Louisville vs. Virginia Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 12, 2024

Updated Oct. 10, 2024 9:05 a.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Louisville Cardinals (3-2) are 7.5-point favorites when they visit the Virginia Cavaliers (4-1) in conference action on Saturday, October 12, 2024 at Scott Stadium. The game has a point total set at 54.5.

Last time around, the Cardinals fell to the SMU Mustangs, with 34-27 being the final score. The Cavaliers' last contest was against the Boston College Eagles, and they won by a score of 24-14.

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Louisville vs. Virginia Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, October 12, 2024 at 3:30 p.m. ET
Location: Scott Stadium in Charlottesville, Virginia
TV: ACC Network
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

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Louisville vs Virginia Betting Information updated as of October 10, 2024, 8:46 a.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Louisville	-7.5 (-107)	-272	+219	54.5	-111	-109

Louisville vs. Virginia Prediction

Pick ATS: Virginia (+7.5)
Pick OU: Under (54.5)
Prediction: Virginia 29, Louisville 25

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the Louisville Cardinals vs. the Virginia Cavaliers game on FOX Sports!

Louisville vs. Virginia Betting Insights

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the tilt is Cardinals 31, Cavaliers 24.
The Cardinals have a 73.1% chance to win this game per the moneyline's implied probability. The Cavaliers hold a 31.3% implied probability.
Louisville has won two games against the spread this season.
Virginia has put together a 3-1-1 record against the spread this year.

Louisville vs. Virginia: Head-to-Head

Louisville has a 2-1 record against Virginia in their last three matchups.
The last three times the Cavaliers have matched up against the Cardinals, they have put up a 2-1 record against the spread. The scoring has gone over the point total on two occasions.
Over their last three head-to-head contests, Louisville has racked up 98 points, while Virginia has accumulated 75.

Louisville vs. Virginia: 2024 Stats Comparison

	Louisville	Virginia
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	38.6 (26)	29 (80)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	19.6 (32)	21.6 (43)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	4 (19)	7 (67)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	6 (74)	7 (56)

Louisville 2024 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Tyler Shough	QB	1,443 YDS (64.5%) / 13 TD / 2 INT
Ja'Corey Brooks	WR	25 REC / 489 YDS / 6 TD / 97.8 YPG
Isaac Brown	RB	362 YDS / 1 TD / 72.4 YPG / 9.3 YPC 13 REC / 91 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 18.2 REC YPG
Keyjuan Brown	RB	160 YDS / 2 TD / 32 YPG / 5.9 YPC 5 REC / 53 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 13.3 REC YPG
Stanquan Clark	LB	22 TKL / 2 TFL
Tramel Logan	DL	5 TKL / 2 TFL / 3 SACK
TJ Quinn	LB	17 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 SACK
Tamarion McDonald	DB	7 TKL / 3 TFL / 2 SACK

Virginia 2024 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Anthony Colandrea	QB	1,211 YDS (66.4%) / 8 TD / 4 INT 158 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / 31.6 RUSH YPG
Malachi Fields	WR	28 REC / 412 YDS / 3 TD / 82.4 YPG
Kobe Pace	RB	293 YDS / 2 TD / 58.6 YPG / 4.8 YPC 11 REC / 114 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 22.8 REC YPG
Xavier Brown	RB	315 YDS / 0 TD / 63 YPG / 8.3 YPC
Antonio Clary	DB	30 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 SACK / 1 INT
James Jackson	LB	23 TKL / 3 TFL / 2 SACK
Kamren Robinson	LB	22 TKL / 2 TFL / 2 SACK
Jonas Sanker	DB	19 TKL / 3 TFL / 1 SACK