LSU vs. Mississippi State Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 16

Updated Sep. 16, 2023 9:06 a.m. ET

Data Skrive

The No. 14 LSU Tigers (1-1) are 9.5-point favorites when they visit the Mississippi State Bulldogs (2-0) in an SEC matchup on Saturday, September 16, 2023 at Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field. The contest's over/under is set at 54.

The Tigers beat the Grambling Tigers, 72-10, in their last game. In their most recent game, the Bulldogs won versus the Arizona Wildcats, 31-24.

LSU vs. Mississippi State Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, September 16, 2023 at 12:00 PM ET
Location: Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field in Starkville, Mississippi
TV: ESPN
Live boxscore on FOX Sports

LSU vs Mississippi State Betting Information updated as of September 16, 2023, 8:45 AM ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
LSU	-9.5 (-111)	-359	+280	54	-110	-110

LSU vs. Mississippi State Prediction

Pick ATS: Mississippi State (+9.5)
Pick OU: Over (54)
Prediction: Mississippi State 34, LSU 28

Learn more about the LSU Tigers vs. the Mississippi State Bulldogs game on FOX Sports!

LSU vs. Mississippi State Betting Insights

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Tigers 32, Bulldogs 22.
The Tigers have a 78.2% chance to claim victory in this contest per the moneyline's implied probability. The Bulldogs hold a 26.3% implied probability.
LSU is winless against the spread this season (0-1-0).
Mississippi State has covered once in two matchups with a spread this season.

LSU vs. Mississippi State: Head-to-Head

LSU holds a 2-0 record against Mississippi State in their last two matchups.
The Tigers own a 2-0 record ATS in those games, while the two teams have never gone over the total.
Over their last two head-to-head contests, LSU has put up 59 points, while Mississippi State has accumulated 41.

LSU vs. Mississippi State: 2023 Stats Comparison

	LSU	Mississippi State
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	48.0 (17)	39.5 (36)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	27.5 (86)	15.5 (34)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	2 (36)	1 (9)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	3 (46)	6 (6)

LSU 2023 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Jayden Daniels	QB	616 YDS (65.6%) / 6 TD / 1 INT 93 RUSH YDS / 0 RUSH TD / 46.5 RUSH YPG
Brian Thomas Jr.	WR	13 REC / 220 YDS / 3 TD / 110.0 YPG
Malik Nabers	WR	11 REC / 154 YDS / 1 TD / 77.0 YPG
Logan Diggs	RB	115 YDS / 1 TD / 57.5 YPG / 7.7 YPC
Darian Chestnut	CB	4 TKL / 1.0 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Jordan Jefferson	DT	2 TKL / 2.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK
Greg Penn III	LB	2 TKL / 0.0 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Andre Sam	S	5 TKL / 1.0 TFL

Mississippi State 2023 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Jo'Quavious Marks	RB	250 YDS / 3 TD / 125.0 YPG / 5.8 YPC 8 REC / 91 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 45.5 REC YPG
Will Rogers	QB	389 YDS (71.7%) / 5 TD / 0 INT
Creed Whittemore	WR	4 REC / 59 YDS / 1 TD / 29.5 YPG
Lideatrick Griffin	WR	9 REC / 116 YDS / 2 TD / 58.0 YPG
Jett Johnson	LB	7 TKL / 2.0 TFL / 2.0 SACK / 2 INT
Nathaniel Watson	LB	8 TKL / 1.0 TFL / 1.5 SACK / 1 INT
Shawn Preston Jr.	S	3 TKL / 0.0 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Hunter Washington	S	2 TKL / 0.0 TFL