Michigan vs. Penn State Prediction, Odds, Picks - November 11

Updated Nov. 11, 2023 9:04 a.m. ET

Data Skrive

The No. 2 Michigan Wolverines (9-0) and the fifth-ranked scoring offense will square off against the No. 9 Penn State Nittany Lions (8-1) and the third-ranked scoring defense on Saturday, November 11, 2023. The Wolverines are favored by 4.5 points in the outing. The game's point total is set at 45.

The Wolverines won against the Purdue Boilermakers in their most recent game, 41-13. Against the Maryland Terrapins in their last contest, the Nittany Lions won 51-15.

Michigan vs. Penn State Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, November 11, 2023 at 12:00 PM ET
Location: Beaver Stadium in University Park, Pennsylvania
TV: FOX
Live boxscore on FOX Sports

Michigan vs Penn State Betting Information updated as of November 11, 2023, 7:45 AM ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Michigan	-4.5 (-111)	-205	+169	45	-110	-110

Michigan vs. Penn State Prediction

Pick ATS: Penn State (+4.5)
Pick OU: Over (45)
Prediction: Penn State 25, Michigan 24

Learn more about the Michigan Wolverines vs. the Penn State Nittany Lions game on FOX Sports!

Michigan vs. Penn State Betting Insights

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the matchup is Wolverines 25, Nittany Lions 20.
The Wolverines have a 67.2% chance to win this meeting per the moneyline's implied probability. The Nittany Lions have a 37.2% implied probability.
Michigan has covered four times in nine games with a spread this season.
Penn State has won six games against the spread this year, failing to cover twice.

Michigan vs. Penn State: Head-to-Head

In their past two head-to-head matchups, Michigan has taken down Penn State two times.
The Wolverines own a 2-0 record ATS in those games, while the two teams have gone over the point total on one occasion.
Over their last two head-to-head matchups, Michigan has put up 62 points, while Penn State has compiled 34.

Michigan vs. Penn State: 2023 Stats Comparison

	Michigan	Penn State
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	40.7 (6)	40.2 (7)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	6.7 (1)	11.9 (3)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	6 (5)	4 (1)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	15 (31)	20 (2)

Michigan 2023 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
J.J. McCarthy	QB	2,134 YDS (75.7%) / 18 TD / 3 INT 137 RUSH YDS / 3 RUSH TD / 15.2 RUSH YPG
Blake Corum	RB	649 YDS / 16 TD / 72.1 YPG / 5.2 YPC
Roman Wilson	WR	36 REC / 589 YDS / 10 TD / 65.4 YPG
Colston Loveland	TE	27 REC / 419 YDS / 4 TD / 46.6 YPG
Michael Barrett	LB	32 TKL / 0.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK
Josaiah Stewart	DE	23 TKL / 5.0 TFL / 4.5 SACK
Jaylen Harrell	DE	18 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 4.5 SACK
Derrick Moore	DE	24 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 3.0 SACK

Penn State 2023 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Drew Allar	QB	1,895 YDS (62.8%) / 20 TD / 1 INT 100 RUSH YDS / 3 RUSH TD / 11.1 RUSH YPG
Nicholas Singleton	RB	480 YDS / 7 TD / 53.3 YPG / 4.0 YPC 19 REC / 148 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 16.4 REC YPG
KeAndre Lambert-Smith	WR	51 REC / 645 YDS / 4 TD / 71.7 YPG
Kaytron Allen	RB	573 YDS / 4 TD / 63.7 YPG / 4.8 YPC
Adisa Isaac	DE	22 TKL / 9.0 TFL / 6.5 SACK
Abdul Carter	LB	32 TKL / 2.0 TFL / 2.0 SACK / 1 INT
Curtis Jacobs	LB	34 TKL / 4.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK
Dani Dennis-Sutton	DE	19 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 2.5 SACK