Michigan vs. Penn State Prediction, Odds, Picks - November 11

Michigan vs. Penn State Prediction, Odds, Picks - November 11

Updated Nov. 11, 2023 9:04 a.m. ET
Data Skrive

The No. 2 Michigan Wolverines (9-0) and the fifth-ranked scoring offense will square off against the No. 9 Penn State Nittany Lions (8-1) and the third-ranked scoring defense on Saturday, November 11, 2023. The Wolverines are favored by 4.5 points in the outing. The game's point total is set at 45.

The Wolverines won against the Purdue Boilermakers in their most recent game, 41-13. Against the Maryland Terrapins in their last contest, the Nittany Lions won 51-15.

Michigan vs. Penn State Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Saturday, November 11, 2023 at 12:00 PM ET
  • Location: Beaver Stadium in University Park, Pennsylvania
  • TV: FOX
  • Live boxscore on FOX Sports
Michigan vs Penn State Betting Information updated as of November 11, 2023, 7:45 AM ET.
Favorite Spread (Odds) Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Moneyline Under Moneyline
Michigan -4.5 (-111) -205 +169 45 -110 -110

Michigan vs. Penn State Prediction

  • Pick ATS: Penn State (+4.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (45)
  • Prediction: Penn State 25, Michigan 24

Learn more about the Michigan Wolverines vs. the Penn State Nittany Lions game on FOX Sports!

Michigan vs. Penn State Betting Insights

  • Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the matchup is Wolverines 25, Nittany Lions 20.
  • The Wolverines have a 67.2% chance to win this meeting per the moneyline's implied probability. The Nittany Lions have a 37.2% implied probability.
  • Michigan has covered four times in nine games with a spread this season.
  • Penn State has won six games against the spread this year, failing to cover twice.

Michigan vs. Penn State: Head-to-Head

  • In their past two head-to-head matchups, Michigan has taken down Penn State two times.
  • The Wolverines own a 2-0 record ATS in those games, while the two teams have gone over the point total on one occasion.
  • Over their last two head-to-head matchups, Michigan has put up 62 points, while Penn State has compiled 34.

Michigan vs. Penn State: 2023 Stats Comparison

Michigan Penn State
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 40.7 (6) 40.2 (7)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 6.7 (1) 11.9 (3)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 6 (5) 4 (1)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 15 (31) 20 (2)

Michigan 2023 Key Players

Name Position Stats
J.J. McCarthy QB 2,134 YDS (75.7%) / 18 TD / 3 INT
137 RUSH YDS / 3 RUSH TD / 15.2 RUSH YPG
Blake Corum RB 649 YDS / 16 TD / 72.1 YPG / 5.2 YPC
Roman Wilson WR 36 REC / 589 YDS / 10 TD / 65.4 YPG
Colston Loveland TE 27 REC / 419 YDS / 4 TD / 46.6 YPG
Michael Barrett LB 32 TKL / 0.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK
Josaiah Stewart DE 23 TKL / 5.0 TFL / 4.5 SACK
Jaylen Harrell DE 18 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 4.5 SACK
Derrick Moore DE 24 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 3.0 SACK

Penn State 2023 Key Players

Name Position Stats
Drew Allar QB 1,895 YDS (62.8%) / 20 TD / 1 INT
100 RUSH YDS / 3 RUSH TD / 11.1 RUSH YPG
Nicholas Singleton RB 480 YDS / 7 TD / 53.3 YPG / 4.0 YPC
19 REC / 148 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 16.4 REC YPG
KeAndre Lambert-Smith WR 51 REC / 645 YDS / 4 TD / 71.7 YPG
Kaytron Allen RB 573 YDS / 4 TD / 63.7 YPG / 4.8 YPC
Adisa Isaac DE 22 TKL / 9.0 TFL / 6.5 SACK
Abdul Carter LB 32 TKL / 2.0 TFL / 2.0 SACK / 1 INT
Curtis Jacobs LB 34 TKL / 4.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK
Dani Dennis-Sutton DE 19 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 2.5 SACK
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