Louisville vs. Virginia Prediction, Odds, Picks - November 9

Updated Nov. 9, 2023 3:06 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The No. 11 Louisville Cardinals (8-1) host the Virginia Cavaliers (2-7) on Thursday, November 9, 2023 in a matchup between ACC rivals at L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium. Virginia is a 20.5-point underdog. The over/under is set at 50.5.

In their last game, the Cardinals won versus the Virginia Tech Hokies, 34-3. Against the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets in their last game, the Cavaliers lost 45-17.

Louisville vs. Virginia Game Information & Odds

When: Thursday, November 9, 2023 at 7:30 PM ET
Location: L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium in Louisville, Kentucky
TV: ESPN
Live boxscore on FOX Sports

Louisville vs Virginia Betting Information updated as of November 9, 2023, 2:45 PM ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Louisville	-20.5 (-111)	-1449	+825	50.5	-109	-111

Louisville vs. Virginia Prediction

Pick ATS: Louisville (-20.5)
Pick OU: Over (50.5)
Prediction: Louisville 39, Virginia 14

Learn more about the Louisville Cardinals vs. the Virginia Cavaliers game on FOX Sports!

Louisville vs. Virginia Betting Insights

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the matchup is Cardinals 36, Cavaliers 15.
The Cardinals have a 93.5% chance to collect the win in this game per the moneyline's implied probability. The Cavaliers hold a 10.8% implied probability.
Louisville has compiled a 5-3-1 record against the spread this season.
Virginia has won six games against the spread this year, failing to cover three times.

Louisville vs. Virginia: Head-to-Head

Louisville and Virginia have been matched up evenly over their last two meetings, sharing the same 1-1 record.
In their most recent two meetings, each team has covered one time with those games going over the point total on one occasion.
Virginia has been outscored by 16 points in its last two tilts against Louisville.

Louisville vs. Virginia: 2023 Stats Comparison

	Louisville	Virginia
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	32.9 (32)	23.1 (98)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	16.3 (12)	32.4 (113)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	11 (43)	16 (108)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	16 (23)	10 (95)

Louisville 2023 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Jawhar Jordan	RB	881 YDS / 11 TD / 97.9 YPG / 7.1 YPC 12 REC / 178 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 19.8 REC YPG
Jack Plummer	QB	2,159 YDS (65.3%) / 14 TD / 8 INT 50 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / 5.6 RUSH YPG
Jamari Thrash	WR	46 REC / 712 YDS / 6 TD / 79.1 YPG
Isaac Guerendo	RB	398 YDS / 6 TD / 44.2 YPG / 5.6 YPC 12 REC / 133 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 14.8 REC YPG
Ashton Gillotte	DL	22 TKL / 7.0 TFL / 7.5 SACK
TJ Quinn	LB	54 TKL / 0.0 TFL / 0.5 SACK / 1 INT
Devin Neal	DB	31 TKL / 0.0 TFL / 3 INT / 3 PD
Ramon Puryear	DL	17 TKL / 4.0 TFL / 3.0 SACK / 1 INT

Virginia 2023 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Malik Washington	WR	79 REC / 1,044 YDS / 6 TD / 116.0 YPG
Mike Hollins	RB	210 YDS / 7 TD / 23.3 YPG / 3.1 YPC 8 REC / 27 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 3.0 REC YPG
Malachi Fields	WR	44 REC / 563 YDS / 2 TD / 62.6 YPG
Kobe Pace	RB	292 YDS / 1 TD / 32.4 YPG / 3.4 YPC 13 REC / 130 REC YDS / 3 REC TD / 14.4 REC YPG
Jonas Sanker	S	78 TKL / 1.0 TFL
Coen King	S	51 TKL / 1.0 TFL
James Jackson	LB	54 TKL / 2.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK / 1 INT
Kamren Robinson	LB	46 TKL / 2.0 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD