New Mexico vs. New Mexico State Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 16

Updated Sep. 16, 2023 3:07 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The New Mexico Lobos (1-1) are favored by only 2.5 points against the New Mexico State Aggies (1-2) on Saturday, September 16, 2023. The contest has a point total of 52.

Last time around, the Lobos defeated the Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles, with 56-10 being the final score. The Aggies lost to the Liberty Flames, 33-17, in their last contest.

New Mexico vs. New Mexico State Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, September 16, 2023 at 8:00 PM ET
Location: University Stadium (NM) in Albuquerque, New Mexico
TV: MW Network
Live boxscore on FOX Sports

New Mexico vs New Mexico State Betting Information updated as of September 16, 2023, 2:46 PM ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
New Mexico	-2.5 (-113)	-149	+125	52	-110	-110

New Mexico vs. New Mexico State Prediction

Pick ATS: New Mexico (-2.5)
Pick OU: Over (52)
Prediction: New Mexico 33, New Mexico State 28

Learn more about the New Mexico Lobos vs. the New Mexico State Aggies game on FOX Sports!

New Mexico vs. New Mexico State Betting Insights

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the tilt is Lobos 27, Aggies 25.
The Lobos have a 59.8% chance to collect the win in this contest per the moneyline's implied probability. The Aggies have a 44.4% implied probability.
New Mexico is winless against the spread this season (0-1-0).
New Mexico State has put together a 0-2-0 record against the spread this season.

New Mexico vs. New Mexico State: Head-to-Head

New Mexico and New Mexico State have been matched up evenly over their last two meetings, sharing the same 1-1 record.
In those matchups against New Mexico, the Aggies have covered two times while eclipsing the total on one occasion.
In their last two head-to-head matchups, New Mexico State has compiled 46 points versus New Mexico, while allowing only 43 points.

New Mexico vs. New Mexico State: 2023 Stats Comparison

	New Mexico	New Mexico State
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	33.0 (60)	35.0 (12)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	31.0 (96)	31.7 (125)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	3 (69)	6 (121)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	0 (121)	1 (109)

New Mexico 2023 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Jacory Merritt	RB	212 YDS / 4 TD / 106.0 YPG / 9.2 YPC
Dylan Hopkins	QB	388 YDS (68.3%) / 4 TD / 2 INT
Deuce Jones	WR	2 REC / 94 YDS / 1 TD / 47.0 YPG
Luke Wysong	WR	5 REC / 58 YDS / 1 TD / 29.0 YPG
Kyler Drake	DE	7 TKL / 2.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK
Syaire Riley	LB	8 TKL / 1.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK
Donte Martin	CB	7 TKL / 1.0 TFL
Tavian Combs	S	11 TKL / 0.0 TFL

New Mexico State 2023 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Diego Pavia	QB	715 YDS (64.7%) / 6 TD / 4 INT 86 RUSH YDS / 0 RUSH TD / 28.7 RUSH YPG
Star Thomas	RB	141 YDS / 2 TD / 47.0 YPG / 5.9 YPC 7 REC / 78 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 26.0 REC YPG
Ahmonte Watkins	RB	161 YDS / 2 TD / 53.7 YPG / 14.6 YPC
Trent Hudson	WR	7 REC / 114 YDS / 3 TD / 38.0 YPG
Nikhil Webb Walker	OLB	11 TKL / 1.0 TFL / 1.5 SACK
Malachi McLean	S	11 TKL / 2.0 TFL
Gabe Peterson	OLB	12 TKL / 0.0 TFL / 0.5 SACK
Jeremiah Dervil	N/A	16 TKL / 0.0 TFL