New Mexico vs. New Mexico State Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 16

New Mexico vs. New Mexico State Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 16

Updated Sep. 16, 2023 3:07 p.m. ET

The New Mexico Lobos (1-1) are favored by only 2.5 points against the New Mexico State Aggies (1-2) on Saturday, September 16, 2023. The contest has a point total of 52.

Last time around, the Lobos defeated the Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles, with 56-10 being the final score. The Aggies lost to the Liberty Flames, 33-17, in their last contest.

New Mexico vs. New Mexico State Game Information & Odds

  • When: Saturday, September 16, 2023 at 8:00 PM ET
  • Location: University Stadium (NM) in Albuquerque, New Mexico
  • TV: MW Network
  • Live boxscore on FOX Sports
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New Mexico vs New Mexico State Betting Information updated as of September 16, 2023, 2:46 PM ET.
Favorite Spread (Odds) Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Moneyline Under Moneyline
New Mexico -2.5 (-113) -149 +125 52 -110 -110

New Mexico vs. New Mexico State Prediction

  • Pick ATS: New Mexico (-2.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (52)
  • Prediction: New Mexico 33, New Mexico State 28

Learn more about the New Mexico Lobos vs. the New Mexico State Aggies game on FOX Sports!

New Mexico vs. New Mexico State Betting Insights

  • Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the tilt is Lobos 27, Aggies 25.
  • The Lobos have a 59.8% chance to collect the win in this contest per the moneyline's implied probability. The Aggies have a 44.4% implied probability.
  • New Mexico is winless against the spread this season (0-1-0).
  • New Mexico State has put together a 0-2-0 record against the spread this season.

New Mexico vs. New Mexico State: Head-to-Head

  • New Mexico and New Mexico State have been matched up evenly over their last two meetings, sharing the same 1-1 record.
  • In those matchups against New Mexico, the Aggies have covered two times while eclipsing the total on one occasion.
  • In their last two head-to-head matchups, New Mexico State has compiled 46 points versus New Mexico, while allowing only 43 points.

New Mexico vs. New Mexico State: 2023 Stats Comparison

New Mexico New Mexico State
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 33.0 (60) 35.0 (12)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 31.0 (96) 31.7 (125)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 3 (69) 6 (121)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 0 (121) 1 (109)

New Mexico 2023 Key Players

Name Position Stats
Jacory Merritt RB 212 YDS / 4 TD / 106.0 YPG / 9.2 YPC
Dylan Hopkins QB 388 YDS (68.3%) / 4 TD / 2 INT
Deuce Jones WR 2 REC / 94 YDS / 1 TD / 47.0 YPG
Luke Wysong WR 5 REC / 58 YDS / 1 TD / 29.0 YPG
Kyler Drake DE 7 TKL / 2.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK
Syaire Riley LB 8 TKL / 1.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK
Donte Martin CB 7 TKL / 1.0 TFL
Tavian Combs S 11 TKL / 0.0 TFL

New Mexico State 2023 Key Players

Name Position Stats
Diego Pavia QB 715 YDS (64.7%) / 6 TD / 4 INT
86 RUSH YDS / 0 RUSH TD / 28.7 RUSH YPG
Star Thomas RB 141 YDS / 2 TD / 47.0 YPG / 5.9 YPC
7 REC / 78 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 26.0 REC YPG
Ahmonte Watkins RB 161 YDS / 2 TD / 53.7 YPG / 14.6 YPC
Trent Hudson WR 7 REC / 114 YDS / 3 TD / 38.0 YPG
Nikhil Webb Walker OLB 11 TKL / 1.0 TFL / 1.5 SACK
Malachi McLean S 11 TKL / 2.0 TFL
Gabe Peterson OLB 12 TKL / 0.0 TFL / 0.5 SACK
Jeremiah Dervil N/A 16 TKL / 0.0 TFL
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