Liberty vs. UMass Prediction, Odds, Picks - November 16, 2024

Updated Nov. 14, 2024 3:05 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Liberty Flames (6-2) are an overwhelming 14-point favorite heading into their matchup on Saturday, November 16, 2024 against the UMass Minutemen (2-7). The over/under is 51.5 for the contest.

Last time around, the Flames defeated the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders, with 37-17 being the final score. The Minutemen's last contest was against the Mississippi State Bulldogs, and they lost by a score of 45-20.

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Liberty vs. UMass Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, November 16, 2024 at 12 p.m. ET
Location: Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium in Amherst, Massachusetts
TV: ESPN+
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

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Liberty vs UMass Betting Information updated as of November 14, 2024, 1:46 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Liberty	-14 (-111)	-621	+443	51.5	-111	-109

Liberty vs. UMass Prediction

Pick ATS: UMass (+14)
Pick OU: Under (51.5)
Prediction: Liberty 29, UMass 22

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the Liberty Flames vs. the UMass Minutemen game on FOX Sports!

Liberty vs. UMass Betting Insights

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the tilt is Flames 33, Minutemen 19.
The Flames have an 86.1% chance to collect the win in this meeting based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Minutemen hold an 18.4% implied probability.
Liberty has a record of just 2-6-0 against the spread this season.
UMass has put together a 4-5-0 record against the spread this year.

Liberty vs. UMass: Head-to-Head

In their last three head-to-head matchups, Liberty has taken down UMass three times.
The last three times the Minutemen have gone up against the Flames, they have posted a 2-1 record against the spread. The scoring went over the total each time.
Over their last three head-to-head contests, Liberty has racked up 153 points, while UMass has accumulated 66.

Liberty vs. UMass: 2024 Stats Comparison

	Liberty	UMass
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	30.9 (83)	19.2 (122)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	22.6 (22)	31.7 (101)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	10 (34)	8 (17)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	10 (93)	6 (129)

Liberty 2024 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Kaidon Salter	QB	1,581 YDS (60.3%) / 13 TD / 3 INT 432 RUSH YDS / 3 RUSH TD / 54 RUSH YPG
Quinton Cooley	RB	851 YDS / 8 TD / 106.4 YPG / 6 YPC
Billy Lucas	RB	378 YDS / 4 TD / 54 YPG / 4.7 YPC
Treon Sibley	WR	22 REC / 414 YDS / 2 TD / 59.1 YPG
TJ Bush	DL	36 TKL / 4 TFL / 5.5 SACK
Joseph Carter	LB	56 TKL / 3 TFL / 0.5 SACK
Quinton Reese	DB	32 TKL / 4 TFL / 2 SACK
Dexter Ricks Jr.	DB	27 TKL / 1 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD

UMass 2024 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Taisun Phommachanh	QB	1,590 YDS (56.4%) / 8 TD / 6 INT 317 RUSH YDS / 3 RUSH TD / 35.2 RUSH YPG
Jakobie James	WR	37 REC / 626 YDS / 4 TD / 69.6 YPG
T.Y. Harding	WR	12 REC / 227 YDS / 4 TD / 25.2 YPG
CJ Hester	RB	349 YDS / 2 TD / 38.8 YPG / 4.3 YPC
Jalen Stewart	LB	56 TKL / 1 TFL / 2 SACK
Louce Julien	DL	32 TKL / 3 TFL / 2.5 SACK
Te'Rai Powell	DB	40 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Gerrell Johnson	LB	43 TKL / 1 TFL / 0.5 SACK