Kentucky vs. Mississippi State Prediction, Odds, Picks - November 4

Kentucky vs. Mississippi State Prediction, Odds, Picks - November 4

Updated Nov. 4, 2023 3:07 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The Kentucky Wildcats (5-3) are 5-point favorites when they visit the Mississippi State Bulldogs (4-4) in conference action on Saturday, November 4, 2023 at Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field. The game has a point total of 45.

Last time out, the Wildcats fell to the Tennessee Volunteers, with 33-27 being the final score. Facing the Auburn Tigers in their last contest, the Bulldogs lost 27-13.

Kentucky vs. Mississippi State Game Information & Odds

ADVERTISEMENT
  • When: Saturday, November 4, 2023 at 7:30 PM ET
  • Location: Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field in Starkville, Mississippi
  • TV: SEC Network
  • Live boxscore on FOX Sports
Kentucky vs Mississippi State Betting Information updated as of November 4, 2023, 2:46 PM ET.
Favorite Spread (Odds) Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Moneyline Under Moneyline
Kentucky -5 (-109) -208 +171 45 -109 -111

Kentucky vs. Mississippi State Prediction

  • Pick ATS: Mississippi State (+5)
  • Pick OU: Over (45)
  • Prediction: Kentucky 28, Mississippi State 26

Learn more about the Kentucky Wildcats vs. the Mississippi State Bulldogs game on FOX Sports!

Kentucky vs. Mississippi State Betting Insights

  • Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Wildcats 25, Bulldogs 20.
  • The Wildcats have a 67.5% chance to win this game per the moneyline's implied probability. The Bulldogs have a 36.9% implied probability.
  • Kentucky has won four games against the spread this season, while failing to cover four times.
  • Mississippi State has covered just twice in eight chances against the spread this year.

Kentucky vs. Mississippi State: Head-to-Head

  • In their past two matchups, Mississippi State holds a split 1-1 record against Kentucky.
  • The two teams have gone over the total on one occasion while sharing a split 1-1 record in their meetings against the spread.
  • Over their last two head-to-head matchups, Mississippi State has put up 48 points, while Kentucky has tallied 44.

Kentucky vs. Mississippi State: 2023 Stats Comparison

Kentucky Mississippi State
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 30.8 (54) 25.1 (91)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 24.8 (56) 25.9 (64)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 10 (45) 9 (32)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 11 (72) 10 (81)

Kentucky 2023 Key Players

Name Position Stats
Re'Mahn Davis RB 823 YDS / 9 TD / 102.9 YPG / 6.5 YPC
18 REC / 221 REC YDS / 5 REC TD / 27.6 REC YPG
Devin Leary QB 1,749 YDS (56.8%) / 16 TD / 7 INT
-21 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / -2.6 RUSH YPG
Dane Key WR 24 REC / 395 YDS / 3 TD / 49.4 YPG
Barion Brown WR 28 REC / 334 YDS / 2 TD / 41.8 YPG
Maxwell Hairston DB 39 TKL / 1.0 TFL / 5 INT / 5 PD
D'Eryk Jackson LB 51 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK / 1 INT
Trevin Wallace LB 34 TKL / 4.0 TFL / 3.5 SACK / 1 INT
Deone Walker DL 27 TKL / 7.0 TFL / 4.5 SACK

Mississippi State 2023 Key Players

Name Position Stats
Jo'Quavious Marks RB 500 YDS / 4 TD / 62.5 YPG / 5.2 YPC
18 REC / 138 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 17.3 REC YPG
Lideatrick Griffin WR 35 REC / 512 YDS / 3 TD / 64.0 YPG
Will Rogers QB 1,275 YDS (61.4%) / 10 TD / 4 INT
Michael Wright QB 307 YDS (58.2%) / 3 TD / 2 INT
261 RUSH YDS / 3 RUSH TD / 32.6 RUSH YPG
Nathaniel Watson LB 63 TKL / 7.0 TFL / 7.5 SACK / 1 INT
Jett Johnson LB 67 TKL / 7.0 TFL / 4.0 SACK / 2 INT
Shawn Preston Jr. S 27 TKL / 1.0 TFL / 3 INT / 3 PD
Corey Ellington S 35 TKL / 2.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK
share