 62.5 YPG / 5.2 YPC 18 REC / 138 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 17.3 REC YPG
Lideatrick Griffin	WR	35 REC / 512 YDS / 3 TD / 64.0 YPG
Will Rogers	QB	1,275 YDS (61.4%) / 10 TD / 4 INT
Michael Wright	QB	307 YDS (58.2%) / 3 TD / 2 INT 261 RUSH YDS / 3 RUSH TD / 32.6 RUSH YPG
Nathaniel Watson	LB	63 TKL / 7.0 TFL / 7.5 SACK / 1 INT
Jett Johnson	LB	67 TKL / 7.0 TFL / 4.0 SACK / 2 INT
Shawn Preston Jr.	S	27 TKL / 1.0 TFL / 3 INT / 3 PD
Corey Ellington	S	35 TKL / 2.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK