Louisville vs. Virginia Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 12, 2024

Updated Oct. 12, 2024 3:05 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

ACC foes square off when the Louisville Cardinals (3-2) visit the Virginia Cavaliers (4-1) on Saturday, October 12, 2024 at Scott Stadium. Louisville is favored by 7.5 points. The over/under is set at 54 points for the contest.

In their most recent game, the Cardinals lost versus the SMU Mustangs, 34-27. The Cavaliers' last contest was against the Boston College Eagles, and they won by a score of 24-14.

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Louisville vs. Virginia Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, October 12, 2024 at 3:30 p.m. ET
Location: Scott Stadium in Charlottesville, Virginia
TV: ACC Network
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

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Louisville vs Virginia Betting Information updated as of October 12, 2024, 2:48 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Louisville	-7.5 (-105)	-272	+218	54	-109	-111

Louisville vs. Virginia Prediction

Pick ATS: Virginia (+7.5)
Pick OU: Over (54)
Prediction: Louisville 28, Virginia 27

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the Louisville Cardinals vs. the Virginia Cavaliers game on FOX Sports!

Louisville vs. Virginia Betting Insights

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the matchup is Cardinals 31, Cavaliers 23.
The Cardinals have a 73.1% chance to claim victory in this meeting based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Cavaliers have a 31.4% implied probability.
Louisville has a record of 2-2-0 against the spread this season.
Virginia has won three games against the spread this year, failing to cover or pushing twice.

Louisville vs. Virginia: Head-to-Head

Over their last three meetings, Louisville has totaled two wins versus Virginia.
The Cavaliers own a 2-1 record ATS in those games, while the two teams have gone over the total on two occasions.
Virginia has been outscored by 23 points in its last three tilts versus Louisville.

Louisville vs. Virginia: 2024 Stats Comparison

	Louisville	Virginia
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	38.6 (27)	29 (83)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	19.6 (29)	21.6 (40)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	4 (18)	7 (65)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	6 (75)	7 (59)

Louisville 2024 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Tyler Shough	QB	1,443 YDS (64.5%) / 13 TD / 2 INT
Ja'Corey Brooks	WR	25 REC / 489 YDS / 6 TD / 97.8 YPG
Isaac Brown	RB	362 YDS / 1 TD / 72.4 YPG / 9.3 YPC 13 REC / 91 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 18.2 REC YPG
Keyjuan Brown	RB	160 YDS / 2 TD / 32 YPG / 5.9 YPC 5 REC / 53 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 13.3 REC YPG
Stanquan Clark	LB	22 TKL / 2 TFL
Tramel Logan	DL	5 TKL / 2 TFL / 3 SACK
TJ Quinn	LB	17 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 SACK
Tamarion McDonald	DB	7 TKL / 3 TFL / 2 SACK

Virginia 2024 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Anthony Colandrea	QB	1,211 YDS (66.4%) / 8 TD / 4 INT 158 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / 31.6 RUSH YPG
Malachi Fields	WR	28 REC / 412 YDS / 3 TD / 82.4 YPG
Kobe Pace	RB	293 YDS / 2 TD / 58.6 YPG / 4.8 YPC 11 REC / 114 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 22.8 REC YPG
Xavier Brown	RB	315 YDS / 0 TD / 63 YPG / 8.3 YPC
Antonio Clary	DB	30 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 SACK / 1 INT
James Jackson	LB	23 TKL / 3 TFL / 2 SACK
Kamren Robinson	LB	22 TKL / 2 TFL / 2 SACK
Jonas Sanker	DB	19 TKL / 3 TFL / 1 SACK