Missouri vs. UMass Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 12, 2024

Updated Oct. 10, 2024 9:05 a.m. ET

Data Skrive

Two of the nation's stingiest pass defenses meet when the No. 21 Missouri Tigers (4-1) bring college football's 11th-ranked pass defense into a matchup with the UMass Minutemen (1-5), who have the No. 19 passing defense, on Saturday, October 12, 2024. The Tigers are double-digit, 27.5-point favorites. The total is 54.5 points for this matchup.

Facing the Texas A&M Aggies in their last game, the Tigers lost 41-10. The Minutemen lost to the Northern Illinois Huskies, 34-20, in their most recent contest.

Keep up with college football all season on FOX Sports.

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Missouri vs. UMass Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, October 12, 2024 at 12:00 p.m. ET
Location: Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium in Amherst, Massachusetts
TV: ESPN2
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

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Missouri vs UMass Betting Information updated as of October 10, 2024, 8:46 a.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Missouri	-27.5 (-111)	-5263	+1563	54.5	-110	-110

Missouri vs. UMass Prediction

Pick ATS: UMass (+27.5)
Pick OU: Under (54.5)
Prediction: Missouri 34, UMass 14

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the Missouri Tigers vs. the UMass Minutemen game on FOX Sports!

Missouri vs. UMass Betting Insights

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Tigers 41, Minutemen 14.
The Tigers have a 98.1% chance to collect the win in this contest per the moneyline's implied probability. The Minutemen hold a 6.0% implied probability.
Missouri has won two games against the spread this season.
UMass is 3-3-0 ATS this year.

Missouri vs. UMass: 2024 Stats Comparison

	Missouri	UMass
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	31.2 (65)	19.2 (105)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	17.8 (20)	31.3 (121)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	2 (4)	4 (19)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	5 (95)	5 (95)

Missouri 2024 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Brady Cook	QB	1,122 YDS (63.4%) / 5 TD / 1 INT 108 RUSH YDS / 4 RUSH TD / 21.6 RUSH YPG
Luther Burden III	WR	25 REC / 329 YDS / 4 TD / 65.8 YPG
Nate Noel	RB	471 YDS / 2 TD / 94.2 YPG / 6 YPC
Theo Wease	WR	28 REC / 359 YDS / 1 TD / 71.8 YPG
Corey Flagg Jr.	LB	25 TKL / 3 TFL / 1 SACK
Chris McClellan	DL	17 TKL / 1 TFL / 1.5 SACK
Marvin Burks Jr.	DB	22 TKL / 0 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Dreyden Norwood	DB	16 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD

UMass 2024 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Taisun Phommachanh	QB	1,280 YDS (57.5%) / 7 TD / 3 INT 253 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / 42.2 RUSH YPG
Jakobie James	WR	24 REC / 493 YDS / 3 TD / 82.2 YPG
CJ Hester	RB	208 YDS / 2 TD / 34.7 YPG / 4.2 YPC
Jalen John	RB	210 YDS / 1 TD / 42 YPG / 3.5 YPC 13 REC / 81 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 16.2 REC YPG
Jalen Stewart	LB	30 TKL / 0 TFL / 0.5 SACK
Louce Julien	DL	21 TKL / 0 TFL / 1 SACK
Te'Rai Powell	DB	23 TKL / 1 TFL
Derrieon Craig	LB	18 TKL / 1 TFL