New Mexico vs. New Mexico State Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 28, 2024

Updated Sep. 26, 2024 3:06 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The New Mexico Lobos (0-4) are 9.5-point favorites on Saturday, September 28, 2024 against the New Mexico State Aggies (1-3). The contest has a point total of 54.5.

The Lobos lost to the Fresno State Bulldogs, 38-21, in their last contest. The Aggies lost versus the Sam Houston Bearkats in their most recent game, 31-11.

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New Mexico vs. New Mexico State Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, September 28, 2024 at 8:00 p.m. ET
Location: Aggie Memorial Stadium in Las Cruces, New Mexico
TV: ESPN+
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

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New Mexico vs New Mexico State Betting Information updated as of September 26, 2024, 2:48 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
New Mexico	-9.5 (-110)	-333	+258	54.5	-111	-109

New Mexico vs. New Mexico State Prediction

Pick ATS: New Mexico State (+9.5)
Pick OU: Over (54.5)
Prediction: New Mexico State 34, New Mexico 27

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the New Mexico Lobos vs. the New Mexico State Aggies game on FOX Sports!

New Mexico vs. New Mexico State Betting Insights

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the matchup is Lobos 32, Aggies 22.
The Lobos have a 76.9% chance to claim victory in this contest based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Aggies have a 27.9% implied probability.
New Mexico has won two games against the spread this season.
New Mexico State has a record of 1-3-0 against the spread this year.

New Mexico vs. New Mexico State: Head-to-Head

New Mexico State has a 2-1 record against New Mexico in their last three matchups.
In those matchups versus New Mexico, the Aggies have covered three times while eclipsing the total on one occasion.
Over their last three head-to-head matchups, New Mexico State has racked up 73 points, while New Mexico has posted 60.

New Mexico vs. New Mexico State: 2024 Stats Comparison

	New Mexico	New Mexico State
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	27.5 (72)	14.5 (124)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	44.8 (133)	31.3 (112)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	8 (114)	8 (114)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	6 (40)	3 (96)

New Mexico 2024 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Devon Dampier	QB	1,061 YDS (58.8%) / 6 TD / 6 INT 248 RUSH YDS / 3 RUSH TD / 62.0 RUSH YPG
Luke Wysong	WR	30 REC / 407 YDS / 1 TD / 101.8 YPG
Javen Jacobs	RB	109 YDS / 1 TD / 27.3 YPG / 6.4 YPC 14 REC / 94 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 23.5 REC YPG
Eli Sanders	RB	218 YDS / 0 TD / 54.5 YPG / 4.6 YPC 5 REC / 48 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 12.0 REC YPG
Christian Ellis	DB	17 TKL / 1.0 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Noah Avinger	DB	24 TKL / 0.0 TFL
Jayden Wilson	LB	11 TKL / 0.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK
Gabriel Lopez	LB	5 TKL / 1.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK

New Mexico State 2024 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Seth McGowan	RB	260 YDS / 2 TD / 65.0 YPG / 5.3 YPC 5 REC / 26 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 6.5 REC YPG
Parker Awad	QB	243 YDS (37.0%) / 2 TD / 2 INT 19 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / 4.8 RUSH YPG
Ahmonte Watkins	RB	22 YDS / 0 TD / 5.5 YPG / 2.0 YPC 2 REC / 69 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 17.3 REC YPG
Mike Washington	RB	131 YDS / 0 TD / 32.8 YPG / 3.0 YPC
Da'Marcus Crosby	DB	19 TKL / 1.0 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Tyler Martinez	LB	19 TKL / 1.0 TFL
Noah Arinze	DL	8 TKL / 2.0 TFL / 2.0 SACK
Tayden Barnes	DB	18 TKL / 0.0 TFL