Louisville vs. Virginia Prediction, Odds, Picks - November 9

Louisville vs. Virginia Prediction, Odds, Picks - November 9

Updated Nov. 9, 2023 3:06 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The No. 11 Louisville Cardinals (8-1) host the Virginia Cavaliers (2-7) on Thursday, November 9, 2023 in a matchup between ACC rivals at L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium. Virginia is a 20.5-point underdog. The over/under is set at 50.5.

In their last game, the Cardinals won versus the Virginia Tech Hokies, 34-3. Against the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets in their last game, the Cavaliers lost 45-17.

Louisville vs. Virginia Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Thursday, November 9, 2023 at 7:30 PM ET
  • Location: L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium in Louisville, Kentucky
  • TV: ESPN
  • Live boxscore on FOX Sports
Louisville vs Virginia Betting Information updated as of November 9, 2023, 2:45 PM ET.
Favorite Spread (Odds) Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Moneyline Under Moneyline
Louisville -20.5 (-111) -1449 +825 50.5 -109 -111

Louisville vs. Virginia Prediction

  • Pick ATS: Louisville (-20.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (50.5)
  • Prediction: Louisville 39, Virginia 14

Learn more about the Louisville Cardinals vs. the Virginia Cavaliers game on FOX Sports!

Louisville vs. Virginia Betting Insights

  • Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the matchup is Cardinals 36, Cavaliers 15.
  • The Cardinals have a 93.5% chance to collect the win in this game per the moneyline's implied probability. The Cavaliers hold a 10.8% implied probability.
  • Louisville has compiled a 5-3-1 record against the spread this season.
  • Virginia has won six games against the spread this year, failing to cover three times.

Louisville vs. Virginia: Head-to-Head

  • Louisville and Virginia have been matched up evenly over their last two meetings, sharing the same 1-1 record.
  • In their most recent two meetings, each team has covered one time with those games going over the point total on one occasion.
  • Virginia has been outscored by 16 points in its last two tilts against Louisville.

Louisville vs. Virginia: 2023 Stats Comparison

Louisville Virginia
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 32.9 (32) 23.1 (98)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 16.3 (12) 32.4 (113)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 11 (43) 16 (108)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 16 (23) 10 (95)

Louisville 2023 Key Players

Name Position Stats
Jawhar Jordan RB 881 YDS / 11 TD / 97.9 YPG / 7.1 YPC
12 REC / 178 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 19.8 REC YPG
Jack Plummer QB 2,159 YDS (65.3%) / 14 TD / 8 INT
50 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / 5.6 RUSH YPG
Jamari Thrash WR 46 REC / 712 YDS / 6 TD / 79.1 YPG
Isaac Guerendo RB 398 YDS / 6 TD / 44.2 YPG / 5.6 YPC
12 REC / 133 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 14.8 REC YPG
Ashton Gillotte DL 22 TKL / 7.0 TFL / 7.5 SACK
TJ Quinn LB 54 TKL / 0.0 TFL / 0.5 SACK / 1 INT
Devin Neal DB 31 TKL / 0.0 TFL / 3 INT / 3 PD
Ramon Puryear DL 17 TKL / 4.0 TFL / 3.0 SACK / 1 INT

Virginia 2023 Key Players

Name Position Stats
Malik Washington WR 79 REC / 1,044 YDS / 6 TD / 116.0 YPG
Mike Hollins RB 210 YDS / 7 TD / 23.3 YPG / 3.1 YPC
8 REC / 27 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 3.0 REC YPG
Malachi Fields WR 44 REC / 563 YDS / 2 TD / 62.6 YPG
Kobe Pace RB 292 YDS / 1 TD / 32.4 YPG / 3.4 YPC
13 REC / 130 REC YDS / 3 REC TD / 14.4 REC YPG
Jonas Sanker S 78 TKL / 1.0 TFL
Coen King S 51 TKL / 1.0 TFL
James Jackson LB 54 TKL / 2.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK / 1 INT
Kamren Robinson LB 46 TKL / 2.0 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
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